$ARM v $QCOM
We had oral argument today in the Third Circuit on Arm's appeal.
Boy did this bring back PTSD (I had suppressed from my memory Arm's absurd claim that Nuvia custom RTL was essentially theirs just because Nuvia implemented Arm architectural register definitions and opcodes into the RTL).
This was the long awaited appeal where Arm tried to overturn its loss in the Wilmington trial, while Qualcomm fought to defend its jury verdict on the Qualcomm Architecture License Agreement. The panel was active judges Peter Phipps and Arianna Freeman alongside senior judge Jane Roth.
What Arm is really after in this appeal is not just reviving its claim against Nuvia. Arm is trying to get a whole new trial on all counts, completely overriding the jury. Arm wants the appeals court to throw out the entire December 2024 verdict, erase Qualcomm jury win on Count 2 and the Qualcomm ALA counterclaim, and force everyone to relitigate the whole case from scratch.
Joseph Palmore stepped up to the podium first for Arm and went straight for the Qualcomm ALA counterclaim, arguing that Judge Noreika committed a category error by sending contract interpretation to the jury instead of deciding it as a pure question of law under Rule 50.
Palmore barely got into his stride before Judge Phipps interrupted and went straight for the contract language. Phipps asked Palmore about the word 'developed' in the core definition 'developed by or for Qualcomm'. Phipps asked point blank whether 'developed' was ambiguous, pointing out that 'developed' does not mean 'solely developed' on its face, and asking whether Qualcomm taking code from Nuvia and finishing it counts as 'developed by Qualcomm'. Palmore had to admit that the contract does not say 'solely developed', claiming instead that all stages of implementation in another section meant Qualcomm had to do everything from scratch. Phipps pushed right back, asking whether what the parties agreed to and what they meant was a factual question for the jury. That was an immediate hit to Arm entire theory that the contract unambiguously favored Arm as a pure legal question.
Judge Freeman then jumped in on the procedural side, grilling Palmore on invited error and waiver. She pressed Palmore on how a pending Rule 50 motion could insulate Arm when Arm actively participated in drafting the jury instructions, never made a specific Rule 51 objection to giving the jury the question, and argued the meaning of the contract to the jurors in closing.
When Palmore pivoted to the Nuvia breach claim and Judge Noreika post trial judgment on harm, Judge Phipps threw a massive curveball. Phipps asked Palmore about the ultimate remedy Arm is seeking, which is specific performance to destroy the chips. Phipps pointed out that equity only grants specific performance when there is no adequate remedy at law, so if Arm real injury is lost royalties, that is an adequate legal remedy that legally forecloses an order destroying silicon. Phipps asked why the Third Circuit should not treat Noreika ruling as harmless error if Arm requested remedy was impossible anyway.
Kannon Shanmugam took the podium next for Qualcomm, and he led with Rule 39 and invited error, showing how Arm consented before trial to send the factual predicates of the counterclaim to the jury. He worked to dismantle Arm textual reading of the ALA, explaining that Qualcomm did all the actual core design and that Arm 'capital T' defined Arm Technology did not apply to Nuvia RTL because Arm never designed, owned, or created the Nuvia code.
Shanmugam then ran into heavy questioning from Judge Freeman on the Nuvia breach claim. Freeman spent nearly all of her time hammering Qualcomm on Judge Noreika's decision granting judgment on harm after the hung jury. She zeroed in on the fatal procedural defect, which is that the jury was never given a limiting instruction telling them that lost royalties could not be used to prove harm. Freeman pointed out that the jury was just told go find harm, and she repeatedly challenged Shanmugam on how a trial judge can retroactively exclude trial evidence post verdict under Rule 37 when that evidence was already heard by the jurors without limitation.
Judge Phipps joined Freeman in questioning the Rule 37 ruling, noting that Rule 37 is normally an evidence bar rather than an argument bar. Phipps pointed out that once Qualcomm itself put in evidence of royalty savings to show motive, Arm was entitled to point to that trial record to show harm.
The argument wrapped up with a sharp fight over the scope of any retrial. Palmore argued that under Gasoline Products, any reversal on the Nuvia claim requires throwing out Qualcomm counterclaim victory and ordering a complete new trial on everything. Phipps pushed back hard on that theory, questioning why an affirmed jury verdict on Qualcomm ALA should be upset just because the jury hung on Nuvia. Shanmugam noted that Nuvia agreed not to raise issue preclusion on retrial, making the Nuvia breach cleanly separable.
On rebuttal Palmore tried to deflect the specific performance question by saying remedy comes after liability, but he could not undo the damage Phipps did to his contract interpretation argument. Phipps adjourned the court and took the matter under advisement.
You might be asking what happens next if the Third Circuit rejects Arm demand for a whole new trial on everything and sends only the Nuvia claim back. Does that mean Qualcomm is in trouble or that Arm gets to demand higher royalty rates on Qualcomm? In my opinion the answer is almost certainly no. That is why retrying only Nuvia is essentially a nothing burger for Qualcomm.
Qualcomm jury wins on Count two and Question three remain completely locked in as a permanent shield, establishing that Qualcomm custom cores are fully licensed under Qualcomm own agreement. And on retrial Arm cannot invent a brand new damages model against Nuvia because discovery closed years ago, and Arm spent the entire first trial insisting that money damages would not suffice.
My guess on how this shakes out is a split decision. In my opinion the panel looks very likely to protect Qualcomm jury verdict on Question two and three, while giving Arm a second shot on the Nuvia claim because of the procedural shortcuts around Judge Noreika Rule 50 ruling. But from where I sit that leaves Arm fighting a hollow battle against from what I understand, a defunct subsidiary, while Qualcomm's commercial business keeps rolling forward.
We'll have a decision hopefully before April 2027. If it's remanded back I can't wait for the extreme enthusiasm Judge Noreika will have to see these parties back again flooding her docket with thousands of pages that I'll have to read that wont matter in the end.
Effective Immediately, all organizations using PHP for their systems are advised to be prepared for an update addressing two critical vulnerabilities. PHP is widely used for web applications. These vulnerabilities often provide a direct path to the server's file system or database. If an immediate update is not feasible, it is recommend that organizations take the system offline until it can be fully mitigated. NSA will follow up shortly with more specific guidance.
BREAKING: "Speculative data center debt is being repackaged and sold to pension and retirement funds, university endowments, and other institutional investors in a manner eerily reminiscent of the subprime bubble," per AFR
🧵WSJ: “Elon Musk ordered the slowdown of a military-grade version of Starlink relied on by Ukraine, a decision that sparked panic in Kyiv and confusion inside the Trump administration, U.S. officials and people familiar with the matter said. …
via @StevenJ1279
"Oct 20 (Reuters) - Qualcomm will cut jobs globally in a "performance-focused reduction" following its annual employee reviews, CEO Cristiano Amon told staff in a memo on Monday reviewed by Reuters, with notifications set to begin in November.
The cuts are part of an effort to build "a stronger performance culture" and address situations where the company "has consistently fallen short of expectations," Amon said."
"Norwegian undersea cable builder pitches 2,800-mile transatlantic data link between Canada and Europe to bypass the US. Canadian majority partner sought to help fund and build new $620 million fibre connection to reduce reliance on American routes." https://t.co/IAk70uzCTS
Time for the major Canadian cable firms to step up and partner up, to assist on this workaround Trump project. Those firms include Rogers, Bell, Videotron, Telus, Cogeco and Eastlink. We know cash flow is not an industry concern.
This means that the increased price of RAM and consumer electronics was a result of an artificial "supply chain crisis" created by Jensen Huang pushing NVIDIA's customers to take early delivery of GPUs. Jensen Huang is responsible for making life worse for everyone.
Here is your East-Africa and West-Asia War Map.
"You can't tell the players without a scorecard." Or a good map.
And while size matters, population often matters more, so I added this critical number to each nation.
You'll want to save this map for when the sputtering Eritrea-Ethiopia conflict blows wide open again. Ethiopia has been landlocked since 1993, with the independence of Eritrea. There are parallels to Ukraine gaining its independence from Russia with the breakup of the USSR. Like the USSR, Ethiopia was down-and-out when Eritrea became a nation, and blocked Ethiopia from the Red Sea.
Now Ethiopia is undergoing a resurgence in power and influence. Their "Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam" was built between 2011 and 2025 when it was finished. This giant dam controls the headwaters and lakes of the Blue Nile, which provides 90% of Egypt's fresh water--and the Egyptians are not happy about this new situation.
And the Ethiopians want to regain access to the sea, either across Eritrea, or by making a deal with Somalia. The national government of Somalia opposes this, so Ethiopia supports the independence of "Somaliland," as shown on the map. The Ethiopians think: "this path to independence worked for Eritrea against our interests, so why not an independent Somaliland, working in our interest?" Somaliland would create a free-trade corridor for Ethiopia to the port of Berbera.
Egypt and Sudan already worry about a resurgent Ethiopia. With the opening of the GERD dam, Ethiopia became an electrical power production giant, with the biggest hydropower dam in Africa by far. It will generate even more power as more hydro turbines are put on line.
Did I mention that Ethiopia, similar to Iran, is almost 90% food self-sufficient? Now that it controls the Blue Nile, it's food production will go up even more, while Egypt feels the threat of water cutoffs, or floods, at Ethiopia's whim.
Did I mention that Ethiopia, population 140 million, is majority Orthodox Christian, as is South Sudan, in an otherwise Muslim region?
We are all watching the Iran-USA war and the Saudi-Yemen conflict, but also keep a weather eye on the other side of the Red Sea. Egypt, population 120 million, could be dragged into wars on both sides of it.
Russian Kosmos 2612 and ICEYE-X36 (providing Ukraine military support) are now in perfect sync with each other. The Russian military satellite is intentionally stalking and tracking the Western radar satellite. Keeping a satellite "bumper-to-bumper" in this manner allows Russia to intercept or jam data transmissions, physically inspect Western technology, or quickly pivot to execute a kinetic or non-kinetic anti-satellite (ASAT) attack with very little warning or fuel expenditure.
Kosmos 2612 executed a series of highly precise, fuel-heavy maneuvers to force itself into a "coplanar" orbit—matching ICEYE-X36's exact altitude (~555 km), speed, and inclination (~97.8°). The ICEYE-X36 satellite is giving the Ukraine military support.
Such a phenomenal douche. Our allies fought and died next to us. I spent a butt load of time in Afghanistan (in far worse circumstances than this performative clown) and the only comment to our allies is “thank you.” That’s it. Heartfelt. Thank you. Also, he’s addressing ROTC students with this horseshit. That is just plain dangerous. Our next generation cannot be taught such BS.
The Seoul Economic Daily did not characterize the thermal issues as systemic. It simply reported thermal problems encountered during Samsung's evaluation of the Snapdragon chip for the Galaxy S27 Ultra, including throttling and requests for improvements from Qualcomm.
https://t.co/IEPk0SnK13
Intel Says Silicon Photonics Are The "Golden Hammer" Of Next-Gen Systems As They Are The Only High-Volume Fab Delivering 300mm Indium Phosphide Photonics At Scale https://t.co/SVevDgTqza
https://t.co/SVevDgTqza
When I was writing Unreal Engine 1, my time was divided as follows:
- Around 30% went to seriously deep coding on hard problems: assembly language texture mappers, C++ BSP trees, data persistence, object oriented systems design, and networking.
- Around 70% was just typing and refactoring large bodies of code needed for a complete engine feature set. This was not hard, and while I was doing it my mind was mostly on the deeper coding topics, thinking and planning for what's next. It didn't feel much different from vibe coding today, except that it was just me typing code on an IBM Model M keyboard rather than prompting it and reviewing the results.
So, it has always seemed perfectly logical that we would rely on AI for that 70%, once the AI could do it with a similar quality standard as we could, which has never been perfection. It came as no surprise that, after a few years of AI model evolution, it was able to take the reigns on that 70% and free up programmers' time for more valuable tasks.
What's more of a surprise is the emergence of AI as a sort of insta-Carmack able to solve hard technical problems quite cleverly and often cleanly, and that it's able to reason about and work in complex 3D scenes both by operating the tools and by directly understanding the raw data files.
I abandoned assembly language in 1998 when out-of-order CPUs made much simpler C/C++ code faster, and never I missed it. If prompting through architectural documents, concept art, and design plans can transcend typing code and tweaking vertices, that will enable developers to spend their time on higher-level, higher value technical and creative tasks.
What matters is the end product, whether it's a game or an engine. Anything developers can do to try out more ideas and make better software and games faster is a win for everyone.
Minulý týden jsem strávil v Taipei, kde jsme pořádali další simulaci čínské strategické eskalace.
Tady pár veřejný dat, co by čínský útok na Taiwan znamenal:
⚬ Podle analýz Bloomberg Economics by čínská invaze na Tchaj-wan stála globální ekonomiku v prvním roce 10 bilionů USD (cca 10 % světového HDP), přičemž samotné státy Evropské unii by zaznamenaly propad HDP přesahující 5 %, což je hlubší pokles než během finanční krize v roce 2008 nebo pandemie covidu-19.
⚬ Tchaj-wan kontroluje přes 90 % celosvětové kapacity výroby nejvyspělejších mikročipů (pod 7 nm) a více než 60 % celkové světové produkce čipů. Přerušení dodávek by v EU ze dne na den způsobilo akutní nedostatek komponentů pro automobilový průmysl, zdravotnickou techniku i spotřební elektroniku.
⚬ Tchajwanským průlivem ročně propluje přes 21 % celosvětového námořního obchodu (zboží v hodnotě 2,45 trilionu USD) a téměř polovina světové kontejnerové flotily. Námořní blokáda nebo konflikt by znamenaly okamžitou paralyzaci přímých dodavatelských tras mezi Evropou a Východní Asií.
⚬ Výzkumné centrum CSIS a Rhodium Group odhadují, že kvůli kombinaci západních sankcí, námořních blokád a přerušení financování obchodu s Čínou by celosvětový objem obchodu klesl o dvouciferné procentní hodnoty, což by v EU vyvolalo skokovou inflaci a výpadky v dodávkách průmyslových meziproduktů.
⚬ Vzhledem k tomu, že 10 největších odběratelů tchajwanské TSMC reprezentuje tržní kapitalizaci blízkou 14 trilionům USD, výpadek výroby by okamžitě vedl k masivní korekci na evropských i globálních akciových trzích a k dlouhodobému znehodnocení majetku.