TalentedInvestor

Retired poker pro investing in public markets.

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@EquityBrian BABA's CFO needs to contact Softbank and make a deal to purchase all of their shares.

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@HeySumeetKapoor The pace of this buyback is so slow that #BABA is still growing its cash position. Management seems to be blundering many of their assets

[Kenneth Dredd @KennethDredd]

venture capitalists rn

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@EquityBrian US equity markets appear to be bullwhipping.

Strong demand > Rates rise > Equities drop> Layoffs> Weak demand > Lower rates > Increase in demand

Repeat.

China should be faster to recover, but its spirit may be broken due to years of government intervention + gaslighting

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@ecommerceshares Amazon spent 500m making "Rings of Power". The script sounds like it was written by a 10 year old, it almost sounds like a scam at this point where they are spending 50k on a hammer and 40k on a chair. The RND yield for Amazon is awful post-Bezos era

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@ecommerceshares Netflix upgraded its rating system from a numerical to a thumbs up/down system. That's 1-2b, shouldn't be hard to account for the rest.

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@EquityBrian Many US tech has already corrected significantly. I would be shocked to see another 20%+. I think long China, I expect the rising tide of their reopening to lift the global economy.

[Orange Book 🍊📖 @orangebook]

Assume that every problem you face can be solved by the smartest version of yourself, then make the effort to grow into that person.

[Wasteland Capital @ecommerceshares]

Unemployment just fell to 3.5% in December, from 3.7.%. ~All time lows.
Payrolls +223k vs 203k expected.
But… wage growth moderating, +4.6% vs 5.0% expected.

Goldilocks for the real economy and real people, bearish for Ponzi queefs expecting a Fed bailout.

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@EquityBrian This was approved yesterday during western hours. Maybe all eyes are on TSLA having it's BABA moment

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@EnricoLaQuatra @MohnishPabrai @GSpier "Conversion of BABA to HK shares, uncovering of his secret position in Tencent." Where is the evidence of this?

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@itscharliemar Has success changed your hunger/motivation when compared to yourself 5-7 years ago?

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@ecommerceshares Wow, resisting the urge to do buybacks at record-high prices. That's some epic discipline

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@waytoMajesty @EquityBrian I suspect the same, seems like the last 12 months were all about cutting costs, no point in buying cloud services when business is flat. Hopefully, 2023 is the year of expansion

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@itscharliemar Buffett buys TSM, makes sense it's like the XOM of chips. Can't believe he didn't buy more. Maybe he doesn't mind holding cash with the new treasury yield rates

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@itscharliemar What is the value of a technology that is not allowed to evolve or upgrade? Eventually, it will become a toaster. Some cryptos have potential, but BTC is not one of them.

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@BruceLife007 @itscharliemar If a bear market lasts 200 days, only 1/200 or so of investors will catch the bottom, and everyone else overpaid by some amount. Buying META at $110 is much better than those who bought at $200+ (which is the majority of the population over the last 3 years).

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@itscharliemar What is your maintenance margin? Interactive Brokers has 30% that would allow for a drop of about 80%+ without a margin call at 7% margin loan

[TalentedInvestor @TalentedInvestr]

@itscharliemar RE depends on leverage (20% downpayment 80% loan), you get wiped during a downturn and pay a ton of interest in flat markets.
The largest positive is no margin call. Imagine being able to buy stocks at 4:1 leverage w/ no fear of margin call as long as you pay the interest