Here are the features of my site that you can access for FREE until 9/9/26 by making a free account. After that, you'll need to upgrade at only $20 for season long access!
https://t.co/IrcCcaAG18
Let's start off with the Draft Cheat Sheet. Updated daily. Downloadable.
I have Emanuel Wilson ahead of Tyler Allgeier, Bam Knight, and Kendre Miller.
Reasoning below:
1. SEA has a higher team implied total than ARI and NO, and SEA is the only one of those teams favored to win.
2. 9 of the 12 teams with the most drives inside the 10 yard line are in the top 12 in implied totals through 7 weeks. 75% of all RB rush TDs since 2021 have come inside the 10 yard line. So teams projected to score the most, should have more drives inside the 10.
3. Since Week 4:
Emanuel Wilson has handled 4/5 carries inside the 10
Kendre Miller 6/9 carries inside the 10
Week 6
Bam Knight 3 carries inside the 10
Tyler Allgeier 2 carries inside the 10
4. Couple that with Mike LaFleur's comments about how Bam ends up "doing a lot of work on 1st and 2nd down" and how Allgeier helps with 3rd downs, protection schemes, and how they "give him the ball on 3rd and 2, and he's big and forceful" - via @CoachspeakIndex
Maybe the work inside the 10 is split again for ARI this week? But you take the comments + team implied total data (who's scoring the most and should get inside the 10 the most) + who gets the highest share of work inside the 10, I end up with Wilson with a higher probability to outscore the other backs listed.
I almost dropped Emanuel Wilson to make room for Seth McGowan with all the Jonathan Taylor trade rumors circling around.
McGowan was picked up and I did not drop Wilson AND Zach Charbonnet is OUT for week 7. ๐ฎโ๐จ
It's going to be a bumpy next few weeks in the RB world. Buckle up
Anyone with Start/Sit questions?
I've got a Devaughn Vele vs Kendre Miller dilemma in one of my leagues
Starting Vele. If these projections hold true and/or Vele overperforms while Miller underperforms, Vele should score more
Tool used is found here
https://t.co/i36lmAJSvY
I have Emanuel Wilson ahead of Tyler Allgeier, Bam Knight, and Kendre Miller.
Reasoning below:
1. SEA has a higher team implied total than ARI and NO, and SEA is the only one of those teams favored to win.
2. 9 of the 12 teams with the most drives inside the 10 yard line are in the top 12 in implied totals through 7 weeks. 75% of all RB rush TDs since 2021 have come inside the 10 yard line. So teams projected to score the most, should have more drives inside the 10.
3. Since Week 4:
Emanuel Wilson has handled 4/5 carries inside the 10
Kendre Miller 6/9 carries inside the 10
Week 6
Bam Knight 3 carries inside the 10
Tyler Allgeier 2 carries inside the 10
4. Couple that with Mike LaFleur's comments about how Bam ends up "doing a lot of work on 1st and 2nd down" and how Allgeier helps with 3rd downs, protection schemes, and how they "give him the ball on 3rd and 2, and he's big and forceful" - via @CoachspeakIndex
Maybe the work inside the 10 is split again for ARI this week? But you take the comments + team implied total data (who's scoring the most and should get inside the 10 the most) + who gets the highest share of work inside the 10, I end up with Wilson with a higher probability to outscore the other backs listed.
Jonathan Taylor going to a top 12 rest of season implied total team in the Packers (and the backfield somehow all to himself) would put JT back in the OVERALL RB1 conversation. ๐
London and Bernard
I've got Drake London over Germie Bernard and Bernard over Jordan Mason
ATL projected #9 in team implied totals with 24 points
With Mason and Aaron Jones now splitting work, I still think I've got Mason on the high end of production this week.
The WR18 has outscored the RB14 60% of all weeks since 2015 (2nd picture)
Consider holding Dameon Pierce IF you can. Or move on if you have to. Saquon Barkley has been a talked about as a trade candidate. If PHI moves Barkley, Dameon Pierce is the next man up.
Tank Bigsby is on IR. His core muscle injury is projected to keep him out for around 6 weeks. This is week 3
Remember this when drafting next season and for the rest of this year. Mike LaFleur is not a "bellcow" back guy. While he didn't say that specifically, he likes having multiple backs fill different roles to save guys for an entire season.
Do not expect huge roles for his RBs as long as he is HC. We can see that with the snap %'s for Jeremiyah Love, Tyler Allgeier, and Bam Knight
data via @FantasyPtsData
With Jeremiyah Love out another week, Cardinals head coach Mike LaFleur talked about the benefit of having Tyler Allgeier out there on third downs given his forcefulness and pass pro skills.
ย
Bam Knight, meanwhile, will bring the juice on early downs โฌ๏ธ