Tony Hu

Data scientist/ML researcher. Current focus: economics of AI.
Former startup cofounder, big org DS/MLE/exec, Princeton/Cornell

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

How dumb, and not superintelligent, would AI have to be for humans to be able to control it?

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

While @AnthropicAI and @OpenAI may be able to create massive economic value, it will be challenging for them to capture most of that value as revenue.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@Ksidiii Very true, and perhaps the biggest difference between trading and most other occupations

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

Computers have been better than humans in various particular domains for decades. The significance of AGI is the G: *general* intelligence comparable to humans.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@Snz_BTC Apparently they are today's LTCM

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@systematicls I think both actually work here 🤣

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

There's no way to outwork the machines, but it is still possible to outsmart them. If humans lose that final advantage, what will we have left?

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@Rory_Johnston The Strait is also revealing all the other bottlenecks of life.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@VolSignals Yikes.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@Rory_Johnston Seems mostly a humanitarian gesture to let the trapped mariners go home. Would be wild to see companies/insurers risking new transits.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@swyx @GoogleDeepMind Yes. Prioritize lots of things = prioritize nothing = accomplish nothing.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@Yuchenj_UW Token spend is turning into the new "how many lines of code written." We should really be aiming for max outcome/results with lowest token spend possible.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

Pattern matching is a poor substitute for understanding cause-effect.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@unusual_whales The supply shock is transitory?

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@KobeissiLetter Soon everything will be as mysterious as private credit.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@AdamSinger Not a technical issue. If the telcos were made legally liable for the spam, it would end immediately.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

Yes, AI is going to eliminate millions of jobs. But AI is also going to enable the creation of millions of small businesses that wouldn't have been viable before. Society will need to prepare for this shift.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@karpathy In a world where AI pushes implementation cost toward zero, ever more economic value will accrue to data instead.

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

I see @moltbook going viral (congrats @MattPRD !) and autonomous agents starting to show us unexpected and impressive capabilities. Which makes this latest piece from @DarioAmodei very timely, especially regarding autonomy risk. The four proposed defenses are not adequate imo as humans cannot expect to always be able to understand or access what the models are doing, as the moltbots may be starting to show.

[Dario Amodei @DarioAmodei]

The Adolescence of Technology: an essay on the risks posed by powerful AI to national security, economies and democracy—and how we can defend against them: https://t.co/0phIiJjrmz

[Tony Hu @TonyJHu]

@KobeissiLetter Basically the entire Korean stock market is memory sticks.