foreign policy | studying the Middle East, natl security, human rights | formerly @TimepDC | alum @UF @ElliottSchoolGW | no one to blame for my opinions but me
Excited to share my first piece for @TimepDC on a topic that’s both fascinating and reflective of the linkage b/w the economic and human rights crises in Egypt.
I’m grateful for the individuals who spoke to me for this - these are their stories, I’m just lucky to help share them
NEW: As millions of Egyptians struggle to make ends meet, guards and administrative officials in prisons regularly exploit detainees and their families for money.
@RyanDWalsh examines the black market in 🇪🇬's prisons & the commoditization of repression. https://t.co/Op49algFzR
If you're wondering why the Middle East looks the way it does, it is in part because of people like McGurk. This guy should never have a job in government again.
I am 95% done with a deal to buy a new house. The remaining 5% of negotiations are focused on the price and whether the owners are actually willing to sell
Dude, the war that has been the raison d’être of your organization @FDD for ages happened & it has been the unmitigated disaster so many of us warned it would be. Please sit silently in a hole somewhere until CNN or Fox lets you resume your career as a pez dispenser of dumb ideas
DC's Iran hawks got two wars, nearly every conceivable sanction designation, a blockade, threw a wrench in global economy and will still claim that just a little more pressure and a touch more bombing will magically yield the concessions they still won't be satisfied with.
US military aid to Israel & Egypt have long been linked, dating back to their 1979 peace agreement. Politicians are starting to finally call for ending aid to Israel. Egypt should also be a part of the conversation. My piece with @KristinaBiyad. https://t.co/hWUEZMvb2L
FLASH: DOJ expands settlement in Trump-IRS leak suit to cover audits of all tax returns filed by Trump, family members, companies and trusts. Waiver of IRS' claims contained in addendum signed by AAG Blanche that was not in agreement released Monday https://t.co/i8G1AQc9W4
If the war truly ends with Iran in possession of the strait of Hormuz--as is currently the case--and if negotiations proceed according to Iran's 10-points, which include full sanctions relief and Iran charging tolls for use of the strait, then the outcome of the war will be clear.
And it won't be a US victory.
Seriously, though. Look at the butchery being done here to logic and the English language: “Out escalate” to “escalate” to “de-escalate”?
Both Tom Schelling and your fifth grade English teacher are spinning in their graves.
Trump's illegal attack on Iran has set off regional war. The latest - Israel's ground invasion of Lebanon. 800 are already dead.
1/ Tonight, I want to walk you thru a🧵on how devastating this new war could be, and how Trump's blunder set it in motion.
https://t.co/Ld6OnQLJaw
The war with Iran is insanity in its own right. But it is gross incompetence Trump went to war with Iran with no plan to keep open the Strait of Hormuz.
Now Iran is laying mines, global oil shipping is paralyzed, gas prices are skyrocketing and food prices are close behind.
A group of us in the Senate are demanding public hearings on Trump's disastrous war with Iran with Secretary Hegseth and Rubio. And we've introduced a half dozen war powers resolutions to force the Senate to vote every day on the war if the hearings don't happen.
Here's what I believe: no more business as usual in the Senate. We shouldn't be voting to proceed to normal legislation until Republicans schedule a debate and a vote and on a declaration of war against Iran. Let's see if Trump has the votes to authorize war. I bet he doesn't.
Here's the relevant section - it comes before the notice provisions.
Section 2(c) of the War Powers Resolution (50 U.S.C. § 1541)states:
"The constitutional powers of the President as Commander-in-Chief to introduce United States Armed Forces into hostilities, or into situations where imminent involvement in hostilities is clearly indicated by the circumstances, are exercised only pursuant to (1) a declaration of war, (2) specific statutory authorization, or (3) a national emergency created by attack upon the United States, its territories or possessions, or its armed forces."
essential piece by @emile_hokayem trying to address the key question of whether GCC anxiety will pressure US to shorten campaign or whether Gulf will join/relax restrictions and allow US to use their military infrastructure.
https://t.co/kso4FPl7MC via @ft
I think starting a war with Iran is a bad idea, and Trump specifically ran against regime change wars in the middle east. Reasonable people can disagree on the merits, but calling opponents "borderline traitors" is a reprisal of the dumbest Iraq-war era political bullshit.
If Khamenei is killed or incapacitated, what comes next? Iran's regime has been planning for this for 37 years. Here's my rundown of possible scenarios and how the US & international community should handle the transition, published last week by @cfr: https://t.co/5g2PRFVB0P