Just after Waller essentially based his Sept FOMC decision on next week's CPI report (leaning toward holding FF rate steady), ISM Services Price Paid comes out blazing at 72.6, high since 2022.
REUTERS NEXT: FED'S WALLER SAYS OUR MANDATE IS PRICE STABILITY, FULL EMPLOYMENT, NOT FINANCIAL CONDITIONS
"going after warsh" waller is brutal sometime.
@hawkishdude also do you track any things for it? if then what stuff you follow? i am not aware for this. just want to understand for some OIS exposure.
FOMC: Barr (Board hawkish) does not indicate a rate hike and still conditioned it on inflation โnot to be moderating sufficientlyโ, while โsome confidenceโ would be sufficient for a hold.
If the hawks do not press for a hike more clearly it is an indication that the FOMC is not forming a majority, watch Waller tomorrow and other speakers.
FED'S BARR: IF INFLATION DOESN'T MODERATE SOON, IT WILL BE TIME FOR AN INTEREST RATE HIKE
this is now getting interesting; a board member, and centrist tilting towards hike means something now. we are near, sep or oct or dec? what do you guys think?
If i have play i will choose Oct meeting paid.
Everyone talking about rising Bond Yields, yields not seen in a very long time (GFC). Reality of the matter is that Global CBs exploited Extraordinary Monetary Policy Tools as long as they could, too long! They never truly normalized till inflation hit them in the face. With extreme levels of debt, and the cost of financing very significant, a dose of reality is setting in!