@r_vonhagn@offbeatorbit Let's also not forget this cycle has been awful for polling. Polling firms couldn't even poll a single party correctly. In WI Governor race they were off by 17.2%, MI Senate primary they were off by 13.6%, TX Senate 4%.
@LucJGagnon Emerson did well in the last midterm OH Senate poll
In 2020 they had Gideon winning ME by 6% days before the election. missed by 14.6%. She won by 8.6%.
TX last senate poll was off by 5.5% in the GOP favor
Last MI midterm the final 3 polls were off by an average of 8.3% in D
@bidenharris_fan Emerson had 2 October polls in 2022. They had Vance up by an average of 5 points. He won by 6.5.
Their final poll underestimated Dem by 2.7%. this could be a nail biter, but if late deciders are breaking GOP by 9 this could be over
@bidenharris_fan In 2020 Emerson had Gideon winning ME by 6% three days before the election. Not ONE poll had Collins winning. They missed by 14.6%. she won by 8.6%.
@RpsAgainstTrump In 2020 Emerson had Gideon winning by 6% three days before the election. Not ONE poll had her winning. They missed by 14.6%. she won by 8.6%.