Erwan Gaillard

Building value with Stocks, Commodities, Indices, Currencies since 2015. Macro & Medium Term Trends Chart analysis.

[Erwan Gaillard @R1_4GA]

Welcome 2026, lots of personnal changes in life these past 2 years. Incredible journey. Now in Swiss near Zurich for a higher quality of life.
Trading was flat.
Investments went balistic.
Income doubled.
Sport perf around 20% increase.
6 / 6 / 6 / 6 applied.

[Erwan Gaillard @R1_4GA]

Too much long concentration and a nice shakeout on tech tickers. Fully out again with secured SL triggered. Almost nothing made from end of May to now.

Watching how volatility plays out, KO, NOVS are back up while tech swings.
On the sidelines again waiting for a clear signal.

[Erwan Gaillard @R1_4GA]

Welcome 2026, lots of personnal changes in life these past 2 years. Incredible journey. Now in Swiss near Zurich for a higher quality of life.
Trading was flat.
Investments went balistic.
Income doubled.
Sport perf around 20% increase.
6 / 6 / 6 / 6 applied.

[Erwan Gaillard @R1_4GA]

Had to enter back again yesterday at open.
Got back at sold price for SPY, missed 1.1% on QQQ but now fully back in and IBKR entered at -1.5%.
No gain or loss overall into this selling / buying protection move.
With SPY above weekly all green light for markets right now.

[Steve Burns @SJosephBurns]

“People always forget that 50% of a stock’s move is the overall market, 30% is the industry group, and then maybe 20% is the extra alpha from stock picking. And stock picking is full of macro bets. When an equity guy is playing airlines, he’s making an embedded macro call on oil.”

— Stanley Druckenmiller

[Riz Iqbal @Wordsofrizdom]

U.S. Investing Champion, Mario Stamatoudis doesn’t believe in “finding new setups”

He believes in understanding why they work.

“Why breakouts worked for 100+ years?”

Most traders chase patterns, but never question the logic behind them.

Breakouts. Pullbacks. Gaps.

They’re not random. They exist because of two forces that never change:

Structure and behavior.

And when those two align, That’s where real opportunities form.

But here’s where most traders get it wrong:

They memorize setups,
Without ever understanding the mechanism behind them.

So when conditions shift — they’re lost.

Because they were trading patterns, not principles.

Which brings us to the real test:

Do you actually understand why your setup works... Or are you just hoping it keeps working?

[Thomas Sowell Quotes @ThomasSowell]

Warren Buffet: "I can end the deficit in five minutes. You juts pass a law that says that anytime there is a deficit of more than 3% of GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for reelection."

[Sam Gatlin @sam_gatlin]

More new highs for commodities relative to stocks this week.

You can choose to fight it, but I don't think this trend is anywhere near over.

[Ross Hendricks @Ross__Hendricks]

How to win in 2026… simply assume US policy makers will continue operating on full retard mode, and bet accordingly

[Otavio (Tavi) Costa @TaviCosta]

It’s official.

Agricultural commodities have broken through a nearly 20-year resistance level.

I expect this move to accelerate from here.

When energy moves, agriculture tends to follow — it’s a natural lag in the macro setup.

Be mindful of the social and political consequences of rising food prices.

My latest macro presentation:

https://t.co/9Tz3Hjcncl

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

Long white monthly candles...

See what I wrote for #GOLD in a similar strong breakout. Very important... duration of consolidations and what can follow after the breakouts.

[Erwan Gaillard @R1_4GA]

@PeterLBrandt @PeterSchiff Sadly true. Inflation is here, welcome inflation and welcome dark age.

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Hey @PeterSchiff
I am giving it a 75% probability that this week's low or maybe slightly lower will be the low for Gold for years to come

[Reads with Ravi @readswithravi]

“Those who keep learning will keep rising in life.”

— Charlie Munger

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

Let's see if $DAX was a hard re-test of the #rectangle

[Erwan Gaillard @R1_4GA]

@zfellows And learn to sell.
Showing cool thing is not enough, people need to feel they get something out of you when they watch/read your content.
Most of the best blogs (value) are unknown.
You need to showcase status, you need to be arrogant, you need to be a ruthless seller.
Then yes.