Peter 📊 | Guru

Buildin @Spectra_Markets | The Digital Asset Investor. Entertainment Purposes Only. I am Not A Financial Advisor

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

If you want the you two years later to appreciate what you did today, then...

(Not calling any bottoms. No one can. But try to adopt a yearly horizon.)

[The Hormuz Report @HormuzReport]

BREAKING: The Trump administration is reportedly considering surrendering U.S. bases in the Gulf and weighing a pullback from the Persian Gulf after Iranian strikes crippled American bases, with allies now questioning whether U.S. forces have become a liability, per The Washington Post.

Eight people familiar with the matter told the Post that the Defense Department is assessing whether to rebuild damaged bases or scale back the U.S. military footprint in the Middle East.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

There is a potential future that is super amazing is we all fight hard to achieve it

[The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter]

BREAKING: South Korea directly rejects Trump's new demand to join the US in the Iran war and the denuclearization of Iran, prompting Trump to announce on Truth Social that he will substantially reduce military exercises with South Korea, held every year since 1954, because of it.

Trump adds he is in a “very good relationship” with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un.

[Barchart @Barchart]

Gold has overtaken U.S. Treasuries as the World's Top Reserve Asset 🤯👀

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

🚨 THERE'S NO STOPPING JAPAN'S ECONOMIC CRISIS

Japan's 2-year bond yield just hit 1.692%, its highest level in 31 years. It was negative in early 2024.

That's a rise of nearly 170 basis points from below zero in just two years.

The 5-year is at 2.173%, also a 31-year high, and the 10-year is at 2.929%, a 30-year high. The entire curve is repricing at once, not just the short end.

Japan already carries debt worth around 205% of GDP, while Q2 GDP growth came in at just 1.1% annualized versus 2.0% expected.

Rising debt, weakening growth, a falling currency and higher borrowing costs are all hitting Japan at the same time.

It is the worst combination a country can face.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

The cost of servicing US debt is the highest in decades:

On Thursday, the US government sold $25 billion of 30Y Treasury bonds at a 5.216% yield, the highest auction yield since 2001.

This follows a $42 billion auction of 10Y Treasury notes on Wednesday that resulted in a 4.683% yield, the highest since 2007.

Previously, on July 9th, the government sold 30Y Treasury bonds at a 5.058% yield, the highest since 2007, highlighting the worsening trend in US debt financing costs.

By comparison, yields on the same-maturity Treasury auctions were below 2.00% during the 2020 pandemic.

This comes as investors are demanding more compensation to finance the US government's ever-growing deficit.

In July, the US Treasury’s budget deficit surged +$141 billion YoY, to $432 billion, the largest July total in history.

The US debt crisis is entering uncharted territory.

[Peter 📊 | Guru @Pranshu_06]

@WhiteHouse Good. Now just stop negotiating with the islamic republic. Finish the job Mr. President. No more irgc. No more sepah. Recognize Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi as the official head of state while in exile. The rest of the world will follow your lead.

[Peter 📊 | Guru @Pranshu_06]

@HormuzLetter The only thing that is keeping us from more war for Israel is running out of bombs. Take your time defense industry!

[The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter]

BREAKING: Just days after Trump made a "very angry" phone call to Deputy Defense Secretary Steve Feinberg over extreme US munitions shortages following the Camp David clash with Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, Feinberg has now issued a directive to US defense firms giving them no more than 21 days to submit plans to rapidly escalate the production and delivery of weapons that are now at zero due to the war, per WaPo.

Feinberg states "years-long development cycles are not acceptable" and "we must dramatically accelerate our program schedules and expand our production capacity now" due to the catastrophically low amount of munitions.

The Pentagon last week secured Lockheed Martin a contract worth up to $58.6 billion for PAC-3 MSE production, and this Monday signed agreements with Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin to increase production of PAC-3 and THAAD missiles, the exact missiles now at zero due to the war.

[Peter 📊 | Guru @Pranshu_06]

@KobeissiLetter There you have it - the list of companies to buy PUTs against. Only question is which expiration date to pick.

[Leonidas 🧡 $DOG @LeonidasNFT]

I CAN'T BELIEVE THIS!!!!!!!!!!!!

THE BIP-110 SUPPORTERS JUST FORKED OFF OF BITCOIN AND CREATED THEIR OWN CHAIN THAT NOW HAS TWO BLOCKS

LUKE AND HIS ANTI ORDINALS FOLLOWERS HAVE BEEN KICKED OFF OF BITCOIN

THE $DOG ARMY HAS OFFICIALLY WON!!!!!!!!!!

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

IRAN SAYS HORMUZ DEAL CLOSE, BUT CONDITIONS REMAIN

Iran says it is “very close” to a shipping agreement with Oman over the Strait of Hormuz, but warned the deal alone won’t reopen the vital waterway.

Tehran says reopening depends on Washington accepting additional conditions, including compensation.

The US says it will lift its blockade of Iranian ports once unrestricted commercial shipping resumes.

Meanwhile, the UAE accused Iran of another missile strike on a vessel in the strait.

[OSINTdefender @sentdefender]

The Pentagon is now giving defense contractors 21 days to come up with ways to dramatically accelerate weapons production as the Iran war continues to eat through U.S. stockpiles.

Deputy Defense Secretary Steve Feinberg directed industry to propose faster delivery schedules, increased production and investments in new manufacturing capacity.

The scale of the depletion is significant. The Pentagon says the U.S. has expended more than 850 Tomahawks, 1,000 Patriot/THAAD interceptors and 1,300 tactical ballistic missiles in the early stages of the war.

A CSIS estimate cited by the Washington Post puts global Patriot inventories at under 827, down from roughly 2,200 before the war, while THAAD inventories have fallen from 452 to fewer than 278.

The Pentagon has announced framework agreements to expand production, including the recent effort to triple PAC-3 production and quadruple production of key THAAD components. But these agreements still require congressional funding.

[Caleb @CalebSol]

“I don’t touch crypto. It’s too risky.”

Your grandpa at your age:

[Ash Crypto @AshCrypto]

Crypto is now the worst-performing asset class since January 2025.

Silver +107%
Copper +66%
Gold +60%
Nasdaq +38%
Russell +31%

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is down -35%, ETH is down -47%, and Altcoins are down -57%.

Crypto remains the most undervalued asset so far.

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Bank of America says investor bullishness has reached its highest level since 2021, warns it's time to sell stocks and other risk assets.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

This is absolutely incredible.

Corporate America is currently on pace for the biggest earnings beat EVER recorded.

S&P 500 companies are beating earnings per share estimates by an aggregate +29.2%.

To put this into perspective, the 5-year average stands at +7.0%, which is already historically high.

In other words, S&P 500 companies are now beating already high expectations by ~4.2 TIMES the 5-year average.

On top of this, the blended net margin for the S&P 500 is up to 16.9%, also an all time high.

Even if you removed Alphabet’s $98 billion gain from unrealized equity investments and Amazon’s $53 billion gain from Anthropic, S&P 500 earnings growth would STILL be +32.0% year-over-year.

We are in the midst of the largest investment boom in history.