@SimonStadler7@Ma_Ra_Wy@StrebelLuca@Mitte_Centre Falsch. Die SVP hat einen höheren Wähleranteil als die Mitte und hat deshalb die meisten Wähler = grösste Partei im Kanton.
Ihr habt habt dank Proporzglück einen Sitz mehr.
@schwaarmartin@wahlforschung0 Bist du wirklich so dumm?!
SVP-Initiativen erreichen regelmässig 40% und mehr und du behauptest es sei Wahlmanipulation wenn die SVP in den Kantonen ein paar Prozente zulegt und auf 25-30% kommt.
I keep hearing Republicans didn’t show up to vote in Texas… not true. Greg Abbot received 100k more votes in 2026 than 2022…
Democrats jumped 1.7 MILLION VOTES… wait wait wait… Im suppose to believe Democrats went from 3.5 million in 2018, 3.5 million in 2022 to 5.2 million in 2026
Wait… has anyone checked these numbers ?
Something seems extremely off
Umm… 400,000 more Democrats showed up for this Midterm Election than Voting for Kamala Harris…
Kamala Harris got 4.8 million votes…
A no named, nobody knew in Texas for Governor received 400,000 more votes…
Than Kamala Harris… umm.. wait what ?
The Iran War is the greatest political blunder in the last two decades at least. A catastrophically stupid decision. An unforgivable betrayal of America First principles.
KY-06 is the first toss-up House race to close on Election Night (6 PM ET). Here are my benchmarks for what it could signify nationally:
🟥>R+8: Pack it up
🟥R+5–8: Blue ripple
🟥R+0–4: A 2018-style repeat
🟦D+0–3: Blue tsunami like 2006
🟦>D+4: Reverse 2010 for Democrats
Tuesday Predictions—Red Wave will decimate the Democrats.
225 - House Republican
54 - Senate Republicans
Democrats will scream that it was stolen. They will claim the elections illegitimate.
They will begin protesting.
Exit polls will show moderate democrats, independents voted Red.
I believe we are witnessing the end of the Democratic Party as it was once known
I could be completely wrong, we shall see.
All right, I tried to curate a fairly representative cross-section of 13 FLIPR maps for what might happen on Tuesday night. Warning: the last 3 or 4 are deliberately weird! Here's one that came up when the polls were in the 95th percentile of accuracy, however.
Breaking: Final Day Of Early Voting Kicks Off In Florida
Today will be very Democratic as only a few (mainly Dem areas are open) but HOW democratic it is will tell us a lot - here's what today's results mean:
🔵+5,000 - poor (relative) result for Dems showing they are running out of voters
🔵+12,500 - On par for a strong result
🔵+25,000 - Big wave territory and Reps go into election day relying on huge turnout margins to save things
🔵+30,000 - all bets are off and Donald's is in big trouble
Tomorrow (Monday) will see Dems net +10,000 mail win so today is all about how resilient the Republican in person margin is