There is one common denominator with every crypto crash in history.
They always seem like the "end of crypto" and they always become rounding errors in the long run.
The same will happen with the 2025-2026 bear market.
This week was for the HISTORY books.
Assets broke down, one day at a time.
Monday:
The Russell 2000 fell sharply after hitting new highs of 2838. Small-cap stocks usually fall first when risk starts leaving the market.
Tuesday:
The Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to a multi-year low. This happened after Trump said he was not worried about a weaker dollar, and rumors of yen intervention began to spread.
Wednesday:
The S&P 500 sold off. Markets reacted after U.S. officials denied any intervention plans, removing a key support traders were expecting.
Thursday:
The Nasdaq dumped next. Tech stocks finally caught up as selling pressure increased.
Friday:
Gold and silver crashed. This was caused by heavy liquidations and margin pressure, not a sudden drop in physical demand.
Saturday:
Bitcoin and Ethereum sold off. Once selling started in liquid markets, crypto followed. High leverage made the move worse.
This wasn’t random.
It was a chain reaction: small caps → dollar → equities → metals → crypto.
THIS IS REALLY CONCERNING 🚨
$BTC has closed its weekly candle below the 100 EMA for the first time since Q4 2023.
During a bull run, this is a make-or-break level.
This is what happened during the last 2 cycles when Bitcoin broke below the 100W EMA.
November 2018
- BTC closed a weekly candle below 100 EMA
- Dumped 46% in just 5 weeks
May 2022
- BTC closed a weekly candle below 100 EMA
- Dumped 52% in just 7 weeks
February 2026
- BTC closed a weekly candle below 100 EMA
- Already down 15% in just 5 days
Now if Bitcoin is really following the 4-year cycle, here's what will happen next.
BTC will dump another 25%-30% within 6-8 weeks
Bitcoin won't reclaim the 100W EMA level until a bear market bottom happens.
BTC is in a bear market and has been in one since October 2025.
When metals have parabolic rallies like they have been having, it usually leads to drops in risk assets, not rallies.
You are looking at just the last decade, but when you look at Gold in a more historical context (before BTC was created), there are numerous times where after parabolic rallies by metals, it immediately led to deep corrections in risk assets (1973 and 2008 are two such examples).
Bitcoin Hashrate Drops Amid U.S. Cold Storm
“When it drops sharply, it means miners are reducing their activity by voluntarily shutting down machines.” – By @Darkfost_Coc
As the winter storm hits the US, Bitcoin mining companies curtail operations to support the power grid.
Their daily Bitcoin production was hit significantly in the last few days.
CLSK: 22 bitcoin --> 12 Bitcoin
RIOT: 16 --> 3
MARA: 45 --> 7 (more volatile as it mines "solo")
IREN: 18 --> 6
Live dashboard in post below.
@cryptoquant_com
No, quantum computers won't break Bitcoin in the near future. We'll keep observing their evolution.
Yet, making thoughtful changes to the protocol (and an unprecedented migration of funds) could easily take 5 to 10 years.
We should hope for the best, but prepare for the worst.
DUMMIES GUIDE TO BEING QUANTUM SAFE.
In the past it was about protecting your PRIVATE KEY (your seed phrase). In the age of big scary quantum computers (BSQC) that are coming, you need to protect your PUBLIC KEY also.
Basically a BSQC can figure out your private key from a public key.
The present day taproot addresses (the latest format) are NOT safe, these are addresses starting with "bc1p" and they embed the public key into the address, not good.
Prior formats hide the public key behind a hash, so a BSQC can't easily crack it.
Do this:
1) create a new segwit wallet. It will start with "bc1q" (NOT "bc1p"), you can use older formats too like ones starting with "1" and "3"
2) send all your BTC into this new address
3) you can continue to stack sats into this new address
4) NEVER send BTC out of it, once you do you're BSQC hackable because your public key is revealed
5) wait for Bitcoin to upgrade to a quantum safe protocol, this may take 7 years, who knows
6) send your BTC into the new quantum safe address when the network is NOT congested, once you send, you reveal the private key for a short time. It's unlikely a BSQC will steal your coins in that short window
🚨 Be aware of scammers!
🔹 CoinMarketCap will NEVER DM you first. If you receive a message claiming to be from CMC & asking for funds, it's a scam!
Always verify before sending out your funds!
Stay #SAFU
RETAIL IS PANIC-DUMPING: YOU KNOW WHAT FOLLOWS
Small wallets bleeding out:
$BTC: -0.36% (5d)
$ETH: -0.90% (30d)
$XRP: -1.38% (since Nov)
When retail capitulates, smart money accumulates.
This is the setup before every violent pump.
The Real question: Are you positioning for the next leg up?
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‼️ A Bitcoin whale placed a multi-million-dollar short just 30 minutes before Trump's tariff announcement
One hour later, they made $192M profits from the biggest crypto liquidation event ever
The accounts were brand new and funds were withdrawn immediately
Did they know? 🤔
Thailand is working to expand its domestic cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund plans beyond Bitcoin to include other digital tokens, with the rollout expected early next year, according to the market regulator https://t.co/7NEq1Sw0IM
$ETH has now reclaimed the $4,050 support level.
The next major level to reclaim is $4,250 which will open the door for more upside.
If ETH fails to reclaim this level, a drop towards $4,000 could happen.