Husband, Dad, Scout leader. I do nukes & missile defense & am Asst Dir of the Defense team @Heritage. Post on China, Springsteen, & backpacking. Views my own.
Very proud to share the documentary: Breathtaking.
It examines the implications of the 🇨🇳 nuke breakout.
Thanks to @SenatorFischer; @RepChipRoy; @RLHeinrichs; ADM Chas Richard, Frank Miller, Bob Joseph, and the @Heritage team for making this happen.
https://t.co/BjwdleeAxl
Let’s say the President of the United States wanted to respond to a Chinese nuclear attack on the American Air Force base in Guam by targeting a similar Chinese site with our own tactical nuclear weapon. We probably couldn’t do so if we tried.
Our new mini-documentary explores the vulnerabilities of our current nuclear arsenal and what must be done to restore nuclear deterrence from the growing threats of nuclear adversaries around the world.
🔗: https://t.co/Zhq6cfVuzh
Will be speaking later this month at a conference held by @CatoInstitute on Nuclear Proliferation in US Grand Strategy, for those interested.
https://t.co/3dGaP10rRj
My latest on extended deterrence in East Asia, w/ @RealBobPeters
Deterrence by denial isn't enough in East Asia. The US needs broader theater nuclear response options to reassure anxious allies and convince Xi he won't be able to escalate his way out of failing conventional war
Nobody likes to pay more to get less. But that’s what the U.S. will be getting under the Navy’s latest shipbuilding plan.
@RealBobPeters@WilsonCBeaver https://t.co/9SI5x8fpP3
An odd piece by @TildenJay.
He closes w/ "perhaps U.S. strategists should publicly talk a little less and focus a little more on the current program of record"
The problem is those he criticizes don't see the POR as sufficient. That's why they talk.
https://t.co/OpdyFR8eEj
@Lazarus_Navy@USNavy Sure, but those ships will lack resident IAMD capabilities while still having less aggregate firepower and shorter range.
How is that a good trade?
@Lazarus_Navy@USNavy How will they be more survivable? And if we have fewer VLS cells on shorter range ships and fewer destroyers--how does that equal "force multiplier"?
@Lazarus_Navy@USNavy Look at the numbers of VLS cells, and that number likely goes down in the navy plan. The unmanned systems also have a fraction of the range, so it is far from clear that they will be force multipliers.
My latest with @WilsonCBeaver: The Navy's new shipbuilding plan spends more money to get a smaller navy.
We should think very carefully about whether the @USNavy's plan is sound.
https://t.co/kpJPu4k5f5
My latest with @WilsonCBeaver: The Navy's new shipbuilding plan spends more money to get a smaller navy.
We should think very carefully about whether the @USNavy's plan is sound.
https://t.co/kpJPu4k5f5
Thank Gosh, @AlanEyre1 that the US did not apply that logic to Taiwan’s nuclear weapons program in late 1980s, when the US government acted decisively to end that program, one also based on being prepared to build a nuclear weapon quickly. In case, curious, see https://t.co/pghqjbBh7k
Please, Iran was very close to building nuclear weapons very rapidly before the June 2025 war. Military threats no longer worked. Deterrence had already failed.
Today, Iran isn’t able to be close to building nuclear weapons.
The Iranian regime may very well be more frightened of crossing the line today because it has seen the level of damage these strikes can inflict, and Iran needs a lot longer to build a nuclear weapon. That period after deciding but not having is a very vulnerable, dangerous time, a time period far longer now because of the war
If the world learns Iran is building a nuclear weapon, I would bet that even PM Starmer would join in a strong, even a military response.
@DarylGKimball Please tell me specifically what I said that was incorrect.
The fact is we tried to get to a world without nuclear weapons as part of a negotiated process and...
No. One. Followed.
And the US government cannot & will not unilaterally disarm if the autocrats refuse.
@DarylGKimball I didnt ask about other states, I asked about US non-compliance, which you asserted.
We tried to get to a world w/out nukes, no one followed.
We tried to get a follow on to New START, Russia said no.
PRC is in largest mil build up in world.
So how are WE in non-compliance?
My latest, done with @l_keay, on what the next iteration of Flexible Response could look like as part of NATO 3.0.
1) a corps of ground forces in the Baltics
2) nukes into Poland and Finland
Part of a broader deterrence posture in Europe.
https://t.co/XeOjvG89wt