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@ThatGuyBets o2.5 Threes could be a great play too. Had 13+ Points in 29 games last year and only one time had less than 3 Threes. 8 other games with 3+ Threes and less than 13 Points.
πNFL Sunday Week 4 Play #4π
1u - #DawgPound Jerry Jeudy o49.5 Receiving Yards (-112 FanDuel)
Love this play a lot, Jeudy screwed us earlier in the season by barely going under the line we played but this just seems too low. In a game where Cleveland enters as 10 Point underdogs we should see Flacco air things out a bit. Detroit plays a ton of man coverage which favors Jeudy as well, he sees a way higher percentage of targets against Man vs. Zone.
- Over in 2/3 Games this season despite a slow start. His averages are brought down by last weeks 17 Yard outing against a tough Packers Defense.
- Over in 14/20 Games dating back to the start of last season, only failing to go over in back-to-back games on one instance.
π: @PropsEdge Use Code: PROP for 20% off First Purchase
πNFL Sunday Week 4 Play #3π
1u - #DirtyBirds Kyle Pitts u18.5 Yards Longest Reception (-118 FanDuel)
We've been burned betting this market once earlier in the season but dipping back into it here to fade the Falcons Tight End. With Washington's offense pretty depleted, we do expect Atlanta to win but that doesn't mean Pitts will break free for a long reception.
- Gone under this line in all 3 Games to start this season
- Dating back to last season, he has gone under in 70% of his games (14/20).
π: @PropsEdge Use Code: PROP for 20% off First Purchase
πNFL Sunday Week 4 Play #2π
1u - #NEPats TreVeyon Henderson 15+ Receiving Yards (-128 Draft Kings)
The only thing that makes this line make sense is if Vegas thinks New England just dominates the Panthers tomorrow and doesn't have to throw the ball. TreVeyon has cleared this line easily in each of his first 3 Games in the NFL plus with Rhamondre Stevenson (2) and Antonio Gibson (1) both fumbling last week it should open some more opportunities for the Rookie RB. He's caught all 11 of his targets this year for a total of 73 Yards while serving as a backup, if he creeps more towards an even split he should be able to clear this again!
π: @PropsEdge Use Code: PROP for 20% off First Purchase
πNFL Sunday Week 4 Play #1π
0.5u - #GoPackGo Jordan Love u0.5 Interceptions (-125 Draft Kings)
0.5u - Jordan Love u0.5 Interceptions/Packers ML/Bills ML (+118 Draft Kings)
Splitting this play up into two just in case Green Bay or Buffalo shits the bed. We expect both of those teams to get wins pretty easily so let's focus on the Jordan Love part. He and the rest of the Packers should be embarrassed coming off of that loss to Cleveland last week and this Cowboys Defense should be the perfect remedy. We like Green Bay and their QB to dominate from start to finish & J Love to take care of the ball.
- Love has gone without an INT in 14/20 Wins since becoming Green Bay's full time starter.
- Before last week's game losing pick, Love had gone 9 straight regular season games without an INT.
- Dallas' defense has allowed 10 TD & 1 INT to opposing QBs so far this season, the only pick coming from Russell Wilson in OT Week 2.
βWrong read here, died when Henry fumbled the game away for Baltimore. Credit to Goff & Detroit for getting the win on the Road.
NFL '25-26: 5-6 (-1.95u)
πWeek 3 MNF Playπ
1u - #OnePride Jared Goff o34.5 Pass Attempts (-120 Fanatics)
Getting this out before MNF kicks off, this is pretty much an extension of betting Ravens ML. Goff has gone over this line in 20/26 Losses in the Regular Season since joining the Lions, including 10 of his last 11 Losses. The only miss in that span was exactly 34 Attempts. We expect Baltimore to win tonight, let's cash!
πWeek 3 MNF Playπ
1u - #OnePride Jared Goff o34.5 Pass Attempts (-120 Fanatics)
Getting this out before MNF kicks off, this is pretty much an extension of betting Ravens ML. Goff has gone over this line in 20/26 Losses in the Regular Season since joining the Lions, including 10 of his last 11 Losses. The only miss in that span was exactly 34 Attempts. We expect Baltimore to win tonight, let's cash!
πWeek 3 NFL Sunday Recapπ 3-1 (+1.88u)
β Chuba Hubbard o54.5 Rushing Yards
β Caleb Williams u0.5 Interceptions
β Drake Maye o10.5 Yards Longest Rush
βJavonte Williams u85.5 Rush + Rec Yards
NFL '25-'26: 5-5 (-0.70u)
That's more like it, kind of kicking ourselves for that late Javonte add but we'll tip our cap to him keeping up his hot start to the season. Chuba, Caleb, and Drake all came through. We're going to be taking that Maye line any time it's offered the rest of the season. Let's turn this into a great run in the NFL!
πNFL Sunday Week 3 Play #4π
1u - #DallasCowboys Javonte Williams u85.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-112 Draft Kings)
Going against an early season trend here, we simply have a tough time believing that Javonte Williams is going to be this good for Dallas. His career seemed to be on a big time downward spiral but has looked rejuvenated for the Cowboys thru 2 Weeks. Even though the Bears defense seems to be an awful unit, we're going to fade the former UNC RB this afternoon.
- Under in 15/19 Games dating back to the beginning of last season, averaging just 54.8 Rush + Rec Yards in that span.
- Last week vs. NYG (130 Yards) was his highest total since 2021. The lines are reflective of that and his average yardage of 97 to start the season, we just don't see that continuing.
π: @PropsEdge
πNFL Sunday Week 2 Play #3π
1u - #NEPats Drake Maye o10.5 Yards Longest Rush (-135 Draft Kings)
Running back this play from last week, doesn't need much explanation. Maye is a very capable runner and seems to take off for over 10 yards at least once a game. He has cashed this line in 10 of his 13 full games as a starter for the Patriots and we like that to continue against a Pittsburgh defense that has been surprisingly bad this season so far.
πNFL Sunday Week 2 Play #2π
1u - #DaBears Caleb Williams u0.5 Interceptions (-113 Draft Kings)
Feel like a lot of the community got burned on this one last week which only makes us more confident that it's a good play the following week. Things have obviously not been smooth sailing for Caleb Williams in his young career but for whatever reason that hasn't translated into a lot of Interceptions. Coming off a game where he got picked off by Detroit, we see Caleb having an easier time on Sunday against a porous Cowboys defense. He doesn't need to ball out for us, just don't throw the ball to the other team!
- This has cashed in 14 of 19 Games to start Caleb's Career, has only happened in back to back games once.
- Prior to last week, Caleb has thrown a pick in just 1 of his previous 12 Games
πNFL Sunday Week 3 Play #1π
1u - #KeepPounding Chuba Hubbard o54.5 Rushing Yards (-111 Draft Kings)
Slowly getting back into the groove here with our plays, this is going to be our biggest NFL Sunday Card yet. Starting things off here with a play we love. Chuba has come out of no where a bit in the past couple years and turned into a work horse for Carolina. They don't win often which hurts him at times, but this is a spot where we like him to get fed the rock a lot and cash this for us!
- Chuba has gone OVER this line in 12/17 games dating back to the beginning of last season, averaging 75.9 Yards Per Game in that Span.
- In those 17 Games, Chuba has never gone UNDER this line in back to back games. Coming off a down week vs Arizona where the Panthers were forced to throw 50+ times and Chuba only had 38 Rush Yards, he should be fresh and able to keep this streak going.
- In his only matchup with Atlanta last year, Hubbard rushed for 92 Yards on 18 Carries.
π: @PropsEdge
πNFL Sunday Week 2 Play #3π
1u - #NEPats Drake Maye o10.5 Yards Longest Rush (-135 Draft Kings)
Running back this play from last week, doesn't need much explanation. Maye is a very capable runner and seems to take off for over 10 yards at least once a game. He has cashed this line in 10 of his 13 full games as a starter for the Patriots and we like that to continue against a Pittsburgh defense that has been surprisingly bad this season so far.
πNFL Sunday Week 2 Play #2π
1u - #DaBears Caleb Williams u0.5 Interceptions (-113 Draft Kings)
Feel like a lot of the community got burned on this one last week which only makes us more confident that it's a good play the following week. Things have obviously not been smooth sailing for Caleb Williams in his young career but for whatever reason that hasn't translated into a lot of Interceptions. Coming off a game where he got picked off by Detroit, we see Caleb having an easier time on Sunday against a porous Cowboys defense. He doesn't need to ball out for us, just don't throw the ball to the other team!
- This has cashed in 14 of 19 Games to start Caleb's Career, has only happened in back to back games once.
- Prior to last week, Caleb has thrown a pick in just 1 of his previous 12 Games
πNFL Sunday Week 3 Play #1π
1u - #KeepPounding Chuba Hubbard o54.5 Rushing Yards (-111 Draft Kings)
Slowly getting back into the groove here with our plays, this is going to be our biggest NFL Sunday Card yet. Starting things off here with a play we love. Chuba has come out of no where a bit in the past couple years and turned into a work horse for Carolina. They don't win often which hurts him at times, but this is a spot where we like him to get fed the rock a lot and cash this for us!
- Chuba has gone OVER this line in 12/17 games dating back to the beginning of last season, averaging 75.9 Yards Per Game in that Span.
- In those 17 Games, Chuba has never gone UNDER this line in back to back games. Coming off a down week vs Arizona where the Panthers were forced to throw 50+ times and Chuba only had 38 Rush Yards, he should be fresh and able to keep this streak going.
- In his only matchup with Atlanta last year, Hubbard rushed for 92 Yards on 18 Carries.
π: @PropsEdge
πWeek 2 Sunday NFL Recapπ 1-2 (-1.38u)
β Drake Maye o10.5 Yards Longest Rush
βAJ Barner u13.5 Yards Longest Reception
βJerry Jeudy o56.5 Receiving Yards
NFL '25-'26: 2-4 (-2.58u)
Some tough luck here, looked like we were heading towards a possible sweep but multiple winning targets to Jeudy didn't land and Barner ends up with a meaningless 20 yard reception in the 4th Quarter. The season is young, we like these reads and know that things will start to fall. Look for the volume to increase coming up too π
πNFL Sunday Week 2 Play #3π
1u - #NEPats Drake Maye o10.5 Yards Longest Rush (-120 Draft Kings)
Just found this play and it's one that we love. New England should be playing desperate today trying to avoid falling to 0-2 and we like Drake Maye to do his part on the ground. This is a line that Maye has hit in 9 of 12 Starts to start his career. He is a very capable runner and all we need is one long scramble today against the Dolphins in Miami!
πWeek 2 NFL Sunday Cardπ
Jerry Jeudy o56.5 Receiving Yards (-113 Draft Kings)
AJ Barner u13.5 Yards Longest Reception (-125 Draft Kings)
Drake Maye o10.5 Yards Longest Rush (-120 Draft Kings)
Looking to bounce back from a 1-2 start to the NFL season last Sunday let's cash ππ
πNFL Sunday Week 2 Play #3π
1u - #NEPats Drake Maye o10.5 Yards Longest Rush (-120 Draft Kings)
Just found this play and it's one that we love. New England should be playing desperate today trying to avoid falling to 0-2 and we like Drake Maye to do his part on the ground. This is a line that Maye has hit in 9 of 12 Starts to start his career. He is a very capable runner and all we need is one long scramble today against the Dolphins in Miami!