been thinking about this one a lot
most chains start broad and try to optimize later,
but @HyperliquidX went the other way…
built the clearing engine first for actual trading performance,
then just kept unlocking more stuff on top of it.
the HIP sequence feels like they were proving the foundation could handle each new layer before adding it
perps scaled, now outcomes letting you hedge macro events in the same account with cross-margin
it’s quiet but pretty clean execution
people keep saying there are magical ways to make money this World Cup season
there aren’t
most people will it big through trading, not clipping, not selling jerseys
so I compiled every live World Cup trading campaign worth joining
over $480k in rewards
time to put your money where your mouth is
build the loss experience before you build the win experience. every PM builder obsesses over the payout flow. almost nobody designs what happens when you lose. a loss that teaches you something retains. a loss that just takes your money churns. show what you got wrong, why the market moved, and what the winning side saw that you didn’t
for years prediction markets have been asking which mechanism wins
lmsr or clob
amm or parimutuel
bonding curves or order books
the more interesting answer is increasingly: all of them
the next primitive isn't a new mechanism, but it's composition
each primitive doing the one thing it's best at
prediction markets are starting to look less like products and more like market operating systems
Built an API for @NikeEYB 17U stats, added x402 and @mpp to the endpoints with @apipaywall, and now AI agents can pay for scouting intelligence with @USDC.
The future of programmable money + data is now.
Nigeria’s betting market is already huge, but most of the social behaviour around it still happens outside the product.
That is where prediction markets become interesting.
Social prediction markets could work in Nigeria, and @arc is a strong home for products like this: stablecoin-native, fast, and designed for real consumer finance use cases.
I wrote a piece on it on arc house
Do check it out
https://t.co/la8wce68Un
@samconnerone Material stuff are cool and all
But these experiences with the people we careful are timeless and we keep them in memory everywhere we go
"People will always remember how you made them feel"
An early test ahead of our world cup campaign went live today @Veritysocial
The main event will start and run alongside the FIFA world cup event
A PvP prediction game with a 500 USDC prize pool (real money)
The campaign is running on @arc testnet
Hey Arc Builders
Let's go
Quote this with the story behind what you are building and what motivated it. It's a good day to get busy reading all the sweet stories
An early test ahead of our world cup campaign went live today @Veritysocial
The main event will start and run alongside the FIFA world cup event
A PvP prediction game with a 500 USDC prize pool (real money)
The campaign is running on @arc testnet
the most underrated thing about building on @Arc is how many builders in this community are quietly shipping real products. no noise, no hype cycles, just building.
so let's change that - quote this with what you're working on and the moment that made you decide to build it.
genuinely want to see what everyone's cooking.