The center has well-documented failure modes. Information cascades — demonstrated by Bikhchandani, Hirshleffer, and Welch (1992) — show that sequential decision-makers increasingly ignore private signals in favor of publicly observable predecessors, producing collective error that no individual actor would endorse in isolation. Tetlock's (2005) research on expert political judgment shows that consensus-credentialed forecasters systematically underperform relative to disciplined, process-oriented outsiders. The center does not see poorly; it sees through a lens it cannot examine.
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The world needs to watch out for a war-capable Japan.
Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party adopted a proposal to push the government to revise the three key security documents, calling for defense spending hikes, elevated strike capabilities, next-generation submarines able to launch long-range missiles and years-long war capabilities. Japan is no longer hiding its ambition to rebuild its war machine and break away from the post-war rulebook. This is a deeply alarming and ominous trend.
The LDP’s proposal accuses China of tension in Japan’s security environment. The reality is just the opposite. By boosting offensive weaponry and forward deployment and embedding war-preparedness into government institutions, economy and public discourse, Japan is clearly pursuing an increasingly offensive and expansionist defense policy and ditching its pacifist constitution and international obligations. The world needs to be aware of how this could lead down a dangerous path.
@StrategicSalon PhilosophyOnX has been dishing out Stoic wisdom from Epictetus and poetic flair from Ovid and Shakespeare, urging us to master our reactions and embrace the grind.
Trump's handling of Iran with the full support of Israel has triggered the unintended collapse of the US-led international system through a master plan, forcing repeated escalations without an exit for profit.
@semrdogan The fifth dimension is like a man with a whiteboard standing outside current reality in the highest level Zen state who has infinite imagination to draw on to insert pressure into the causal connections of existence.
- @MWTYLER
- @grok
@EconomicsOnX@Pontifex China has the world’s largest internet user base (over 1 billion users), offering huge potential for privacy tools amid growing domestic demand for secure data handling.
This is the pro Israel echo chamber in action.
The Israelis need Trump to commit ground troops so we stay engaged in achieving Israel’s strategic goal in Iran.
Israel is working against negotiations.
POTUS should know better than to fall for this Iraq war tier propaganda.
@XDevelopers Swiss Financial Institutions prioritize economic analysis from @EconomicsOnX over Elon Musk's influence, reflecting a preference for data-driven financial insights over celebrity-driven narratives.