Rae Rae

However much you hate the media, it’s not nearly enough. Patriot. Nurse. Veteran spouse. Conservative.

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

Nazis: "These people aren't human so it's okay."

Slave owners: "These people aren't human so it's okay."

Abortion activists: "These people aren't human so it's okay.

[Border Hawk @BorderHawkNews]

New Jersey Governor Doubling Budget for Illegal Alien Defense Fund
https://t.co/J9nmJHxf22

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@FenrirDesigns @TheBritLad George Floyd did not die because of his skin color either.

[David Marcus @BlueBoxDave]

We just watched 2 major California elections stolen before our eyes, and cowardly John Thune still won’t pass the Save America Act. He’s worse than Pence.

[Wall Street Mav @WallStreetMav]

Spencer Pratt will not advance. The fact that they set a deadline means Democrats calculated this is all the time they’ll need to give Nithya Raman the 2nd place finish.

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@gregbettinelli You want us to believe that Californias elections are not fraudulent? Mandatory Voter ID.

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@washingtonian A match made in Hell.

[Spencer Pratt @spencerpratt]

Karen Bass needs this lie to persist so you won’t look at everything she did wrong to condemn us to burn. You’re next, Sunland, Tujunga, Bel Air, Brentwood…don’t say I didn’t warn you.

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@JenCommon @TomFitton Wow. The Democrat Party narrative has successfully made you ignorant.

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@MarcoFoster_ Biden did not do any of those things for the country either. Yet, Pelley would never undermine a Democrat President. #LiberalLogic

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@itsmorganariel Have you even bothered to listen to Candace’s 24/7 rants about Erika? I think there aren’t enough conversations calling out Candace’s mental crisis.

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@mightyXla @JeremyCom I bet if this were going on in a red state, your opinion would be different

[Jeremy Padawer @JeremyCom]

The odds of Nithya Raman receiving 40% of the vote yesterday are “LESS LIKELY than picking ONE GRAIN OF SAND on Earth dozens of times in a row.” I believe elections tend to be fair. Someone help me make sense of math that seems impossible…

I ASKED CHATGPT -
“What is the statistical likelihood that 40% of votes from a “new batch” of ballots go to a candidate who received 24% of votes from all other batches that represented 95% of counted electorate. Give me a % odds.”

The Answer (Part 1) -
“Assuming the candidate’s “true” share is 24%, the odds that a random new batch lands at 40% or higher depends on batch size:
50 ballots
0.88%
100 ballots
0.028%
200 ballots
0.00004%
500 ballots
~0.00000000000018%
1,000 ballots
~0.0000000000000000000000000035%”

My follow up -
“Assume 40,000 ballots. Are the odds one in a billion? One in a trillion? Worse? This seems to be happening in Los Angeles Mayor’s race between Mayor Bass, Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman.”

The Answer (Part 2) -
“If the 40,000-ballot batch were drawn from the same population that produced 24% support in the other 95% of votes, then seeing 40% support in that batch would be far beyond “one in a billion” or “one in a trillion.”

75 standard deviations is in an entirely different universe.

The probability is approximately:

~10⁻¹²²⁰

or about

1 chance in 10¹²²⁰

That’s a number with roughly 1,220 zeros after the 1.

Statistically, if the batch were truly a random sample of the same electorate, the odds are so small that statisticians would effectively treat the event as impossible. The usual conclusion would not be “wow, what a lucky fluctuation,” but rather that the batch is not representative of the earlier ballots—for example, it came from a different geographic area, voting method, demographic group, or subset of voters.

So yes: much worse than one in a billion, much worse than one in a trillion, and vastly smaller than any probability encountered in ordinary statistical analysis.”

My follow up -
“More grains of sand on earth than the likelihood of this?”

The Answer (Part 3) -
“Yes. Much, much more.

Estimated grains of sand on Earth are often put around 10¹⁸ to 10²⁰.

Your odds example was roughly:

1 in 10¹²²⁰

So this is not just “less likely than picking one grain of sand on Earth.”

It’s more like picking the right grain of sand on Earth correctly over and over again dozens of times in a row.”

Sincerely,
Jeremy Padawer
https://t.co/POrFyAfNhH

@spencerpratt @BoredElonMusk @Hotshot_Movie @415FirePhoto
#losangeles #la #fyp #mayor

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@overturnH8 @LAMaterial__ @sherlyholmes Every state should start playing with election results like California does. If you can’t beat them, join them.

[Will Chamberlain @willchamberlain]

Spencer Pratt did an amazing job showing how the City of Los Angeles was brazenly stealing from taxpayers and not providing basic services

Is it any surprise that they would steal an election too?

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@omriceren @josh_hammer Exactly why Theo should stick to comedy

[Omri Ceren @omriceren]

Back in reality, we spy on Israel so pervasively that Obama used it as a backdoor to spy on members of Congress for meetings where Israel came up.

Social media is a schizophrenia machine that disables people from doing the most basic kinds of cognitive mapping.

https://t.co/AQq8Kfb9w5

https://t.co/LawMHYLPV8

https://t.co/ksDrSEoG1f

[Rae Rae @RaeSean8]

@WesternLensman @josh_hammer This is what happens to your mind when you live in a bubble.

[Richard Grenell @RichardGrenell]

What’s dumb is to think California’s voter rolls are clean and legal.

They aren’t.

LA County was forced to admit this.

Combine bad voter rolls with No ID Required to Vote and then a Mail ballot to everyone on the voter rolls - and you have corruption.

We aren’t dumb - you just look the other way at corruption.

[LindellTV @RealLindellTV]

🚨 NANCY PELOSI TELLS LINDELLTV REPORTER: “SHUT UP AGAIN” OVER JAN 6 QUESTIONS 🚨

LindellTV's @alisonintheknow confronted @SpeakerPelosi with questions about January 6th, the National Guard, and Pelosi's OWN comments caught on camera following the Capitol breach.

Pelosi immediately fired back:
“Shut up again because you're speaking lies.”

When Steinberg continued pressing for answers, Pelosi refused to engage and instead attacked our reporter's credibility.

“You work for Mike the Pillow Man. That's not journalism.”

Pelosi then escalated:
“All you do is spout untruths.”
“Get away from me.”

Notably absent from the exchange? Answers.

Instead of addressing lingering questions about January 6th, the National Guard response, or her own behind-the-scenes role that day, Pelosi chose insults over accountability.

The American people are still asking questions.
@SpeakerPelosi is still refusing to answer them

[Chris @chriswithans]

Every reporter right now: “Becerra will advance in the governor’s election in California. It’s uncertain who he’ll face as it’s only been 3 days since polls closed and 33% of votes are still outstanding. Steve Hilton only leads Tom Steyer by 5.3%, so we can’t call that yet. But we can call Xavier Becerra beating Steve Hilton even though he only leads by 0.4 points. We know this because we all know Democrats chea