These long term, real results shown below aren't derived from "lucky picks".
These are consistent, profitable months from Upside users who follow a process utilizing our tools.
This thread breaks down how theyโre doing it ๐
Play #1 - Daniel Jones OVER 0.5 Interceptions Thrown: taken from the +EV Optimizer: https://t.co/WARZqGsDl0:
Too many books for one platform to stay perfect.
Novig -170.
Courtside -133.
DraftKings -133.
Hard Rock -125.
etc.
Novig is the sharpest signal here because it's an exchange price. Real money is making this over expensive at the same line.
PrizePicks is still giving it to us at -122 in a 3 leg slip.
Devigged market consensus has this at 55.5% to hit. PrizePicks 3 leg breakeven is 54.95%.
All we're doing is buying the book that drifted away from the market.
PrizePicks 6X๐ฏ
Jones INT is the misprice.
Novig is at -170 while PrizePicks still lets us play it at 3 leg slip pricing....
Link to tail in Replies ๐
Play #1 - Luke Kornet UNDER 5.5 Points: taken from the Whale Watch: https://t.co/SOBP4LFp22:
Would you rather pay -147 or get the same side through PrizePicks slip math?
Whale Watch has $950.91 in edge supporting liquidity on Kornet under, with the whale fair price sitting at -147.
That matters because this is real money forcing the market toward the under, not a random opinion.
Whale Watch shows the standalone PrizePicks price at -119, but this 3 leg slip prices the leg at -122.
After removing the vig, the under is 59.51% to hit against a 54.95% breakeven.
You taking the discount or paying full price?
FanDuel moved Karl-Anthony Towns' rebounds line on Tuesday. A minute later Novig was still selling the old price at -104.
Steam Chaser (free tool) flagged it live. @PlusEV bet it, Towns grabbed 16 and $100 turned into $196.
You are betting blind if you can't see line moves the second they happen.
Steam Chaser is free: https://t.co/PGweOg2Bzh
Thatโs, a, BANGโ
Cash the $10 -> $151 Longshot๐
Love me some courtside long shots manโฆ.
All +EV betting math. If you want to learn, look at the reply tweet I quoted ๐ซก
Play #1 - Nolan Traore OVER 11.5 Points: taken from the Whale Watch: https://t.co/SOBP4LFp22:
The real win isn't the stat line.
ProphetX is all the way at -367 on this same over.
Novig -135.
Sleeper -143.
ParlayPlay -141.
Fliff -135.
etc.
ProphetX and Novig are exchanges, so that pricing is real money sitting on the same side.
Whale Watch is showing $2,648.42 in edge supporting liquidity, and the fair price lands at -122.
Whale Watch has the standalone PrizePicks leg at -119, but this 3 leg slip prices the leg at -122. Devigged market consensus is 54.95% to hit against a 54.95% breakeven.
Once the whale liquidity lined up with the exchange pricing, the entry made sense.
PrizePicks 6X๐ฏ
Traore over is showing $2.6K in edge supporting whale liquidity.
PrizePicks still lets us build it into a 6X.
Link to tail in Replies ๐
The lesson from @PlusEV: treat betting like a market, not entertainment, and the math starts to matter.
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Wow, look at this win from @thomasjordaniv โ $250 into $465.50 using Whale Watch ๐ฏ
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