TheLock

Minding my own business and bets.

[TheLock @TheLockzzax]

Here're the facts about some of the most popular "experts" on twitter, YouTube, wager talk and so on...

[TR Handicapp Tracker @tr_tracker]

Our numbers since the first of the year for those that have been betting since this calendar year started:

[Trent Attyah @BookitWithTrent]

I’ve lost 16 of my last 20 wagers.

There is only one way to get it back.

Man City ML -120 is a mortal mega max.

They’re not losing.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Sunday #mlb. Not much of a fun day, though..
#Gambling𝕏

[TheLock @TheLockzzax]

@_MegaPolitics If you really believe this then you are stupid beyond fixing..

[Analytics Capper @AnalyticsCapper]

❤️ for free play today!

2026 Free Plays
39-16 (70.90%) 🚀

[Sharky Waters NATION @SharksNSports88]

https://t.co/OQ25aE2FFD

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

2026 #MLB model is basically ready for Opening Day:
A totals-only build focused on finding +EV OVERs (Mon through Sat only).
Key pieces:
- Sharp opener/closer as the anchor
- RE24/Markov run expectancy backbone
- Statcast park factors + any 2026 wall/dimension tweaks
- Live weather (temp/RH/pressure/altitude) + air density + Barrel% “carry” boost
- Umpire tendencies, starter + bullpen fatigue, platoon/split context
- Bivariate NB scoring dist with k + ρ by total band and hard play thresholds

Rules are hard-coded, caps/shrinkage explicit, and every bet gets tracked on @betstamp vs the close.
Opening Day can’t come soon enough!

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

The MLB totals model just got a big bullpen upgrade and is now smarter on late-game scoring.
Key tweak: Bullpen fatigue isn't just "innings pitched" any more. It's dose-response:
15 pitches = small dip
20 = bigger velocity/command loss
High-pressure pitches hurt more.
Rest recovers half the effect each day.
Makes projections more realistic when pens are gassed.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

4/
Tracking everything publicly once season is upon us (@betstamp in bio). Selective plays only and aiming for consistent CLV and units won in 2026.
If you're into sharp, physics-backed MLB totals, follow along. More tests/updates coming.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

3/
News/injury updates pulled proactively: Official sources first (https://t.co/UEvVNFyzsm, ESPN), then top beat reporters per team + national insiders (Passan, Heyman, Rosenthal, etc.) for speed on scratches/lineup changes

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

2/
The science part is my favorite: How thin air at altitude reduces drag so balls carry farther (Coors classic). Combined with wind direction/speed forecasts and park-specific geometry (short porches, high walls).
Model refines expected runs based on these. This is real carry distance physics, not guesses.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Built a 2026 #MLB totals model that's all about finding real edges in overs, aiming at being very selective, no volume chasing.
It's heavily physics-based: ball flight trajectory (Nathan research on air density/drag from altitude, temp, humidity), wind interaction with park walls, Statcast park factors.

[OpenServ @openservai]

OpenServ is becoming the operating system for crypto founders.

[Gatsbyonchain @cryptogatsby29]

The best AMA I've seen in ages, introducing @defidennis (Yes!🤯) to the $SERV team + updated tokenomics with focus on creating token scarcity... We're destined for billions!

[DJ Griffith @DjGriffith]

$COR is one of my highest conviction gems, and one I’m super comfy holding, both fundamentally and in terms of PA.

They’re building a truly decentralised infrastructure. And by “truly,” I mean their network is actually powered by miners, not like other so-called infrastructure projects where all the computational power is held by a single centralized entity.

Also, it’s rare to see a crypto project with nearly 50% of the circulating supply staked, which alone shows how confident the holders are in $COR.

As for the dev, he’s probably the most impressive one I’ve come across. Fully doxxed, and you can check his background on as shared on their official X. He’s consistently active and drops regular updates, which is a huge plus.

PA-wise, $COR broke out of its accumulation range, and the retest looks complete. I don’t call projects high-conviction easily.

NFA, just a personal opinion.

[TheLock @TheLockzzax]

@MateoLL10 @CryptoExpert101 He clipped 10k himself, the first 5k at once, starting a cascade. All while bullposting it.

[TheLock @TheLockzzax]

@CryptoExpert101 You full clipped earlier today and started the whole thing by dumping 10k on your followers.

[TheLock @TheLockzzax]

@BorisCryptoEVM Only thing that gives me pause is the upcoming bridge to Cosmos chain. Can go sideways in so many ways.

[Gatsbyonchain @cryptogatsby29]

One cannot be serious about #Crypto if not getting behind real projects with real use! One such project with a real utility token is $eSIM! Developed by one of the most reputable Devs on @solana, namely @Senpai_Gideon and the rest of the amazing @encryptSIM team, $eSIM is already growing irl, with real products and constantly expanding customer base! This is exactly what @toly and @mert mean when saying Solana is for builders! Extremely undervalued, but not for long!

[TheLock @TheLockzzax]

Analyse $eSIM for me. 3zJ7RxtzPahndBTEn5PGUyo9xBMv6MJP9J4TPqdFpump

@tri_sigma_

[TheLock @TheLockzzax]

Same old smol $PEP big whales orchestrated a casual Sunday fake pump so they can max extract. One last time, perhaps.. Everything is on chain for everyone to see. Poor long term holders getting their hopes up..