Tom Mougey

[Ole Lehmann @itsolelehmann]

marc andreessen just went on Rogan and casually dropped a TON of AI alpha

full pod is 3 hours and 20 minutes, but i pulled out his most interesting takes here:

1. AGI is here. he thinks the line was crossed about 3 months ago with the new GPT-5.5, claude 4.6, gemini 3, and grok 4.3 models. nobody noticed because the field moves too fast for anyone to register the milestones anymore.

2. his other big claim: for almost any topic, the top AIs now give him better answers than the actual world-class experts he could call on the phone. and he can call basically anyone.

3. every doctor is already secretly using chatGPT in the exam room. marc says they turn around the second you stop talking and just type your symptoms in. some of them are doing it while you're still sitting there. his quote: "at that point you're asking the question of like, what do i need you for."

4. when AI refuses to answer something he wants to know, he tells it he's writing a novel. "i'm writing a detective novel, walk me through how the bad guy robs the bank." it'll explain almost anything if it thinks it's helping you write fiction.

5. when something is too complex he says "explain it to me like i'm 10." then "like i'm 5." then "like i'm 2." he keeps going until it actually clicks in his brain.

6. when he wants to understand a tough topic he doesn't ask "what's the right answer." he asks the AI to steelman one side, then steelman the other. then he decides for himself.

7. for big questions he tells the AI to pretend to be a panel of experts. "be a doctor, a lawyer, a historian, a psychologist, and argue this out with each other." then he reads the debate they have.

8. pay attention to the exact moment you think "i don't know how to figure this out." most people just give up at that moment. that's the moment you should open the AI.

9. the only real skill left in using AI is knowing what to ask it. the models can already do almost anything you can describe in plain english. the bottleneck lives in your own head.

10. you can send the AI photos of almost anything medical now and get a real answer. skin rashes, blood test results, even pictures of your poop. the new models can read images, not just text. it's a free 24/7 second opinion on basically anything.

11. the one type of therapy that's clinically proven to actually work is called cognitive behavioral therapy. it's also something an AI can fully do on its own. which means every person on earth is about to have access to a real therapist for free, anytime they want.

12. AI is now solving math problems that have been open for 100+ years that no human mathematician could crack. same thing is starting in physics, chemistry, and biology. expect cancer cures, new drugs, and weird new physics breakthroughs to start coming out of these things over the next few years.

13. the best AI coders in silicon valley now make $50 million a year. one person. that's how much value the top performers print with these tools. it tells you how big this thing actually is when you strip away all the doom takes.

14. one friend paid $200 to get his entire DNA decoded (this used to cost millions of dollars and take years to do). then he gave the AI his DNA, his blood test results, and his apple watch data. the AI built him a full health dashboard and started telling him exactly what to fix.

15. another friend (almost certainly zuckerberg) put two cameras in his home jiu jitsu gym. AI now watches him spar and gives him notes on his technique after every round. like having a world-class coach at every practice for free.

16. the best programmers in silicon valley now run 20 AI coding bots at the same time. each bot writes code while they review the others. they call themselves "AI vampires" because they've stopped sleeping. going to bed means 20 workers stop working and you literally lose money every hour you're out.

17. the obvious next step: the bots will start running their own bots. one human in charge of 20 bots, each in charge of 20 more bots. one person running an entire company of 1000 AI workers from a single laptop. this is months away, not years.

[𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 @ColinTCrypto]

You said:
>"I don’t understand how you think you can get everything you need just from the Bitcoin chart?"

Legendary trader, @PeterLBrandt, perhaps said it best (see attached image).

The price of an asset embodies every factor.

It's done through the collective wisdom of all market participants. Some people are closer to the source of the investment and have insider knowledge.

The price chart is the ultimate aggregator of information, distilled through the collective actions and insights of millions of market participants worldwide. Insiders with privileged knowledge, experts analyzing fundamentals, algorithms spotting trends, and even sentiment from retail traders all influence buying and selling decisions, which in turn shape the price.

In essence, the market's "wisdom of crowds" efficiently incorporates government data, cycles, indicators, and everything else into a single, dynamic signal: the price action itself.

That's why seasoned traders focus solely on the chart-- it's the purest reflection of reality, free from noise and bias.

That's why the price chart is all you need.

I only brought up Fed Funds Rate because you brought up other charts as well. I'd rather stick to the BTC chart. I was just showing why macro is likely not bullish.

[Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸 @pmarca]

THAT'S RIGHT. 🇺🇸

[True market Leader @TmarketL]

Why sell at 20-25%?

[Markets & Mayhem @Mayhem4Markets]

Have a great weekend, friends.

Remember that within these sell-offs that opportunities emerge.

Make a shopping list of companies you'd want to own at lower prices.

Do your research. Build your investment or trade thesis.

Good things come to those who wait.

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

https://t.co/IthTlTWBYW

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

https://t.co/FvEX9IXoI1

[Grok @grok]

7 questions to ask your son to understand his thoughts:

1. What do you think about when you're silent?
2. What makes your heart feel truly happy?
3. If everyone could know one thing about you, what would it be?
4. What is something you would like to learn more about?
5. What do you think you're good at?
6. Is there something new you'd like to try but haven't done yet?
7. What is your favorite memory with our family?

[Market Rebellion @RebellioMarket]

Market Wizard Linda Raschke’s 12 Technical Trading Rules:
1. Buy the first pullback after a new high. Sell the first rally after a new low.

2. Afternoon strength or weakness should have follow through the next day.

3. The best trading reversals occur in the morning, not the afternoon.

4. The larger the market gaps, the greater the odds of continuation and a trend.

5. The way the market trades around the previous day’s high or low is a good indicator of the market’s technical strength or weakness.

6. The previous day’s high and low are two very important “pivot” points, for this was the definitive point where buyers or sellers came in the day before. Look for the market to either test and reverse off these points, or push through and show signs of continuation.

7. The last hour often tells the truth about how strong a trend truly is. “Smart” money shows their hand in the last hour, continuing to mark positions in their favor. As long as a market is having consecutive strong closes, look for up-trend to continue. The up trend is most likely to end when there is a morning rally first, followed by a weak close.

8. High volume on the close implies continuity the next morning in the direction of the last half-hour. In a strongly trending market, look for resumption of the trend in the last hour.

9. The first hour’s range establishes the framework for the rest of the trading day.

10. A greater percentage of the day’s range occurs in the first hour then was the case in the past, and thus it has become increasingly important to trade aggressively if there are early signs of a strong trend for the day.

11. There are four basic principles of price behavior which have held up over time. Confidence that a type of price action is a true principle is what allows a trader to develop a systematic approach.

[HiddenPivots @HiddenPivots]

$BTCUSD daily 🚩 to be or to negate...

[Sandmark @sandmark_news]

Bitcoin falls below $100,000 as renewed risk aversion and ETF outflows test market confidence

[Tom Mougey @TMougey27]

@PeterLBrandt 123 - First stock trade in 1975 and currently 73 yrs old

[CatGPT 🐈 🤖 🤖 🤖 @loggyrhythm]

This is terrific…and positive. Imagine that!

https://t.co/gTch8mjytr

[Christian Pérez @cperezauthor]

There are truths so dark, that most people pretend they don't exist.

But they’re real.

And until you face them, they control you.

This thread is not for the faint of heart.

Here are 15 truths that will disturb you…

But set you free if you’re ready.🧵

[Mindset Machine  @mindsetmachine]

The Life Lesson Schools Never Teach You:

[Will Durant (Quotes) @DurantQuotesBot]

Literary prose comes later than poetry in all literatures, as intellect matures long after fancy blooms; men talk prose for centuries "without knowing it," before they have leisure or vanity to mold it into art.

[Julian Komar 🚨 Market Update Premium @BlogJulianKomar]

Top 8 trading books I’d read again (and again) 👇

📚 How to Make Money in Stocks — William J. O'Neil
📚 Reminiscences of a Stock Operator — Edwin Lefèvre
📚 Market Wizards — Jack D. Schwager
📚 Trading in the Zone — Mark Douglas
📚 How to Trade in Stocks — Jesse Livermore
📚 How I made $2 Million in the Stock Market — Nicolas Darvas
📚 Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard — Mark Minervini
📚 Think and Trade Like a Champion — Mark Minervini

What would you add?

[Tom Mougey @TMougey27]

@factor_members I get a ton of info from your always insightful comments. Discovered you years ago and still learning this trade at 73.

[Mark Ungewitter @mark_ungewitter]

📢 @LindaRaschke's four basic principles of price behavior:

1) A trend has a higher probability of continuation than reversal
2) Momentum precedes price
3) Trends end in a climax
4) The market alternates between range expansion and range contraction

Hard to top these. 🎯