Simon Villegas

[Alejandro Gaviria @agaviriau]

El planeta no quiere castigar a los seres humanos. Ni da gritos. Ni está mandando mensajes. Ni hace juicios morales. Este tipo de "animismo" (ahora en boga) es una farsa, producto sobre todo del oportunismo político.

[Math Files @Math_files]

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn.

So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works.

Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it?

Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them.

For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information.

Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible.

Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

[OasisGallagherFan @OasisLGNGFan]

Remember when some people kept saying the tour would get worse as it went on to the point of complete collapse 😭 they're literally getting better/happier with every gig

[Vala Afshar @ValaAfshar]

Lucky people work very hard, show up on time, have good manners, are self-aware, optimistic, kind and generous.

[Pascual Gaviria @rabodeajip]

Intentar convertir Cien años de soledad en publicidad política es de lo peor del discurso de Petro.
Simplificar, acomodar, tergiversar, aprovechar, perratear, usufructuar, abusar... Convertir una obra de arte en un panfleto. El País de la simpleza.

[Andrea C. Love, PhD @dr_andrealove]

It would be great if EVERYONE stopped using chemical as “a bad word”

Everything is chemicals.
You are chemicals.

The source of a chemical means nothing.
Natural chemicals aren’t better.
Synthetic chemicals aren’t either.
They are all just chemicals.

1/

[Andrea C. Love, PhD @dr_andrealove]

It would be great if EVERYONE stopped using the word chemical as “a bad word”

Everything is chemicals.
You are chemicals.

The source of a chemical doesn’t impact it.
Natural chemicals aren’t better.
Synthetic chemicals aren’t either.
They just are - chemicals.

1/

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

A red flag in someone's conversation: if the person (particularly an employee on a salary) transforms hierarchy into ownership by saying "my team", "my lab", "my analysts", "my department", etc., rather than "our" team, lab, analysts, etc.

[John Densmore @JohnDensmore]

In the Summer of 1965, Ray Manzarek had a chance encounter on Venice Beach with a young poet named Jim Morrison. Jim told Ray he had been living on a friend’s rooftop writing songs.

[Dr. Jonathan N. Stea @jonathanstea]

Vaccines don’t cause autism.

But conspiracy mentality and poor science literacy are linked to believing they do: https://t.co/nIYwuC7ovS @dr_andrealove

[Cathy Juvinao🌻💚 @CathyJuvinao]

Llevaba media hora riéndome de este video hasta que me acordé de que aun hay gente que apoya la dictadura de este bárbaro, y se me pasó 😑

[John Densmore @JohnDensmore]

On this day in 1969, we released our fourth album.

I remember when recording, George Harrison was in town, and it was a big deal that we got to meet a Beatle! He mentioned that our session looked like the one for Sgt. Pepper, which was the kind of record we were trying to do.

[Emmanuel Rincón @EmmaRincon]

Djokovic es el mejor y más ganador de la historia, pero también es el mejor perdedor de todos los tiempos.

Sus discursos en la derrota siempre están llenos de gratitud y son hermosos. Las palabras para sus hijos hoy fueron inspiradoras.

La verdad, la gente que odia a Djokovic tiene serios problemas. Gracias Novak.

Y grande Carlitos, un nivel de otro mundo hoy.

[Alex Cohen @anothercohen]

Deloitte consultants getting ready to show you the market analysis they billed you $500k for to have their junior associate create

[Andrés Mejía Vergnaud @AndresMejiaV]

“¿Qué garantiza que ________ no cambie luego de opinión?”

Bienvenidos al mundo, bienvenidos a la vida real, y por supuesto bienvenidos a la política

[LuisFer Ruz @LF_Ruz]

Es muy buena noticia saber que la escritora veracruzana Fernanda Melchor una de las plumas jóvenes más relevantes en la literatura no solo latinoamericana sino mundial haya ganado el Premio #RyzardKapuscinsky por su reportaje literario “Aquí no es Miami” Orgullo Veracruzano!

[Alex Cohen @anothercohen]

My wife walking me out of Olive Garden after I ordered nothing and only ate unlimited breadsticks for two hours

[Simon Villegas @Simvilestra]

@ConsEspCDMX muchas gracias. Debo pedir cita para el registro de matricula consular? o simplemente voy en horario del consulado sin cita?

[Simon Villegas @Simvilestra]

@ConsEspCDMX hola, después de tener el acta de nacimiento qué debo hacer para obtener mi pasaporte? me he vuelto ciudadano por origen sefardi. Aún no tengo registro de matricula consular.