Introducing Claude Meetings: add Claude to your teamโs video call and it builds docs, whiteboards, and other artifacts with you while youโre still talking.
Starting to roll out in beta on Team and Enterprise plans.
This Mississippi mom talking about what Scott Colom winning means for parents and kids across Mississippi is so powerful and represents what so many parents in โdeep redโ states feel.
An intelligence explosion in *2027* is highly likely, according to the new AI Futures timeline. It has become undeniable.
It's all really happening. Everything the best science fiction writers imagine. Unfathomable advances in medicine, biology, energy, mathematics and more.
Technological advances that we can't conceive of yet, too.
It's a once-in-a-civilization level opportunity. The only way to screw it up is if we resist.
I've summarized where things stand at the AI frontier:
- Unreleased models (Anthropic's Models 3 and 4) are now half-way between AI2027's Agents-1 and 2 (graphs fixed for the bug flagged by the AI2027 authors). @DKokotajlo please let me know if I missed something.
- We're right on track with AI2027's prediction of an automated coder (AC) for April 2027, wild. Public models are now massively lagging unreleased models (1 day vs. 1 week of autonomous high-quality work). Fuelled by RSI, the gap is huge and growing.
- This trajectory, if continued, means a world-changing intelligence explosion in 2027, so the public needs to know. I highly recommend reading more on the topic to grasp what's coming.
Fortunately, I have 35 years of experience in biomedical research (anyone is welcome to check my scientific record), and I have been saying the same thing for years. I completely agree with Demis: we will cure all diseases within 10 years AND reverse aging in approximately 15 years!
I realize I am an exception among my colleagues, but what I find truly messed up is denying people, whether sick or healthy, this very real hope for the future.
Let me explain the main reason why even brilliant scientists and experts struggle to imagine how this could possibly happen. It comes down to extreme cognitive dissonance and the enormous ego of human intelligence: if WE cannot achieve something, we find it inconceivable that MACHINE intelligence could. In fact, the smarter people are, the harder it often becomes for them to accept this possibility, and the more elaborate their coping mechanisms become.
Top mathematicians have just lived through this realization, and physicists will be experiencing it soon.
Yet biologists somehow feel more secure. Not because they are smarter, but because biological systems are vastly more complex. After centuries of research by some of the greatest minds in human history, the idea that AI could solve problems in biology that have eluded us for so long, and do so within just a decade or two, seems utterly inconceivable to them.
Well, they will find out soon enough!
As someone who understands biology deeply, I know that its complexity is not insurmountable. Yes biology IS extraordinarily complex, but it is ultimately a system governed by physical laws and principles that can be decoded, which we have been doing albeit very slowly. Achieving this in a decade will require superintelligence, vastly greater computational power, and enormous amounts of biological data. That is why I believe it will take a decade or two, compared with mathematics and physics, where AI is already making extraordinary progress at a much faster pace.
The fundamental mistake is assuming that the limits of human intelligence are also the limits of intelligence itself. We have spent centuries trying to understand biology with human brains, same substrate it is made of. We are about to bring an entirely different level of intelligence to the problem, one that will eventually surpass the collective intellectual capabilities of all scientists who have ever lived.
As such, I stand 100% behind Demis and others, including Dario Amodei, who have made similar predictions.
Mark my words: the coming revolution in biology and medicine will be unlike anything humanity has ever experienced!