$SPX Quarterly Update
Back in November 2025 I posted a quarterly roadmap from the 2009 Credit Crisis low.
At the time SPX was trading around 6,850.
The roadmap showed:
• 7,318 as the next major projection
• 8,359 as the next extension
• 9,508 as the 200% projection
Two quarters later:
SPX reached 7,620.
The 7,318 target was exceeded.
The Quarterly Swing remains UP.
Now let's look at the bigger picture.
2009–2015:
+220% advance over 25 quarters
2016–2022:
+166% advance over 24 quarters
2022–Now:
+118% advance over 14 quarters
This is the important part.
The current cycle has delivered a strong move, but it is still smaller in both price and time than the previous two major advances.
Everyone is focused on the next correction.
I'm focused on the cycle.
The market doesn't move in straight lines.
It advances.
It resets.
It advances again.
Weekly breadth has stalled.
Volatility has returned.
Some sectors are rotating lower.
None of that changes the fact that the Quarterly Swing remains UP and the larger structure remains intact.
The next major resistance zone remains 8,359.
The larger 200% projection remains 9,508.
Could we see a correction before then?
Absolutely.
Every major cycle experiences resets.
But from a quarterly perspective, the evidence still suggests we are in the middle of an advance, not the end of one.
Quarterly candles operate on a different time horizon than daily and weekly charts.
Short-term volatility can create plenty of noise, but major market cycles are defined by long-term structure, not week-to-week fluctuations.
The higher the timeframe, the more important the structure.
Price has advanced.
Time has not fully matured.
Rhythm and geometry remain intact.
Started at the Credit Crisis Low (666.79).
We'll circle back in two quarters and see where the market stands.
This is not a trader's chart; it's an investor's map.
Previous post from Nov 3rd, 2025, 👇
https://t.co/B7yAwtpdtT
$SPY $QQQ $NDX @Optuma
We're at point 6.
You want to know what point 7 is.
Jesse Livermore drew this by hand a century ago. The "all-important action" of a stock, point by point, from accumulation to climax.
We have reasons to believe we're at point 6. The advance that runs hot on big volume, just before the shake.
What comes next on his chart is the dip to 7. The pullback that tests conviction and clears the weak hands before price pushes to its real high.
That lines up with everything. Semis melting up on record inflows. The 1995 roadmap calling for a sharp drop into late 2026. The shakeout before the last leg.
Point 6 now. Point 7 is the buy. Then the meltup, and the bull market of our generation.
The next stock market CRASH will happen in 2028 - 2029.
Until then, we have a MINIMUM 60%+ more to go for the S&P 500 ( $SPY ).
From 2008 to 2016 was a 276% gain until the cycle ended (8 years)
From 2016 to 2022 was a 207% gain until the cycle ended (8 years).
From 2022 until now, we're at 132% gain, with ~2 more years to go of our AI super-cycle.
Let's get rich together.
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Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DJT
@PresidenciaCuba@DiazCanelB You are a deplorable 🐖 you hate the Cuban people and are genociding your own country. You are a demon, Diaz-Canel, just like the Castro swines 🐖 you people are going to pay for the decades long atrocities
BREAKING: TOM LEE JUST GAVE A MASSIVE WARNING:
WE'RE GOING TO SEE AN ABRUPT CHANGE IN MARKET CONDITIONS LATER THIS YEAR THAT FEELS LIKE A BEAR MARKET
“THERE IS GOING TO BE AN ABRUPT CHANGE OF MARKET CONDITIONS, ONE THAT FEELS VERY MUCH LIKE A BEAR MARKET”
SPACEX ANTHROPIC AND OPENAI IPOS WILL UNLOCK MASSIVE SELLING PRESSURE LATER THIS YEAR
“THE IPO OF SPACEX… THAT’S GOING TO UNLOCK LATER THIS YEAR IN PHASES ALONG WITH THE IPO OF ANTHROPIC AND OPENAI”
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$XBI
Something special brewing up in biotech stocks...
The market likely believes that these companies will benefit heavily from AI
Tons of volume today on the breakout
Wouldn't want to miss this rotation