There's a physicist at Stanford named Safi Bahcall who modeled this exact principle and the math is wild.
He calls it "phase transitions in human networks." When you're stationary, your probability of a lucky event is limited to your existing surface area: the people you already know, the places you already go, the ideas you've already been exposed to. Your opportunity window is fixed.
When you move, your collision rate with new nodes in a network increases nonlinearly. Double your movement (new conversations, new cities, new projects) and your probability of a serendipitous encounter doesn't double. It roughly quadruples. Because each new node connects you to their entire network, not just to them.
Richard Wiseman ran a 10-year study at the University of Hertfordshire tracking self-described "lucky" and "unlucky" people. The single biggest differentiator wasn't IQ, education, or family money. Lucky people scored significantly higher on one trait: openness to experience. They talked to strangers more, varied their routines more, and said yes to invitations at nearly twice the rate.
The "unlucky" group followed the same routes, ate at the same restaurants, and talked to the same 5 people. Their networks were closed loops. No new inputs, no new collisions.
Luck isn't random. Luck is surface area. And surface area is a function of movement.
The lobster emoji is doing more work than most people realize. Lobsters grow by shedding their shell when it gets too tight. The growth requires a period of total vulnerability. No protection, no armor, soft body exposed to the ocean.
That's the cost of movement nobody posts about. You have to be uncomfortable first. The new shell only hardens after you've already moved.
You are not bullish enough on US Critical Minerals as White House mineral and supply chain czar @DavidCopley shares the US government's ambitions in the mining sector at the Future Minerals Forum in KSA @FutureMineral
@Sustainabledud1 My information is that currently all REOs and products containing them, are being halted at borders, not able to leave China. So this will, once inventories ex China deplete, impact NdPr pricing in time.
Itโs remarkable to see the strong performance of gold and other metals, even amid a broad market selloff.
Similar to prior economic regimes marked by excessive debt imbalances, the least painful path to deleverage is to reduce interest rates and allow inflation to run hotter than it normally would โ either organically or forcefully.ย
This is what often creates a supercharged environment for hard assets.ย
This trend is likely only getting started in my opinion.
I see #silversqueeze making a comeback for March 31st and thatโs why I will buy 100 shares for every retweet this receives. Itโs time to send it, once and for all. NO MAXIMUM, RETWEET NOW.
What if I told you that $BHP + $RIO have a mine capable of supplying 25% of the US's annual copper needs, and Trump once vowed to approve its permit?
Now, for the 1st time ever, Rio is holding its results presentation in Washington. Coincidence? ๐ง