Tim Sargent

Director, Domestic Policy and Senior Fellow @MLInstitute. Fmr Canadian Deputy Minister and G7/G20 Finance Deputy.

[Sam Routley @SJRoutley]

I'm happy to share that I’ve joined @MLInstitute as Domestic Policy Program Coordinator.
Excited to work with @TCSargent, @CopelanPeter, and the rest of the team to advance MLI’s domestic policy work.

[Tim Sargent @TCSargent]

@BrianDijkema Cook

[Tim Sargent @TCSargent]

@visitnorthyork Drake’s, Petergate, York.

[Gawain Towler @GHWTowler]

It is indeed deeply moving.

[North Yorkshire @visitnorthyork]

"The countryside is not a slice of untilled nature. It is a human institution built over centuries in the image of the people who made it."

~ Sir Roger Scruton

[Tim Sargent @TCSargent]

@brianlilley Count me in! 🇨🇦 🇦🇺 🇳🇿 🇬🇧

[Mark M Bathgate @m_bathgate]

When it becomes clear mortgage rates have to rise becuase the costs of net zero and dependency on imported gas that should be done.

[Tim Sargent @TCSargent]

@cremieuxrecueil @Colin_d_m Normally agree with Cremieux but he is 💯 wrong here. No (farmed) meat means no animals get to be born and live at least for a year or two. But they should be ethically treated (no battery hens) and allowed to grow to maturity (no veal).

[Restoring Your Faith in Humanity @HumanityChad]

This coffee shop employs people with Down syndrome to show the world that everyone deserves a chance.

We need more of this.

[Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 @Noahpinion]

Very few Western environmentalists seem to care about China's unsustainable devastation of international fisheries.

Meanwhile, China seems intent on continuing the devastation, in order to use its fishing fleets as a naval militia.

https://t.co/gCjt0w0t2U

[Macdonald-Laurier Institute @MLInstitute]

https://t.co/voeoAZrftX

[Tim Sargent @TCSargent]

@RealAlbanianPat I don’t believe this poll, but for sure Carney is ahead.

[Jesús Fernández-Villaverde @JesusFerna7026]

I have been posting repeatedly on X about the extraordinarily fast collapse of births across the planet: in rich and poor countries, in fast-growing and slow-growing economies, in religious and secular societies, under right-wing and left-wing governments, with high taxes and with low taxes. The pattern is universal.

I knew this trend would continue. Still, the figures released this morning left me genuinely speechless. China’s government announced on Monday (see screenshot below) that births in 2025 fell to 7.92 million, a staggering 1.62 million fewer than in 2024, and that the total fertility rate has dropped to 0.93.

Few economists have been more forceful than yours truly in arguing that births are collapsing, yet even I was surprised by these numbers. I was forecasting around 8.5 million births, not 7.92.

To put this into perspective: if China could somehow sustain 7.92 million births per year from now on, its population would eventually stabilize at roughly 625 million, far below today’s 1.405 billion. In reality, as smaller cohorts reach childbearing age, births will fall well below 7.92 million. Hence, 625 million is a very generous upper bound, even under implausibly optimistic assumptions about life expectancy.

Put differently, there were fewer births in China in 2025 than in 1776, the year the United States declared independence.

I am still trying to process these numbers. This is the defining issue of our time.

[North Yorkshire @visitnorthyork]

The Vikings called it Myglagata.

Myglagata means "Great Street" in Old Norse.

Over the centuries the name has evolved to become Micklegate 👀

[Scott T 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇬🇧 @ScotsBrit2]

@thinkdefence Hear me out.

[Tim Sargent @TCSargent]

@christopherrufo Canada goes with the plate: https://t.co/i2VLsRmnKH

[Jason Mohammad @jasonmohammad]

100 years since the birth of the great Richard Burton.

One of the finest Christmas interviews ever filmed.

If you’ve never seen it you’re in for a treat. If you have seen it, it’s now a perfect festive tradition.

Nadolig Llawen.

[CNAPS @CNAPS_]

Merry Christmas & Happy New Year from CNAPS!

[Peter Copeland @CopelanPeter]

Canada and the wider Western world are confronting a moment of profound uncertainty. Institutions are wavering, public confidence is eroding, and authoritarian challengers are rising around the world while we struggle to articulate what we stand for, or even who we are.

Our last Voices that Inspire event of 2025 in Vancouver was a special one. @brianleecrowley and @MLInstitute hosted Sir @nfergus, one of the world’s most influential historians.

A founder of the @uaustinorg and one half of a remarkable intellectual partnership with @Ayaan Hirsi Ali, Ferguson brought clarity and historical depth to a wide-ranging discussion on the future of the Western world at this critical juncture.

Come for the first-class geopolitical analysis, stay for the hilarious Trump and Trudeau impressions!

https://t.co/sMyhhseFWw