Tim Joyce

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@tiga_style @stevemagness Crappy is far too harsh. You can be good at 20 but also be far short of your maximum athletic potential, which few people reach. Most people still have plenty of runway at 35 or 40 unless they were true elites.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@haralabob @LydiaMoynihan A wonderful illustration of the point that intelligence is not the same as wisdom. Pretty insane someone this smart could think something so foolish.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@dilanesper Part of it is their path to the quarters and maybe even semis is potentially the easiest of any team in the tournament: https://t.co/98EBIEYKAE

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@dilanesper Group definitely means less this year with 32 teams advancing but 3 of the past 4 defending champions (Italy, Spain, Germany) were eliminated in the group stage.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@HoundOlive @politicalmath @ZaidJilani And it looks like he's still going today. It really is a bummer, right? Especially from someone who complains a LOT about left-wing inaccuracy and misinformation. Oh well. Time to move on.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@politicalmath @ZaidJilani It's really not--of the democrats, she does best with the people most likely to mail vote (young progressives). I've followed you because I thought of you as a reasonable conservative (with excellent taste in movies!) but can we not do the fraud insinuations with zero evidence?

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@dilanesper @TheLastNeocon I agree w/r/t senators, as they are basically avatars for the parties. But hard disagree on the executive branch. Lots of people talked themselves into Trump based on policy agreements despite the fact he was clearly deficient in character and competence. And it hasn't been great

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@dilanesper I think this says less about cheating and more about the public's partisanship and revealed preference for their own economic conditions above anything else. I suspect there are lots of things the public views as morally detestable but aren't the deciding factor for their votes.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@KelseyTuoc @CartoonsHateHer Isn't it crazy how much two siblings raised in the same way can differ? Our kids are polar opposites despite being raised (generally) in the same manner. Makes you realize how much of a person is just baked in at the start. (Not to say parenting isn't important, ofc)

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@dilanesper There is enough evidence that you can be a good leader and cheat that it shouldn't be disqualifying. But I don't think it's a good sign either. Also, "the people" can be wrong! "The people" voted for Trump because he would bring down prices, and we've seen how that worked out.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@dilanesper Why is ignoring the personal failings of a candidate a sign of maturity? Sure, plenty of people cheat and plenty of good leaders cheat too. But all else equal, it's often indicative of narcissism and poor impulse control. Not great qualities for a leader!

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@JillFilipovic He's got a lot of red flags at this point. Character matters less IMO for senate (where freshmen can't really do anything) than gov/prez, and I still think he'll win. But I wish people would stop defending him. He sucks.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@SeanTrende We talk a lot about how awful this site can be, but stuff like this is why I'm still here. Thanks for sharing.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@karenvaites @JillFilipovic I don't love it, but in our school they do most of their work off-tablet and use lexia for like an 30 mins or an hour maybe? I think it helps teachers spend some one-on-one time with kids who need extra help while others are still learning.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@thornt25628 But I think it's also possible a 15 yo didn't know how to handle something like that, buried it, and the details (other than the trauma of it) are lost to time. CBF's actions and testimony don't suggest to me someone who is obviously lying. Ultimately, we'll probably never know.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@thornt25628 If CBF did this, I agree it would be problematic. But I haven't seen Keyser directly accuse her. Bigger picture, I do think Keyser's more recent statements are relevant evidence against Ford, and matter. It's certainly possible CBF made it up or got the person mixed up.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@GasLightingLNG We assess others' credibility all the time based on their incentives, actions, speech, etc. Compare her for instance to Sweetnik, who had tons of legal disputes in her past, hired Avenatti, and whose allegations were over the top.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@GasLightingLNG I'm not saying he should be convicted; the lack of corroborating evidence is obv. a problem. But I found her story to be plausible and thought she came across well. It seems perfectly possible to me that a generally good adult could do something really bad as a drunk teenager.

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@thornt25628 @dilanesper Source on CBF (not just friends) pressuring/threatening Keyser?

[Tim Joyce @Tim_Joyce_86]

@thornt25628 @dilanesper I guess it doesn't surprise me that a 15 yo in the 80s might process something like that by burying it. I have no skin in the game and think Kav is a good justice. But I also found CBF credible. Am I sure? Of course not. But I think there's a decent chance she's being truthful.