Ted

[Ariel Hernandez @RealSimpleAriel]

Awesome conversation with @OliverKell_ today!

One of my biggest takeaways from Oliver was his discipline in staying focused on what he believes are the leading, most liquid stocks in the market.

Get familiar with their price action, be patient, and let them work.

He doesn't pretend to be perfect, nor does he need to be. He has a proven process that works for him over time, not every time.

And I think that's a lesson a lot of traders could benefit from. You don't need to trade everything. You just need to know what works for you and have the discipline to stick with it.

Thanks again for taking the time brother. The floor is yours anytime!

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

I rely on relative strength to identify divergent leaders when overall market breadth starts narrowing.

When the broad index is pulling back or grinding sideways, I look for the handful of stocks refusing to go down. That divergence tells me institutions are actively supporting those names while ignoring the rest of the market.

Relative strength shows me where capital is flowing first.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

I spent years collecting thousands of setup examples to build my model books for every market cycle.

I look for the exact common threads that every massive winner shares before it takes off. Having that deep historical database gives me the confidence to size up when those same characteristics appear today.

Study the past until you recognize the future instantly.

[iain @ohiain]

My entire trading framework boils down to 2 simple concepts (save this chart):

1) buy weakness in strength = a weak pullback in an uptrend can be an opportunity.

2) short strength in weakness = a weak bounce in a downtrend can be an opportunity.

That's the simple framework.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

I look for Highest Volume Ever setups because a massive, unprecedented volume spike changes a stock's entire trajectory.

On the Arlo trade, that 100% move started with the highest volume the ticker had ever seen on a gap up. When a small-cap momentum stock trades record volume like that, it signals institutional re-evaluation rather than a retail fluke.

That initial volume explosion is my signal that the stock is ready for a real run.

[FABIAN 🇨🇭 @FabianFindsEdge]

‼️Kristjan Kullamägi @Qullamaggie explaining the setup that made him millions.

Probably one of the most valuable clips from Traders4ACause.

A lot of you asked me about the full video after my last post, so I reached out to Nate at @Traders4ACause.

He gave us a special deal for Project Impact, where you can learn directly from some incredible traders breaking down their setups and processes — including Qullamaggie.

Regular price: $497
Special price: $299

Code: Jh3I7nKu
Expires Friday the 13th.

I make $0 from this — no affiliate fee, no commission. I simply asked Nate if he could get a better price for everyone who was interested.

And even better: a portion of the proceeds goes to charity.

Big thanks to Nate and Zach for making this happen and for everything Traders4ACause does for the trading community. 🤝

[iain @ohiain]

6+ years of grit in 1 sentence:

Scan for leadership + best weekly charts, wait for daily tightness off the 9/21EMAs, execute off 15/30min pivots on the right-side curl & sit.

Took me years of overcomplicating everything to realize the answer was to keep it stupid simple.

[Ross Haber @RossHaber]

Check out my latest blog on a 'stock's personality' here:
https://t.co/pR9vEAOAAc

[Jeff Sun, CFTe @jfsrev]

A Simple Situational Awareness Read on Near-Term Extension in Under 10-Minutes.

The question that's always on our minds after a month or two of rallies, especially following a red day, is: "Are we too extended in the short term to stay involved?" I would like to share with you some simple tickers that you can put in your watchlist panel with preset overbought/oversold zone, and how I would digest them in a quantitative manner based on recent historical behavior. This approach ignores individual price action and instead focuses on the underlying market dynamics.

I go by this sequence of

1) % Stocks Above 20-MA,
2) MMTW Comparative to ATR% Extension from 50-MA of Their Index Chart,
3) The Current Market Rhythm Based on MA,
4) VIX/VXVCLS Ratio

I want to reiterate that this is primarily useful for short-term swing traders. If you operate on a longer timeframe, you should shift the anchoring metrics accordingly for the same analysis. For example, using % of stocks above the 50-MA instead.

For historical reference on how I’ve used this in real time over the past few years, you can refer to the link provided.
https://t.co/DhZzaqc7nF

[Richard Moglen @RichardMoglen]

We had over 1000 traders attend the @Deepvue Model Book Launch live and over 7,000 have watched the replay.

In my view this is a game-changing feature that will help you study yourself and the best stocks easily.

Here's the workshop replay 👇

https://t.co/rcaXVK7YuI

[Ted Zhang @TedHZhang]

After studying so many moves over the years, I realized that when you get a real monthly base breakout usually from multi-year ranges, they last 1-2 years (12-24 months) usually or longer.

Just study the previous moves of $NVDA $MSTR $BTC $ETH $TSLA and other current big winners $SNDK $MU $WDC $STX.

From here, have a timeframe sell rule of 1-2 years combined with the 30-40 week moving average to catch the cycle move. There are usually 2-4 weekly bases within the uptrend lasting anywhere from 4-24 weeks in length.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

Had a many folks ask me about the 4B- Setup from Stan, here is a clip of Stan going through it himself and covering the concept with an example.

The best reversal setup i've found for swing trading.

4B- Setup by @StanWeinstein13

https://t.co/aBBCQ8RmR3

Bookmark this.

[Jeff Sun, CFTe @jfsrev]

No need for $DELL or $HPE to navigate this market. I am carrying none of those.

Build a stringent process that you own and could follow with longevity. Come to X only after you've done your own homework — to compare notes, not to follow the thesis. The ideas that aren't widely discussed should often be higher on your watchlist. Less crowded ideas give you a better chance of getting positioned early before being in the known (eg. June 18th $ADBE, June 26th $CRSR). Over the long run with constant repetition, if you can consistently grind out larger and quick gains to cover slow prolong drawdown overall, you know your process has a genuine edge.

That’s when you’ve earned the conviction to size up, whether through larger account equity value or a higher % risk per trade to equity.

$QQQ $SN $MU $SNDK $CRSR $GDX $XLF $XLK $TSLA $ADBE $CRCL

[Mike Webster @mwebster1971]

"There's nothing wrong with making mistakes..." -🐐

4 minutes of GOLD from Bill!
@IBDinvestors

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

Swing trading is all about this: when the information changes, you change.

On July 30 we got the expectation breaker and the market closed strong.

Whatever bias or analysis you had before that was perfectly fine. But that day, what the market was communicating to us completely changed.

When that happens you pivot. You don’t marry one side or the other. You marry the process, the system, the inputs that let you keep extracting money from the market.

A lot of traders get held up on “everyone was bearish ten days ago and now everyone’s bullish.”

Before July 30 the information was different. After July 30 it was different again. That’s the tide changing. There’s no point fighting it.

I’ve seen a few posts making that point like it’s a criticism. I think it’s a good thing. It’s how swing traders should act, because we’re not investors. We’re not looking out 12, 18, 36 months. We’re trading the volatility and the direction the market is actually going.

If the market changes direction and we change with it, that’s a positive.

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

If you're down 5-10% from your highs and still putting on full-size longs, your math is working against the market.

That's not a test position, that's insanity. Four losses in a row is the market telling you something. You have no right to go full size there.

Cut to an eighth, a sixteenth, and see if the water's warm enough to swim.

[Ted Zhang @TedHZhang]

I periodically review this @Qullamaggie mindset stream clips playlist. I find it really helpful.

https://t.co/ZnrLWuHnSO

[Ameet Rai @AmeetRai]

Giant watchlists and scattered focus leave you confused when you’re trying to pick between 10 or 15 names at once, especially when they’re all running at the same time.

What you want instead is to run your process in a loop. Each market cycle, each year, you get a little better at picking the actual leader. Leaders have characteristics that the B, C and D-level stocks just don’t.

Once your process is pointed at finding the A+ name, the one that’s going to run the most, you get real feedback.

Was I in the leadership stock this cycle or wasn’t I?
What do I change to get closer next time?

That takes your watchlist from 15 or 20 names down to five or seven. Now you can size properly into those and performance follows, because performance is a byproduct of position sizing and conviction.

I see too many people carrying 10, 12, 15 positions. If you’re swing trading high-ADR names and you’re running 20 or 30 positions, you’ve basically built your own index. At that point you’re not doing much better than just owning the Qs or the SPY.

Get the feedback loop running and you’ll be in the right names more often. Right names plus proper size is where the high performance returns actually come from.

[iain @ohiain]

A friend of mine asked me recently... "do you prefer buying pullbacks or breakouts?”

I used to think I needed a concrete answer to questions like this. But the deeper I get, the more I've realized that such thinking is way too rigid for my personality.

My actual answer is: whichever one the market is paying me for right now.

And there's a lot more nuance behind that than it sounds.

Through time, I've learned that the same setup can behave completely differently depending on where we are in the market cycle. In a choppy environment, I can find the best looking breakout imaginable, buy through the pivot, and watch it travel 2% before reversing directly back into the base. Do that enough times, and you slowly bleed yourself out through a 1,000 paper cuts.

So when breakouts aren't following through, I naturally gravitate toward pullbacks in the strongest names. I'm looking for stocks that have "already" proven themselves with a Stage 1 → Stage 2 breakout and are now giving me their first orderly pullback into something like the rising 9/21EMA.

But there's an important distinction here... I don't buy the pullback simply because price touched the 9EMA.

That would be way too easy lol.

I want the stock to pull back constructively: ideally lighter volume, relative strength versus the market + its group, tight price action, sellers unable to make much progress, and then I wait for buyers to prove themselves on the right side.

That's where my lower TFs come into play.

A stock could be pulling back on the daily chart while simultaneously breaking out on the 15/30 minute chart.

I might see a leader flush into the daily 9EMA, but instead of trying to catch the exact bottom, I'll wait for a 15/30 minute pivot to develop. Once buyers start taking back control and that intraday pivot high gets reclaimed, that's where I want to enter, usually risking against LOD or the technical pivot.

So technically I'm buying a daily pullback and an intraday breakout at the exact same time.

Price is FRACTAL.

That's how I perceive “buying weakness” on leadership. My system specifically calls for buying pullbacks only once the stock turns back upward--not while it's still falling.

Now flip the environment.

When the market is trending, breadth is expanding, my scans are filling up with RS names, breakouts are sticking, and (most importantly) my own trades are immediately giving me cushion, I'm much more willing to simply buy the breakout.

BUT WHY?

Because the best stocks can be incredibly rude.

They don't care that you wanted the perfect 9EMA retest.

Sometimes a stock spends 8 weeks compressing, volume dries up, it finally clears a major weekly pivot on volume...

…and never looks back.

I'll gladly pay up for that confirmation rather than watch a true leader leave without me. My system is built around the idea of compression → expansion, and some of the largest opportunities I'm hunting are Stage 1 bases transitioning into Stage 2 trends.

This is also why I'm constantly talking about tension → release. I'm not obsessed with whether my entry gets classified as a “breakout” or “pullback.”

I'm obsessed with where I am in the cycle of price action.

Give me... RS → strong group → big base → tightness → declining volatility → volume contraction → buyers step in → expansion. Now you've got my attention & focus.

Another concept is that my breakout entry and pullback entry don't exist in isolation from my equity curve. If I've taken 3 trades recently and nothing is following through, I'm not suddenly slamming full size into the fourth breakout because the chart looks pretty.

I'll probe... & if that works, maybe I add. And if another setup works, I'll add more exposure.

If everything starts working simultaneously, I'll press.

That's progressive exposure in simple form.

My own trading system literally ranks my equity curve above the indices when determining aggression. If the market looks incredible but my setups aren't paying me, I become defensive. If the indices still look questionable but my RS names keep working, I listen to my trades.

I've gone from mostly cash to heavily invested within a few days before, not because I woke up and declared myself “bullish,” but because 1 position worked, then another worked, then another worked.

The market earned my exposure.

That's probably the biggest evolution in how I think about this question.

The first few years in my journey, I spent way too much energy trying to perfect the entry. Now I'm trying to perfect the decision surrounding the entry.

So yes, I love breakouts. Some of my biggest winners have come from simply buying a great stock as it leaves a great base and then getting the hell out of its way. But if I miss that move?

I'm not chasing it 10% above the breakout because my ego tells me I need to own it. I'll simply wait.

If it's truly a leader, there's a good chance I'll eventually get another opportunity...maybe a pullback into the 9/21EMA, an inside day, a tight flag, an EMA crossback, another multi-day base, or some other area where price tightens and I can define my risk again. In fact, once a stock has transitioned into Stage 2, I'm actively interested in the constructive flags that develop along the way.

That's why my answer isn't really breakouts vs. pullbacks anymore. It's where is the market offering me asymmetry RIGHT NOW? Strong trending market? I'll happily pay up for momentum. Choppy market? Give me the RS leader pulling into rising moving averages.

And regardless of which entry I take, I want the exact same thing. Tight risk if I'm wrong + enough potential expansion to make being right matter.

Everything else is just an entry tactic.

My 2 cents.

[stockbee @PradeepBonde]

looks good, on my watchlist