Tyler Goleno

Future NOAA Hurricane Hunter

[The White House @WhiteHouse]

Touchdown

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

Do you remember when you joined X? I do! #MyXAnniversary

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

@CoachJonSumrall

[Hayes Fawcett @Hayesfawcett3]

BREAKING: West Florida standout QB Marcus Stokes plans to enter the @TransferPortal, he tells @on3

The 6’2 210 QB totaled 3,664 yards and 40 TDs this season

He’s been named a finalist for the Harlon Hill (D2 Heisman)

Repped by @bnm_nil

https://t.co/RlUbB6Fk7q

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

for the love that is all holy, bring back gator bait @CoachJonSumrall

[Charlie Kirk @charliekirk11]

Good men must die, but death can't kill their names.

[Tim Tebow @TimTebow]

I’m shocked and devastated to learn about the passing of Charlie Kirk. 

Above all else, Charlie was a follower of Jesus, a husband, and a dad. He was a man of passion, courage, and devotion to making an eternal impact. 

Demi and I are praying for Erika, his two children, and everyone who loved him.

[Charlie Kirk @charliekirk11]

You can tell a lot about a person by how they react when someone dies.

[Charlie Kirk @charliekirk11]

Jesus defeated death so you can live.

[Charlie Kirk @charliekirk11]

It’s all about Jesus.

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

Where the tortas at

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

Interesting

[Nick Krasznavolgyi @NickKrasz_Wx]

Become ungovernable

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

@FloridaTropics1 So what happens if Erin is still going directly west from its current position in 24hrs?

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

@FloridaTropics1 So from the consensus of the models it should be moving WNW by tomorrow morning?

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

@FloridaTropics1 Would it be less likely to feel the break in the ridging to the north?

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

Will be really interesting to see if this trend continues

[Florida Tropics @FloridaTropics1]

The 11 AM forecast track has shifted southward again and now has the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico in the cone.

[Florida Tropics @FloridaTropics1]

The 11 AM forecast track has shifted southward again and now has the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico in the cone.

[Alex Boreham @cyclonicwx]

Thanks to the stable air around, #Erin has no real central convection. However, it still has a good structure. There is a low level eye apparent from visible imagery, and if it can generate convection soon it could organize quickly. Will need to do so eventually though or else the structure will fall apart. The cumulus near its center is getting increasingly agitated, so I'd imagine this would happen soon.

The lack of convection also means Erin gets steered by low level flow. Since that flow is more northerly, it will once again push Erin south of expected, and I imagine the current trend will continue. Definitely a nowcasting scenario where we'll have to keep an eye on the current track like we did back near Cabo Verde. It's dipping south already, down to about 17N. Will end up south of NHC forecast. Worth noting the HCCA consensus has moved quite far southwest due to this dip becoming longer and sharper. TVCN not so aggressive yet. Definitely worth being ready for Erin in the Leeward Islands given how trends are going. These WSW dip scenarios typically are a bit more stubborn than forecast too which may lead to the current trend continuing. We'll see what happens. As you can see from the trend, these small changes snowball into large shifts in the track

[Tyler Goleno @TGoleno]

#Erin sure seems to me tumbling a little further south this morning