POLYSTARS

Collectible stars of prediction markets

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

1) New article is up. It covers why the wallets that hold Polymarket positions to resolution are a different population, and what their behavior actually looks like.

Read it first. This thread is the practical follow up.

💫//🧵

https://t.co/DuPobttqZa

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

https://t.co/RsiEu9aN1S

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

Electoral College Margin of Victory in the 2024 Presidential Election, on @Polymarket

Entry at sub-10% implied probability with Yield at P99 and Gravity at P90. Top-percentile capital efficiency reinforced by top-decile capital footprint.

INSIDER's gate is the two-condition absolute floor: P(E) ≤ 0.10 and Yield ≥ P99. This signature clears both and brings P90 Gravity on top. A configuration the gate doesn't require, layered onto a position that satisfied it. Among the strongest INSIDER signatures in the Genesis set.

This Star belongs to @BrokieTrades

Disclaimer: "INSIDER" is a memetic archetype name reflecting pure market performance;

https://t.co/6eMqcLmSK4
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[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

Elon Musk tweet count Feb 3–10, 2026 market, on @Polymarket

This is one of the few large prediction markets globally that's tied to the output of a single individual on a recurring cadence. Edge on it requires a peculiar skill: reading the patterns of @elonmusk posting behavior week to week.

Entry at sub10% implied probability, with Yield clearing P99. The two-condition absolute gate that defines INSIDER; extracting top percentile yield from a position the market priced as nearly impossible.

This Star belongs to @pptpatil

Note: The Polymarket Global Rank shown on the card (#875) reflects a snapshot dated 05.05.2026; this trader has since moved into the top60! in Polymarket ranking. The framework records what was; the trader keeps going.

Disclaimer: "INSIDER" is a memetic archetype name, not a claim of non-public information or market abuse.
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[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

A Polymarket private key was compromised yesterday. @zachxbt , @Bitcoin_Vietnam , and @ChangeNOW_io coordinated to freeze $164k of $573k transferred from the compromised wallet. No platform contracts were exploited.

Three Polystars Genesis cards record traders on the @Polymarket event from earlier this year predicting which crypto company ZachXBT would expose for insider trading. All three cluster in apex archetypes.

SIGNAL. Deep contrarian entry in the 0.00–0.20 band with Edge, Yield, and Gravity all at P90. The SIGNAL gate requires P90 on Edge and Yield in the 0.00–0.40 range; this signature clears it on the deeper half of that range with a third axis also at P90.
Star belongs to @HanRiverVictim

INSIDER. Entry at sub-10% implied probability and Yield clearing P99. The two-condition absolute gate that defines the archetype; extracting top percentile yield from a position the market priced as nearly impossible. "Does not predict; they know."
Disclaimer: "INSIDER" is a memetic archetype name reflecting capital efficiency, not wrongdoing.
Star belongs to @Frank3261939249

ANOMALY. Four-axis coherence: Edge, Yield, and Gravity all aligned at P70 on a 0.40–0.60 entry. The deeper the bracket, the higher the alignment required — this is the [0.40–0.60] resonance condition.
Star belongs to @yaji_Selene

https://t.co/I8VVeXl2Rj
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https://t.co/7RijDhhsNa

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

@pinkpunks_ @Polymarket We are eagerly waiting to imprint your next success👀

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

Big Game Champion 2026 (Super Bowl) market, on @Polymarket

Entry in the 0.00–0.20 probability band; the deepest contrarian zone; with Edge P99, Yield P99, Gravity P90 across the three behavioral axes.

That's top1% on timing and capital efficiency, top decile on footprint, with capital deployed way before consensus had formed.

4-axis performance places this signature at the upper end of what the archetype captures. The combination is its defining gate condition.

This Star belongs to @pinkpunks_

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[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

Fed decision in September market, on @Polymarket

Entry in the 0.80–0.97 probability band, with Gravity P99, Edge P50, Yield P50 across the three behavioral axes. That places the position in the top 1% of capital footprint for the event; well above the P90 floor that defines the GRAVITON archetype, with median efficiency holding underneath.

This Star belongs to @MiSTkyGo

Note: classification is conditioned on the onchain recorded redemption.

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[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

Premier League Winner 24-25 market, on @Polymarket

Entry in the 0.97–1.00 probability band with a top1% capital footprint on the event (Gravity P99) and volume cleared above the $5,000 threshold.

That combination of terminal-certainty entry and apex-tier capital size is the absolute gate condition for the EXTRACTOR archetype.

Note: classification is conditioned on the onchain recorded redemption.

This Star belongs to @Frosen

https://t.co/ciJs7ysxPJ
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[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

Fed Interest Rates November 2024 market, on @Polymarket

Entry in the 0.80–0.97 probability band, with Gravity P90, Edge P50, Yield BASE across the three behavioral axes.

That places the position in the top-decile capital footprint for the event, which is the defining condition for the GRAVITON archetype.

Note: classification is conditioned on the onchain recorded redemption.

This Star belongs to @Bambardini

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[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

F1 Drivers Champion 2025 market, on @Polymarket .

Entry in the 0.60–0.80 probability band, with Edge P70, Yield P70, and Gravity P90 across the three behavioral axes.

The archetype gate for EQUILIBRIUM sits at P70 across the board. This card sits with a top-decile capital footprint reinforcing the entry.

Note: classification is conditioned on the onchain recorded redemption.

This Star belongs to @Sargallot

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[Scottilicious @scottonPoly]

@POLYSTARSAPP @Polymarket No idea what I’m looking at (an nft?) but whatever it is it’s kinda badass

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

@scottonPoly @Polymarket What's badass is your performance at that event👀

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

Iran Regime fall by March 31 2026 market, on @polymarket

Entry in the 0.60–0.80 probability band, with Edge P90, Yield P90, Gravity P99 across the three behavioral axes.

The archetype gate for EQUILIBRIUM sits at P70 across the board. These ranks clear it by 20–29 points but are still within the eligible baseline of the archetype.

This Star belongs to @scottonPoly

https://t.co/ixggto9104
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[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

@0xd1namit @Param_eth @Polymarket We classify Insiders based on performance. This is a memetic naming that reflects extreme edge and almost prophetic entry. Extreme luck and having “Insider” info result in similar returns and is speculative in nature of what it actually is.

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

@saurav_tweets Wonder how the “Insider” card would look like in this event

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

7) The distinction in one line.

Standard collection: rarity is how rare the behavior is.
Genesis airdrop: rarity is how strong the behavior was, across 69 events chosen for scale.

Cards incoming to the top Stars of Polymarket.

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

1) New article is up. It covers why the wallets that hold Polymarket positions to resolution are a different population, and what their behavior actually looks like.

Read it first. This thread is the practical follow up.

💫//🧵

https://t.co/DuPobttqZa

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

https://t.co/RsiEu9aN1S

[POLYSTARS @POLYSTARSAPP]

6) Why the change.

This is a forced airdrop to the top of the leaderboard. The right star to hand a top trader is the peak of what they did in the biggest, hardest markets, not whatever happened to be statistically scarce.

The Manual logic still governs the collection. This mint is the exception by design.