FriarStats

For Friartown by Friartown. Michael Smith was my favorite player. Link below to substack:

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

Perhaps I'm a season too late in addressing this, but what is Kenpom's Luck Factor?

https://t.co/S32klSMCVi

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@MikeReiss Much healthier snack choices this week, Mike

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

Must read

[Brian Reddy, PhD @snoopster222]

In my latest article for https://t.co/9M3RwfrT2Q I discuss the enduring coaching brilliance of @RealPitino as he brings his @StJohnsBBall to the @The_AMPPVD to face @PCFriarsmbb tonight on @CBBonFOX. I should've found a way to mention @CoachBobWalsh.
https://t.co/bzLMW38Lwq

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@UltimateCrans @snoopster222 @pcbb1917 Is that Jacek Duda?? That’s my guy right there.

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@Friarballknower Sure - but that’s how it is unless you’re Kansas and you have the P12 POY coming off the bench.

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

To me the answer is simple

When PC has Bryce Hopkins, the expectations are generally met.

When PC does not have Bryce Hopkins, there should not be expectations.

This team, and this roster, was built with - and for - Bryce Hopkins.

[Mike Hopkins @pcbb1917]

NIL Era: Are expectations too high for Kim English in year 2 as a high major coach? #pcbb #gofriars #mindset #pcbc #NIL #CollegeSports #CollegeBasketball #Coaching #Recruiting #AthleteExpectations #NameImageLikeness #SportsBusiness #KimEnglish

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@DanJalbert1 I know the aesthetics weren’t great, but the last 8 mins vs DePaul was otherworldly. They finished that game with a +15 AdjEff which is solidly in the top 50. The URI game was a tale of two halves. You have a point, but I’d argue the truth is somewhere in the middle.

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@DivineFriars I don’t disagree in principle, but “13 dudes” means you can manage an injury to ticket gains or Corey. Not an All-American.

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@dlpotatofarm This pejorative to the A10. Rhode Island and St Bonaventure are good, they are top 100 teams and would beat many HM teams without their best player.

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@dlpotatofarm There are probably less than 5 teams in any given season that could lose their best player and still tread water. there are countless examples.

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@FriarGuy91 @dlpotatofarm This guy has read Moneyball 👆

[FriardUp @FriardUp]

1st few possessions of last night's game (ignore crappy screen recording job I did).

1st possession

Good action. Gets Pierre open corner 3.

Misses.

[Mike Hopkins @pcbb1917]

Quick pregame for Providence vs St. Bonaventure today with a stat from @ShotQualityBets #pcbb #gofriars #mindset #pcbc

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@BigEastSavant2 @FriardUp Skogman and Jacoc Meyer are bascially JJ Reddick. We bascially just beat JJ Reddick x2

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

Providence vs St Bonaventure

10,000 simulations using AdjEff in games with Bryce Hopkins

Average Score
Providence 75 (-4.5 o/u 144.5)
Bonaventure 70

Providence wins 64.5% of outcomes

#pcbb #GoFriars

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@FriardUp mee too. theyve been good on defense. it seems like it should be closer.

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@pcbb1917 well hey...that game was still 30% of all the possessions Bryce has been with the team this year. could be very representative and valid 😏

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@pcbb1917 Here is the math on Kenpom’s game score. He’s got PC at 1.01 ppp and Bona at .99. The issue is that he’s got just a 63 possession game! I estimated 68 possessions.

[Mike Hopkins @pcbb1917]

Read the latest from @snoopster222 in his Beyond the Box Score #pcbb #gofriars #mindset #pcbc

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

@formalhoya1984 and yet just .84 allowed on defense. that's a nice .1 ppp margin 😉

[FriarStats @StatsFriar]

Providence since Bryce Hopkins

36th in AdjEff (+19 points per 100 possessions)
37th in Wins Above Bubble
+34 spots in the NET (road win!)

Top 25 in SOR and KPI after wins against
BYU (expected win % 35)
DePaul (expected win % 45)

This is an NCAA Tournament Team. Believe.