Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan)

I leak to no one but Amena. None of my tweets are investment advice.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@emilykmay @emilykmay you’re from North Carolina? Bless your heart. Ma'am, that's not the SEC that’s ACC country. @SEC…It just means more.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@citrini @leopoldasch

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

Leo was not using financial leverage the way multi strat funds do. Yes, he had some options exposure, and there was some natural gross exposure from hedges, but that is very different from running a structurally levered book. The returns were not manufactured by leverage. When your top 4 positions are up more than 10x, the driver is stock selection, concentration, and being right early, not financial engineering.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@RnaudBertrand @TimurNegru @RnaudBertrand I always suspected you were a blue blood. Growing up with the oligarchs in Lausanne and now you're the one who turned out interesting. The system works in reverse!

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@JaredSleeper True Jared….but they can’t take away the cash.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@jamesthomason This is false. At launch, Leo, Carl and Nick had capital from Power 5 university endowments and one of the world’s largest oil traders. Leo literally published his OpenAI playbook in 2024. You didn’t even need to invest with him. You just had to follow it.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@AndyMasley

[Jared Sleeper @JaredSleeper]

Any profession where people have decent odds of peaking early (i.e. 20s) can exact a big emotional toll on the unprepared.

Professional athletes, hedge fund guys, etc.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@CliffordAsness Cliff - You are a legend. Your genius paid for my second house. That said, I do remember a stretch when even your relatives stopped taking your calls after you shorted those names. You were ultimately right, but Thanksgiving had to be awkward.

[Rathin Shah @ShahRathin]

https://t.co/ba6mgOyedQ

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@PepInvestStocks @aleabitoreddit @PepInvestStocks Why are Towa’s earnings down so much 26/25? Where are the huge earnings revisions we see at Hynix, Samsung and Micron? We need to see the earnings revisions that we see in the other chip stocks.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

Making a multiple expansion bet in a cyclical is how you get carried out. You can still make money with memory stocks, but the trade is is now earnings revisions, not multiple expansion. AI may be secular, but memory is still cyclical. The market will not put a peak multiple on peak earnings.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

Why would my agent access my data through a Salesforce API or MCP toll booth forever? Eventually CRM earns commodity database margins or I move my data somewhere cheaper. I do not need their GUI anymore, where it takes 17 clicks to get what I need. I only care that my agent retrieves my data.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@MNupdate Didn’t hurt that much my Flex 250 overlay is doing just fine ytd.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@DanielTNiles @DanielTNiles I remember your $AMZN call in 99. It earned you the nickname Dan “the man” Niles at Lehman.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@Jason “I’m in”

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@DanielTNiles Brent spot closed > $141 @DanielTNiles . Remember, the prompt futures contract converges to spot at expiration.

[Amena Bakr’s OPEC mole (fan) @Opec_Mole]

@sourceryy @a16z @pmarca Should we expect a lower fixed management fee for the next @a16z fund?

[Marko Kolanovic @markoinny]

Please consider Mr. Ghalibaf in your institutional investor vote this year in categories commodity research and portfolio strategy.
https://t.co/pzlfN4dyGv