Retired Professional Soldier.
Former Senior Army Officer.
War College Graduate.
Specialist in Advanced Joint Warfare.
Senior Advisor - Strategic Plans Ukraine
@IAPonomarenko A Russian defeat will occur under Trump as the EU can afford to underwrite a Ukrainian victory. The only question we need to fully understand is how far will Trump go to prevent a Russian defeat from happening.
@Real2Witnesses@SecRubio Wow, a number really profound tensions in that post... Trump as a messiah, injustice as a deep state conspiracy, Canada as a warrior monk. Honestly, it's all deluded garbage, not worthy of consideration.
@OldeWorldOrder@SecRubio Ignoring the rules based international order is the biggest threat to "liberty". Simply, customary international law is the basis of your national prosperity, which underpins freedom. If you can't act responsibly (Russia), you will be sidelined by the international community.
@USWPColby Except when Trump teases a kill switch, or the sale of less competent variants of US equipment. Your reputation as a unreliable partner is solidifying under Trump.
@USWPColby Reality Check: Ukraine and Iran appear to be rising powers, despite the treatment they received from Trump. Moreover, Trump is erratic and wholly unreliable and has weakened US standing across the globe (Canada, EU, NATO, Central America). Relations-wise: It's not me, it's you!
@ruthbenghiat The US will see declining influence in the ME. As Iran and the Houthis tighten their grip on SOH and SBM, and begin to strangle Gulf Region economies, these countries will be forced to cast aside US relations in favor of preferred transit status with Iran. Trump has lost.
@KyivPost I wish this were true. However, I do not trust Trump particularly when there are family interests at stake. Russia has well-documented interests in Trump properties and buildings. He will not jeopardize those holdings.
@BarakRavid OK, so the SBM will now close (and everybody loses). The military plan should first seek to place maximum pressure on Iran - as the regional enabler - before going after the bit players. The Saudi effort will dilute resources that could have been applied on Iran.
@AwakenedOutlaw@RapidResponse47@POTUS Witkoff and Kushner built the MOU, and are realtors. That said, Trump is discovering why successive US presidents have been hesitant to attack Iran. Simply, he is in over his head. He needs trained diplomats to build a durable peace.
@KyivPost The big question is: How far will Trump go to prevent a Ukrainian victory. While he may outwardly support Ukraine, I harvest no illusions that he still favors Putin and has never once failed to court Putin's approval.
@Mpolymer@yarotrof Iran is becoming more influential than Russia. The only option for peace is for the GCC to build an Islamic coalition to negotiate with Iran. However, Iran will force the coalition to cast aside US interests, thereby reducing US influence/ power in the region. Trump has lost.
@KyivPost Iran will not comply with US demands. The only option for peace is for the GCC to build an Islamic coalition to negotiate with Iran. However, Iran will force the coalition to cast aside US interests, thereby reducing US influence/ power in the region. Trump has lost.
@Acyn Kushner and Witkoff are amateurs. The MOU created huge misperceptions on what was agreed. These misperceptions have generated mistrust, and are fueling the current conflict making a peace less likely. This is what happens when you send realtors to manage international affairs.
@jmhansler Kushner and Witkoff are amateurs. The MOU created huge misperceptions on what was agreed. These misperceptions have generated mistrust, and are fueling the current conflict making a peace less likely. This is what happens when you send realtors to manage international affairs.
@mattia_n Combat power can only be delivered through effective logistics. In fact, an army in the field requires logistics to survive. The Russian army is on a path of no return.
@AlternatNews Hegseth is a rank amateur. He purposely decimated the civilian harm teams that were intended to safeguard against this type of mistake. Hegseth now owns the legal liability of having killed ~150 young schoolgirls. Utterly incompetent.