Druckenmiller on Bessent's bullshit
"I have spent five decades trading on a simple premise: Markets aggregate information no committee possesses, and prices are how that information reaches decision makers. The long-term Treasury yield is the most important price in the world. It is also the only fiscal disciplinarian the U.S. has left."
"Every basis point of artificial yield suppression is a subsidy to procrastination." "Return buybacks to their stated purpose: small, scheduled, off-the-run liquidity operations announced at quarterly refundings, never off-cycle responses to yield levels. Term out the debt honestly and pay the price the market sets."
"If the 30-year must trade at 5.5% to clear, that isn’t a crisis. It is an invoice. Then do the only thing that durably lowers long-term yields: address the primary deficit."
And let me add this, financial history is full of cases where governments tried to fight an existing trend. Government or CB is just another player in the market. They have size but not unlimited ammunition. They are limited by their mandate and the implications that will have on administrations.
Risk management 101—every exposure should have a limit, even when you’re sure nothing could go wrong. After all, the Titanic sank and AAA mortgage bonds went to zero. I worry about the market’s (and the economy’s) unlimited appetite for exposure to the positive AI revenue story.
BREAKING: US Treasury Secretary Bessent acts surprised as to why Trump's "Economic D-Day" announcement didn't crash oil prices as he hoped for.
"We have a spike in oil prices that I don't really understand"