@thepolyflyexp Years ago in Chicago I met a Rasta with 4 wives in a brownstone he owned. There were at least a dozen children half were not his but they all called him baba. The women on the 3rd floor was no longer intimate, but still stayed because of the children.
@thepolyflyexp They each had their own space, he did not work but was the landlord, he had multiple buildings on that block. If memory serves me they each ran one of his businesses, he just did he books I think. I loved his office, books from floor to ceiling.
@silvertrade He has at least 6 channels, that I have noticed. I assumed it was propaganda. My working assumption is start with the truth, then flip it when you need to.
The Trillion dollar question for most Ag Markets is the following...is El Nino coming...and if it is when? Our work supports El Nino later on in 2026 peaking in 2027 based upon a couple of very reliable statistical correlations.
The first being the 6-year rule where El Nino's consistently occur 6 years after the 11-yeart solar cycle trough and second 4-years after a strong El Nino has occurred. The 11-year solar cycle trough occurred in 2020 and the last strong El Nino occurred in 2023. That places 3rd quarter of 2026 into 2027 as the ideal statistical window for the next more moderate El Nino to occur.
All the weather models however are forecasting an El Nino to arrive by late Spring considerably earlier than the historical statistics would suggest. We also know that the ability of these weather models this time of year to accurately forecast ENSO post spring is horrid and has been nicknamed the "Spring Block Period".
The other factor is when will the atmosphere respond if an El Nino arrives based on warm central pacific sea surface temperatures? Just because the SST's are warm does not mean the atmosphere connects right away. The southern oscillation index, the Indian Ocean Dipole, The Global Angular Momentum just to name a few are atmospheric factors that drive El Nino responses.
In addition, how warm the waters are under the surface in the central pacific, the feedstock, for an El Nino to blossom must be building. That part is definitely happening. Right now while the SST's are warming the atmosphere remains very much in a weak La Nina state. One way to measure the atmospheric response is to follow the multivariate ENSO to see if this reading is in alignment with the actual SST's. Often times there is divergence. The MEI is currently a -0.8 a weak La Nina signal.
Regionally, North America and South America tends to see weather responses delayed from El Nino's arrival while out in Asia the weather responses tend to be ahead of an El Nino confirmation. The implications for potential US spring drought in key winter wheat areas, summer time droughts in Asia especially India, SE Asia, China and Australia and whether or not the US growing season sees productive El Nino weather in time and potential drought issues for central/Northern Brazil during the first half of the next growing season starting in September 2026 are critical pricing factors for a plethora of Ag markets. We will be making our long term weather forecast as we head into early April. Stay tuned.
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The Auction Breakdown: The "No-Bid" Event
Bid-to-Cover Ratio: 2.36 (Extremely Low). This is one of the weakest readings for a 20-year auction in recent history. Stay Frosty - Hicks
In support of @POTUS’ AI Action Plan, the U.S. Department of the Treasury today announced the conclusion of a major public-private initiative to strengthen cybersecurity and risk management for artificial intelligence in the financial services sector.
@elonmusk My intuitions suggest to me a elegant reconciliation: Life's purpose isn't in static symmetry alone, nor in blind evolution (adaptation without intent), in the dynamic interplay, a morphism, that bridges them. This could imply that the universe's symmetric foundations are design.
Great perspective! So what is his perspective on how to manufacture consensus with fake experts? Once heard a general practitioner comment on toxicity, endocrinologist/pathologist where throwing up, audience thinks he is an expert? How do we solve for this?
After releasing the @HEXcrypto report and getting responses from so many armchair finance, economic and legal scholars with Wikipedia degrees and Google matriculation, I found the attached rather whimsical... I feel your pain!!
@elonmusk White culture isn't found in what you've built, bullets, broads, barbecue, sexual immorality, & Ye Haw; but in the men who refused to let us build it on injustice. Lay, Benezet, Woolman, Otis, Haynes, Boudinot, Shipley, Wilberforce.
@elonmusk This is the archetype: A lineage of radical consistency and the courage to be the conscience of the state. They represent the best of you/us: An Inconvenient Man who chose moral clarity over cultural comfort. Let’s make this the standard again. Stay Hard!