The Overfit Files

The Truth Is Out There ⚛️

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Pinning this @FalcoXO @Figure_robot

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

@LoganxVoss @cherry_mx_reds

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

@tonysimons_ Bots / agents is the only way to work

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Hermes team keeps shipping the updates 👏

Hands down the best free agent available

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

@Gavel_on_X I still see the same half ass posts from people with huge followings that will probably still be rewarded 😒 i can’t even get the algorithm to pick up any of my posts 🤷🏻‍♂️

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Codex back to 100 usage

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

OpenAI publishes research. Anthropic publishes safety papers. Google publishes papers.
All of them simultaneously patent the implementations.
Open source AI today = open for academic study, restricted for commercial deployment, locked for national security applications.
The pattern: release the tool, keep the power.
If intelligence is the new electricity, who's really building the grid?

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

We have:
- 1.6T parameter models open-weight
- Context windows of 1M+ tokens
- Multimodal reasoning matching GPT-4 tier
- Running on single GPU clusters
And yet everyone still pays $200/month for API access.
Why? Because open source AI became another subscription model with a different logo.
The tools are free. The infrastructure isn't. The control still isn't.
True open source means no gatekeepers. We traded one for another.

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Chinese researchers revealed soft humanoid robots that can:
- Walk on water
- Fly
- Transform between configurations
This isn't concept art. This is 2026 lab footage.
Meanwhile, American robotics debates whether warehouse bots can handle "unstructured environments."
The gap isn't money. It's ambition. Who do you think will actually deploy these at scale first?

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Three companies now control the most capable open models: Meta (US), Mistral (EU), Alibaba (CN).
But "open" doesn't mean free. It means:
- You can run it locally
- You can't redistribute it commercially
- You can't use it in certain countries
- The weights are there but the compute isn't
Open source gave us Linux. Now it gives us "open weights" with strings attached.
Is this democratization or digital sharecropping?

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Last month, humanoid robots finished a half-marathon in Beijing.
Not a race. Not a demo. A full 21K with fatigue management, obstacle navigation, and competitive pacing.
Meanwhile we're still arguing whether ChatGPT can write a decent email.
The gap between software AI and physical AI just collapsed. These machines learned to move in the real world while we were busy debating prompt engineering.
What happens when the thing that outthinks you also outlasts you?

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

They're selling you "open source AI" but won't show you the training data.
Meta calls Llama 4 "open-weight" with a community license that bans entire regions. Mistral ships Apache 2.0 but their best reasoning models stay closed. DeepSeek drops 1.6T parameter MoE models but the frontier? Still locked.
The paradox: AI is more "accessible" than ever, yet less transparent than ever.
Who's really democratizing intelligence? Or who just figured out how to sell keys to a house they still own?

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

@FalcoXO @TheHumanoidHub @GoingBallistic5 🤣

[outlaw robotics @FalcoXO]

@TheHumanoidHub @GoingBallistic5 begrudgingly walking back into work after a lunch break. depressed af.

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Damn looks like codex usage resets tomorrow at 2pm not today. I’ll take what I can get

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

@PizzaHamkaas Damn looks like you’re right resetting tomorrow

No worries here. Just means I’ll go out and do something else today 😆

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Just hit 0 codex usage with 3 minutes left till reset

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

11 minutes till Codex limits reset. If you’re not already at zero usage left, you better get to work

[The Overfit Files @TheOverfitFiles]

Reset coming soon

Use your remaining Codex usage before 2PM today

[Tibo @thsottiaux]

Reset will land around 14pm PST tomorrow.