Pierce O’Bannon

Irish trader☘️🇮🇪 Est. 2020

[Niccolò Machiavelli | The Prince ⚔️ @NiccoloDaily]

The wise man does at once what the fool does finally.

[Ethan Kho @ethanrkho]

How a $4M poker champion turned every decision you make into a bet — and why that changes everything

Annie Duke, Ph.D. (@AnnieDuke — WSOP bracelet winner, $4M in tournament winnings, national bestselling author of Thinking in Bets, Special Partner @ First Round Capital, PhD in Cognitive Psychology from Penn)

"A good bet is one that carries positive expectancy. What a good bet is NOT — is one that wins."

We cover:
- Why every decision you've ever made is a bet (even ordering off a menu)
- The green light vs. red light rule for separating outcomes from decisions
- How to build an EV calculation for something as messy as choosing a career
- Why loss aversion is secretly an uncertainty problem — and how great risk takers solve it
- When to trust your gut vs. when gut feel is just bias in disguise
- The pre-mortem framework — how to find your blind spots before it's too late
- Mental time travel: the parenting tool Annie uses to raise better decision-makers
- How she explained luck, hard work & probability to her 4 kids at the dinner table

Thanks for making time, Annie. Been a fan of yours for a while.

Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:12 Defining bets as resource allocation under uncertainty
04:52 Positive expectancy vs. outcome-based evaluation
06:11 Resulting: Why outcomes are not proxies for decision quality
15:19 Calculating expected value in high-variance career paths
18:55 Moving from implicit intuition to explicit decision modeling
24:27 Using base rates and reference classes for startups
30:26 Psychological traits of elite risk takers and traders
31:33 How prospect theory and loss aversion distort risk
45:12 Deconstructing gut feel and the role of intuition
49:36 Evaluating optionality and impact in fast-moving environments
57:13 Mental time travel: Tools for managing temporal discounting
01:01:31 Quantifying the intersection of luck and hard work
01:04:43 Internalizing a probabilistic worldview for long-term edge

[Market Rebellion @RebellioMarket]

90% of people will ignore this.
This guy just explained why some people become wildly successful while others stay stuck forever.
The answer?
Game Theory.
And it’s deeply uncomfortable.
Watch this.

[MindBranches @MindBranches]

Article Summary: how to master prompt engineering

[MindBranches @MindBranches]

“Earn with your mind, not your time.”

Book Summary: The Almanack of Naval Ravikant

[Noctara @rumilyrics]

You worry too much for someone who God has never failed.

[Noctara @rumilyrics]

Be delusional enough to believe that it's possible.
Be disciplined enough to prove yourself right.

[Linda @LndamyDark]

Helpful information for you #smokers out there. I know this works, I've used it myself.

[Bryan Johnson @bryan_johnson]

for those of you who want to prioritize health in 2026 and or play the immortality by 2039 game with me, my company blueprint is building out the world's most comprehensive anti-aging protocol and infrastructure: biomarkers, nutrition, rx, hair, skin, protocols, social, therapies, doctors and more. male and female. evidence based and data driven.

small budget to all in, we'll meet you where you're at.

we raised $60M in september and the team is now assembled. we're standing it all up right now. we'll be ready for you sometime in february.

i'm serious about the 2039 goal. I know many of you are too. but the world does not have what you need. things are too scattered. not comprehensive enough. not driven by evidence and data. we're building it.

the don't die community is global, full of remarkable people who love life and know of the preciousness of our existence. they are top global performers and the future of humanity. looking forward to building with you.

[Md Riyazuddin @riyazmd774]

I LOST 27 KILOS WITH CHATGPT AS MY PERSONAL TRAINER.

No gym. No expensive apps. No BS.

Just daily discipline + prompts that actually gave me structure.

Here’s the 7 Prompts that can do the same for you:

[Bryan Johnson @bryan_johnson]

Here's how I achieved a 9 year skin age reversal. Effectively freezing my skin aging over the past 5 years.

To start, some first hand accounts:

1) Chamath: "Bryan's skin is incredible. His skin is like a porcelain dolls. Both my wife and I were like, we've never seen skin like this. It's incredibly soft. It's the softest skin I've ever touched in my life."

2) Growing Daniel "Eight feet from immortal unc right now. His skin is so beautiful in person. Cameras can’t comprehend."

Skin is an accounting of life decisions. It's a tell all. Eat a bag of doritos and you'll wear it on your face.

Skin begins to age in your 20s.

+ collagen and elastin decline: starting in our mid 20s, collagen content decreases by about 1% annually, reducing skin firmness and suppleness. Elastin, which provides stretchability and prevents wrinkling, also deteriorates over time.

+ loss of hydration: aging skin loses moisture due to changes in collagen, reduced hyaluronic acid content, and a 65% loss of fat content, leading to dryness, reduced thickness, and diminished suppleness.

+ environmental damage - chronic exposure to environmental factors, especially UV radiation and air pollutants, accelerates skin aging by breaking down collagen and inducing oxidative stress. This damage is largely avoidable through deliberate lifestyle planning.

+ cellular aging: fibroblasts, responsible for collagen and hyaluronic acid production, become less efficient, impairing skin repair and water retention. A drop in active melanocytes also causes the uneven pigmentation typical of elderly skin.

My protocol is comprehensive: nutrition, supplementation, environment, and therapies. Designed to protect the skin from cellular radiation damage, prevent environmental toxic exposures, prevent inflammation and oxidative damage, improve skin hydration, boost blood supply and circulation, enhance detoxification, and optimize the skin microbiome.

Daily Skin Routine
Get the basics right: cleanse, hydrate and keep inflammation and cellular damage at bay.

During the past five years of my project blueprint, I've experimented with dozens of serums. The companies making these products overpromise. Few are based upon evidence. Fewer do anything. We reviewed the scientific evidence and found the actives we wanted. But it didn't exist. So we built it.

A blueprint cleanser, serum and moisturizer, featuring SCF, NMN, and hyaluronic acid as core active ingredients.

SCF is a novel skin anti-inflammatory and anti-aging compound, showing superior effects to niacinamide (the state-of-the-art in most creams). In cultured cells, it demonstrated superior properties to antioxidant vitamins in preventing inflammation linked to UV exposure and chemical or bacterial insults.

In a clinical trial, 1% SCF statistically outperformed 5% niacinamide at reducing skin wrinkles, improving texture, hydration, radiance, luminosity, and brightness, as well as improving the overall healthy appearance of the skin.

NMN (Nicotinamide Mononucleotide) is an NAD+ precursor. Systemic administration of NMN is known to prevent skin aging by improving skin barrier function and enhancing antioxidant and anti-inflammatory defenses against UV damage. Experiments with synthetic skin models also showed that NMN can penetrate the skin, indicating that topical applications can enhance the benefits.

Hyaluronic acid retains moisture, granting the skin extra firmness and an improved texture.

Diet and Supplementation

Oral collagen peptides, flavonols, polyphenols, and antioxidant supplementation help the skin resist photoaging and maintain its elasticity.

+ average collagen users: showed better skin elasticity than 97% of the control group.

+ average flavonoid users: showed better skin resistance to UV than 99% of the control group.

+ average polyphenol users (a mix of flavonols and other polyphenols): Showed better skin elasticity than 97% of the control group.

+ I supplement NR (Nicotinamide Riboside) and hyaluronic acid daily.

I get all of the above from Blueprint: collagen peptides, extra virgin olive oil, cocoa and supplementation as I know its sourcing, quality and it's third party tested.

My diet, which focuses on plant protein, fiber, and polyphenols, is also geared toward eliminating inflammation, oxidative stress, and glycation. All sources of skin damage.

Photoaging and UV Precautions
+ early mornings and later afternoons are better when the UV index is low
+ when the UV index is high (10 am - 4 pm), protect your skin
+ can protect with clothing, a UV umbrella, hat and/or mineral sunscreen

Skin focused therapies

+ 1927 nm laser (1x every 6 months, can do more or less depending on your status and goals) - improves skin tone, texture, dyschromia, sun damage, and fine lines, while also reducing actinic keratoses and pigmentation through accelerated epidermal turnover and renewal.

+ 1550-nm laser (1x every 6 months, can do more or less depending on your status and goals) - penetrates deeper into the mid-dermis, where it creates controlled microthermal injury that stimulates fibroblasts to produce new collagen and elastin, leading to improvements in skin firmness, wrinkles, acne scars, and overall structural integrity.

+ Sofwave (1x every 6 months, can do more or less depending on your status and goals): non-invasive ultrasound skin tightening system that delivers controlled energy into the mid-dermis to stimulate collagen and elastin production without damaging the skin’s surface. By activating fibroblasts through precise thermal stimulation, it improves skin firmness, laxity, and fine lines, especially on the face and neck, with minimal downtime.

Systemic therapies

+ red/nir light panels: I do a daily therapy using full body panels with 660nm and 850nm wavelengths. By boosting mitochondrial function, vasodilation, and blood circulation, this therapy offers both localized benefits for skin health (including boosting skin energy and vitality, improving antioxidant defenses, and reversing damage) and aids in muscle recovery from exercise, as well as boosting systemic health, including improving sleep, immunity, and metabolic regulation.

+ Hyperbaric Oxygen Therapy (HBOT): is perhaps the best skin rejuvenation therapy in the world. Data from 60 sessions, 90 minutes each. 20 min oxygen, 5 min off. 5x weekly, 12 weeks.

+ 12.8% increase in collagen fiber density
+ 144% increase in elastic fiber length
+ reduced fragmentation 90% to 10%
+ 40.9% increase in skin blood vessel count
+ 84.3% increase in CD31 blood vessel specific marker
+ 21% reduction in senescent cells

+ dry sauna: sauna improves skin health by shifting blood flow towards the skin (up to 70%), promoting improved oxygen and nutrient supply, increasing sweating for pore cleansing and detoxification, and improving collagen and elastin production as a heat response.

[Shannon 🇺🇸I stand with America @thewriterme]

A writing from 91 A.D. video information in the comments. This is incredible.

[AI Panda @AIPandaX]

This guy literally shows how to build end-to-end automations using AI (5-hour crash course)

[Navalism @NavalismHQ]

"All the benefits in life come from compound interest - relationship, money, habits - anything of importance."

@naval