Pascal Bercker

Master's in philosophy from the Uni of Missouri @Columbia and the Uni of Colorado @ Boulder. Amateur Bayesian - Amusing myself with logic & Bayesian networks!

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

Lewis Carroll (simple logic puzzle):

1. Babies are illogical.
2. No person is despised who can manage a crocodile.
3. Illogical persons are despised.

Conclusion?

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

@kaggle Solution to Babies and Crocodiles with a Bayesian Network! (equations are on the right).

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

@CalCarrie Do you really think that people who want her free believe that she is a baby killer? Isn't it because they must believe she is innocent?

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

The many problems with the Lucy Letby conviction (Thanks to NotebookLM for the well-done video). This is a brief summary of the brilliant Lucy Letby Analysis by Chris.

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

@jacksonlambNo1 It might be the other round - people like are unable to handle the awful truth that your justice system (in the UK) is partly broken, and that the NHS has become dysfunctional. Who would want to acknowledge that awful truth? Not you, apparently.

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

@SpringFord14 I made it with NotebookLm (AI from Google) because many will not have the time to view the hour-long video this is based on.

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

@frederi21962339 You are woefully misinformed to believe that. Do you know the origins of those notes that we used in court?

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

@ells_bells09 Yes - I said so in the description! Read it for yourself! It's an AI summary of a much longer post that most won't take the time to view. Any problems with that?

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

4 Pizzas for 7 Friends — Who Will Get Their Pizza? A Combinatorics Problem

https://t.co/cHPkbZzjgj

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

I just published Estimating Pi With A Simple Simulation on Netica

https://t.co/fSAm4Lj6mJ

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

Genetic diagram of Brilliantium flowers
https://t.co/Gbp7kFuBgW

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

@CPMorris1234 @IMudlet @DrSusanOliver1 @UKPatriots2geva @drpaulclarke Keep the moral high ground, Chris, and don't get involved in these school-yard spats!

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

I can understand disagreeing with Dr. Shoo Lee and thinking that he is mistaken. But why go so far as saying he is a charlatan? Why did he ever get involved in the first place? Being from Canada, he never needed to be a part of this, and it's not clear to me how a charlatan could assemble a panel of experts who might in fact have disagreed with his diagnosis. Do you doubt his credentials?

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

I just published David Blackwell & Black History Month — An Early Bayesian — A Man Ahead of His Times!

https://t.co/KDGNXpTlSc

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

I just published Bayesed on What You See - a probability puzzle -

https://t.co/88mlWrjAin

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

A map of Bayesiana

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

https://t.co/EzenT9gGGC

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

I just published Collecting Toys II — A Simple Probability Puzzle, With A Bayesian Network

Every box of cereal contains one toy from a group of
5 distinct toys, each of which is mutually independent
from the others and is equally likely to be within a
given box. How many distinct toys can you expect
to collect if you bought 7 boxes?

https://t.co/jKWXITGRlA

[Pascal Bercker @PBercker]

Nearing my best steak!