Patriots Stats

Patriots related stats and graphics using R and NFL ScrapR. More coming soon!

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

If you're interested in injury data, I was able to scrape every injury report from ProFootballRef since 2009. This was calculated by counting the number of missed games for each team. Aka Edelman missed 10 games and Cam missed 1, together they account for 11 missed man games.

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

@CowboysStats I literally forgot my password and haven’t made a pick in 4 weeks

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

This is the saddest targeted route map I’ve ever seen

[Brian Hines @iambrianhines]

#PostPulpit Mailbag: Should Josh McDaniels open up the #Patriots offense? https://t.co/cu1n6OQXzs

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

@WDEVRadioBrady @patscap Think that’s pretty fair too when considering Mac got rid of the ball at the 6th quickest rate but was pressured at the 2nd highest clip in the league somehow

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

Patriots team offensive ranks:
Pass block win rate - 44% (24th)
Run block win rate - 65% (25th)

Team defensive ranks:
Pass rush win rate - 45% (20th)
Run stop win rate - 24% (30th)

Going to be rough if the o line is like this against the Jets

[Seth Walder @SethWalder]

For the morning crowd: the win rate leaderboard!

Individual and team leaders in pass block, run block, pass rush and run stop win rates off of Week 1 action.

All here!

https://t.co/E2KQXXbK3V

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

A few notes:

- Cowboys previous season play calling tendency is based on when Dak was healthy, that's why it is not super high
- Washington falling into the trap of running on the Staley defense
- BUF is low because of how much they passed last year, no need to worry yet.

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

Same idea as my plot yesterday, comparing overall pass rate to league tendencies and team previous season tendencies. Higher up means passing more than their last season, farther to the right means passing more than league tendencies in the same situations.

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

@haastko3 @patscap Definitely. I should pull the numbers but just from the eye test it seemed like 2nd half they opened up the passing game a lot more which hopefully will continue

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

Looking into Josh McDaniels play calls this week:

• -12% pass rate over expected on 1st down relative to league play calls in same situations. -25% on 2nd down.
• Relative to 2020 McDaniels play calls in similar situations, he was more aggressive (+12% overall).
#nflverse

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

The pass probabilities on the use the same variables as the NFLFastR model, the only difference is my model accounts for who the coordinator is via mixed effects. More info that type of process can be found here for those interested!

https://t.co/8xrEk1VRrD

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

Primary takeaway, McDaniels called a conservative game but relative to his tendencies last year this was a more pass focused game.

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

@ryanpaganetti Pretty similar to this play from 10 years ago

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

@grit_t_FB Same here, a lot of easier to learn with applied examples than some simulated data book example

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

Using the nfl fast R x pass model which controls for situational factors, we can observe how much Josh McDaniels has passed more than expected given the game situation. No TB12 definitely affected his play calling... but how much more run heavy can he go

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

@grit_t_FB On a year by year basis no, but I think the x pass model has an era adjustment which would slightly changed the expected pass rates. There is some helpful guidance here https://t.co/2car0RTpi1

[Tej Seth @tejfbanalytics]

since the 2019 auburn game mac jones has had above-average accuracy in every game he has played in including a +9.9% CPOE in 2020 (even when accounting for receiver separation) and a great pre-season

@PFF_Sam breaks down why he is ready to start now: https://t.co/WVXWqTZAwn

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

This was a fun exercise! Nothing too surprising (good QB’s are consistent) but some signal that Fitzpatrick and Tannehill might regress this season (very small sample size caveat).

[Sebastian @mrcaseb]

New #rstats post on @Open_Source_FB!

@PatriotsStatsR analyzes volatility of QB play with gini coefficients.

Post: https://t.co/115SAAlTlC

Source: https://t.co/UqBfcXjZND

[Keegan Abdoo @KeeganAbdoo]

Props to my teammates @joeyanalytics @JBudDavis and @MarkSchofield!

I'll match an additional $300 of donations to the Boys and Girls Clubs of America, just comment your reciept.

Kids can use all the support they can get after the disruption of covid!

https://t.co/tF4ANd31wk

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

@Calvn27 It was provided as a part of the @SportsInfo_SIS analytics challenge. https://t.co/BqFRsrNJ5q

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

Just submitted my SIS Challenge entry, take a look if you are interested! Using mixed models, I found the best route combos in terms of how much each combo added to the comp % and EPA against each coverage. Unsurprisingly, the Go | Seam combo was my top route combo against C3

[Patriots Stats @PatriotsStatsR]

Fives dashes denote a crossing pattern where the routes start on the opposite sides and cross. Final findings can be found here.

https://t.co/AfZkIVVRtL