@horse_caligula@x111111111111xc@HistoryLegends_ Sub 100K for both. Solid 55/60K on RU as a minimum.
65K as a minimum for UA due to US leaking their central register. At least 45K KIA in May 2023.
A summary of the results of this summer's counteroffensive by the Deep State Telegram channel.
https://t.co/kefhqFlfke
https://t.co/NEY9v1xx7J
https://t.co/2WRZUlMVcj
@123Fapel81080@x111111111111xc@HistoryLegends_@History_Legends Already been there. These are outliers.
A 600 pax village lost 10 guys in an ambush. That’s 3+% of the male population. Is this a scalable estimate? No. We know that Lvov will bury its 1700soldier this week (or has already happened). Or 0,03 to 0,47% of the MP (raion/city).
@123Fapel81080@x111111111111xc@HistoryLegends_ Yes and the area is also hit by aerial bombs and drones. But still the culling campaign is small (<300 KIA) because the vectors are small (se video 36 KIA in there).
@123Fapel81080@x111111111111xc@HistoryLegends_ A lot less. In fact early they would lose a platoon of KIa a day, now we’re into 20/25 KIA and a lot of heavy WIA.
The reduction of the size of units shows exactly why you cannot kill 50 a day. What’s positive is that you can kill most of the advancing units.
@123Fapel81080@x111111111111xc@HistoryLegends_ Yes and they have not been attacking since>because high attrition for an area that was high priority in June but became a total fiasco that even Deep state points as the responsible of the failure in South Donetsk. And even the tape shows 8 KIA left behind.
@123Fapel81080@x111111111111xc@HistoryLegends_ On top of not trusting Kadyrov on average numbers (PR is a thing), there is simply not enough place and depth to charge every day with 100 people and retreat with 40/50KIA around Bahmut.