francesco rendina

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

Silver 2011/2026: peak-aligned, the best robust pre-peak window spans 417 sessions—level ρ=.939; detrended ρ=.782.

After 238 days: 2011 −40.2%, 2026 −42.6%. The 2011 path later bottomed at −53.0%.

#Silver #XAGUSD #Commodities

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

The peak-aligned 2000/2026 comparison shows a strong pre-peak fit. After its 2000 top, the SOX eventually lost 73.4%.

#SOX #Semiconductors #Markets

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

Trump I vs Trump II: election-normalized paths show high in-sample level correlations so far—EUR/USD ρ=.862; S&P 500 ρ=.895.

Oct 2 is only the corresponding 2018 turning point, not a forecast or price target. Correlation may break at any time.

#SP500 #EURUSD #Markets

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

@TheBigCycleGame Interesting. My S&P 500 2000/2026 study uses correlations over 18, 24, 38 and 46 months. All four converge: the March 24, 2000 peak maps to Sep 23–Oct 8, 2026.

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

4/4 The Nasdaq’s historical 24-month post-alignment path is shown in orange.

This is not a forecast. Still, four independent windows cluster the potential exhaustion point within the same two-week range. #SP500 #NASDAQ #DotComBubble #MarketCycles #Fractal

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

1/4 S&P 500: 2000 vs 2026 fractal.

I compared the path through September 18, 2026 with the final phase of the Dot-Com bubble across four time windows. For each window, I automatically selected the 2000 trading date that maximizes detrended-shape correlation.

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

3/4 Longer windows converge on March 6, suggesting a broader regime analogy.

Mapping the trading-session distance from each alignment to the March 24, 2000 peak places the equivalent top between September 23 and October 8, 2026.

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

When you can’t build a moat around your business, you can always try to convince regulators to build one for you.

[CEOInterviews.AI @CEOinterview]

Big Short investor Steve Eisman says the AI labs know they have no moats and are manufacturing a crisis to get regulation that hands them a duopoly

"I think this is all nonsense."

[ You think it's all nonsense? ]

"All nonsense. I think that there's something else completely going on here. ... What I think is happening is that token maxing is over. The open weight models are taking big market share. I think these companies are very nervous. They realize that there are no moats around their business whatsoever, and they're trying to manufacture a crisis that will create regulation, and that they think they can then manipulate to create the moats, to create the duopoly that they want."

[ Wow. ]

"That's what I think is going on."

"Honestly, I think this whole Terminator thing is garbage. That's for sure."

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

$BABA may be completing a wave-2 correction. I have projected the subsequent waves by replicating the structure and proportions of the previous cycle exactly.

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

@FroehlichThors1 The S&P 500’s performance over the last 46 months mirrors that of March 2000. Beneath the surface, driven by AI, the RE, transportation, consumer goods, and industrial sectors are losing momentum. I agree, the Fed has raised borrowing costs for a real economy that is at its peak.

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

The S&P 500’s performance over the last 46 months mirrors that of March 2000. Beneath the surface, driven by AI, the RE, transportation, consumer goods, and industrial sectors are losing momentum. Has the Fed raised borrowing costs for a real economy that has already peaked?

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

@elonmusk

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

@garyblack00 $TSLA The "script" is that of the Speculative Bull, from its formation to the outbreak! The algorithms have the task of automatically executing strategies already applied in the past on similar occasions.

[francesco rendina @RendinaWs]

@elonmusk $Telsa Hi Elon, Tesla Stock Forecast 2022,2023,2024... 10.000 Mi away and 4 years of difference, history repeats itself? In my opinion, it's so obvious! But if you want to know how, you'll have to write me and I will reveal the secret!!! 😉