Crashing the stock market this time won’t funnel USD liquidity back into the U.S. Treasury market.
The Treasury market is far more complex today than in the past. Notably, Global South countries like China are no longer net buyers of U.S. Treasuries.
I’m not underestimating Bessent, Warsh, or the rest of the Trump administration’s economic team. They have their hands firmly on the levers of the financial markets.
They know exactly what I just laid out above.
6/6 Michael Oliver: today's crash unimportant. Silver has been oscillating around 70 since Jan. If it pushes back thru 74 it's game on. Expects correction to end in June, hit 3-500 in months. Bears have now had 3 attempts to kill silver, that's all they get. Miners are the play.
Google's plan to raise $80 billion from stock sales, rather than issuing more debt is a bigger deal than most people realize.
You must understand what a boon the low interest rate environment has been for the large tech companies. They essentially had an unlimited supply of cash they could tap into, without issuing new shares and without diluting their existing share holders. They used this cash in order to hire more workers and develop new products, which is certainly beneficial for the economy. But they also used it in order to buy back their own shares, a controversial practice which artificially boosts the share price, at the expense of the company's future financial stability.
Because no matter how cheaply you borrowed, the debt still needs to be repaid. And if you don't have enough revenue to do so, and if interest rates are rising due to inflation, then you have no alternative but to issue new stocks, thus reversing the effect of share buy-backs.
In other words, the incredible rally in tech stocks since the 2008 financial crisis was largely artificial, and since it was funded by debt it is almost certain to lead to a gruesome bear market.
What if we are being misinformed in order to keep a lid on the oil price? What if talks are actually NOT going well and a peace treaty is NOT in fact imminent? What if there is no actual "cease fire" given ongoing kinetic action by both sides? What if Exxon and Chevron are right and working inventory levels are about to be breached in the coming weeks resulting in a price spike? What if the Strait does NOT in fact open, while everyone believes it will because "it has to"? What then???
@samcap5151668@PSworldwide13 I love that the new forerunner can pull 6K lbs now, but I won't buy one because of the 4 cylinder turbo. If it was a 6 cylinder, I would jump.
#Silver is outperforming all other metals (Gold, Platinum, Palladium) and miners as expected.
Perhaps the biggest driver? China has cut off 70% of refined Silver from the rest of the world.
Now Peru is shutting down mining operations temporarily. Peru produces 14% of global supply.
That leaves just 16% available, aside from existing inventories, compared to 100% just a month ago.
Demand and supply driving prices now, not paper contracts. Go #Silver!
Silver's breakout taking a breather today following a hotter than expected CPI report. Markets still don't seem to understand that when the US debt market cracks, the Fed will print regardless of how high the inflation numbers go.
When you analyze the data, the setup becomes undeniable. According to recent RBC Capital Markets estimates, gold equities are trading at forward Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiples that are drastically lower than almost every other major sector, including Information Technology, Real Estate, Industrials, and the broader S&P 500. Simultaneously, their Free Cash Flow to Enterprise Value (FCF/EV) yields are among the strongest and most attractive in the entire stock market.
Hecla Mining: Q1 results. 3.9M oz AG at $8 AISC. $144M FCF. Cash balance $588M. No debt. They paid off their existing $263M debt.
Woo-woo. They figured it out. They are now well-positioned to rip to $125.
Hecla is trading down in after-hours. Wall Street has completely lost its mind. 😂
https://t.co/UvLQF3tRRw
@theRealBo786@minenergybiz Not true. Companies are stating that their margin increases are bringing up earnings regardless. The increased fuel costs are not significant in comparison to profit increases.
A new era for the mining industry.
Miners are generating roughly 7x what they did at the peak of the last cycle.
I’m old enough to remember when this space was considered “uninvestable” by the so-called experts.
Game on.
https://t.co/ssIdeKrny6
Gold is a coiled spring and it has been coiling while the key reasons to be bullish keep getting stronger. War is expensive and before the war the Death Spiral of Debt and cost of servicing the debt was out of control. Now it is worse. Meanwhile the debt and fiat currency system is more broken now than before the war. Gold is primed for a strong rally.
Canada just proposed a $500,000 exit tax on citizens who leave...
Let that sink in.
They're not taxing what you earned.
They're taxing your decision to leave.
This is what happens when governments panic.
And it won't stop at Canada.
The ones who planned ahead already left.