BREAKING: May CPI inflation rises to 4.2%, the highest level since April 2023.
Core CPI inflation also rises to 2.9%, the highest since September 2025.
Inflation in the US is officially back above 4% and more than double the Fed's target.
Odds of Fed rate hikes are rising.
UBS SAYS MARKETS OVERPRICE FED HAWKISHNESS
UBS says markets are overestimating the Federal Reserve’s hawkish shift, arguing rate hike expectations are too aggressive given still-anchored inflation trends.
The bank now expects Fed easing to resume in December, with another cut in March 2027, but says there is a high bar for any rate hikes.
UBS attributes recent yield gains to inflation and energy fears but says they are not a reason to reduce equity exposure, recommending disciplined portfolio positioning instead.
The bank remains constructive on equities, forecasting strong S&P 500 earnings growth and maintaining a 7,900 year-end target.
The next pullback in the stock market this year, whenever and wherever that may be, you buy the living crap out of that dip if and only if for this sole reason below:
👇
$SPX is now reporting its highest (quarterly) earnings growth rate for Q1 2026 (27.1%) since Q4 2021 (32.0%). #earnings, #earningsinsight, https://t.co/VoSpbLPLYz
The "Magnificent 7" companies are now reporting earnings growth of 61.0% for Q1, compared to expectations for earnings growth of 22.4% on March 31. #earnings, #earningsinsight, https://t.co/VoSpbLPLYz
This video should be broadcast 24/7. The Muslim Brotherhood leader explains in his own words that, after 700 years of failed attempts to conquer Europe by force, they are now conquering it peacefully with the help of naive Western governments. The EU's weak and corrupt politicians have caused a disaster of biblical proportions. This won't end well.
Which design do you like most?
Design A: highlighted metrics
Design B: simplified version (no highlights)
Poll in the comments! I'll stick with the one that receives the most votes 🗳️
Buying at all-time highs feels reckless.
The data disagrees.
Invest at a new high vs. any random day:
– 1 year later: +13.4% vs +11.9%
– 2 years later: +28.9% vs +25.0%
– 3 years later: +48.1% vs +40.2%
At every single time horizon, buying at the high wins.
The dip you're waiting for is costing you returns.
The fear is real. The logic isn't.
In a major win for Americans, 17 of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies are now offering the LOWEST drug prices in history — and the FDA has just approved a new drug that cures a rare form of deafness.
President Trump is putting patients first. MUST WATCH. 🇺🇸
The "Magnificent 7" companies are expected to report higher earnings growth than the other 493 $SPX companies for Q1 2026 and CY 2026. #earnings, #earningsinsight, https://t.co/0hRPVEwCEz
Nice charts from Mike Wilson at Morgan Stanley on earnings.
P/E multiple down 18% (pretty rare) and EPS growth continues to trend higher. Quite the bullish combo.
Thanks @dailychartbook for sharing it in tonight's report.