@mjmauboussin is one of the best teachers out there for corporate strategy and equity research. Over the years, I have read several of his papers and here are my notes on them:
I will keep updating this sheet as I read through more of his work.
https://t.co/ZgigPevEkw
Being skillful is one part of the game, finding the right game to play is equally important. Curiosity, constant learning, thinking across disciplines are some very important habits.
People can say buying & holding an index fund is easy but dealing with psychology is the difficult part. Can you really hold on when decadal returns are negative or sub FD returns? As it's said, investing is simple but not easy. Anybody who thinks it's easy is stupid. (2/2)
Avg annual return for S&P 500 is 10% since 1970, however, never has annual decadal return been in between 8%-12%. That is the nature of equity markets, long-term averages are rarely the case in yearly, multi-year cycles. (1/2)
Tomorrowโs outcomes that are different from todayโs perceptions lead to revisions in expectations that are the source of excess returns. ~ (2/2)
@mjmauboussin
The one job of an equity investor is to take advantage of gaps between expectations and fundamentals. Expectations reflect the future free cash flows a company must deliver to justify todayโs stock price. Fundamentals capture the companyโs actual results. (1/2)
@EquityValueIn Thatโs honestly my main concern too!
Letโs see if they can manage to improve disbursement/AUM growth (while maintaining quality) through expansion into deeper geographies and tech initiatives.
@Meet_Mehta24@EquityValueIn 100% agree. But next year should be better than this year in growth terms. If that happens then I donโt have a problem owning an ahfc growing at 18% with best in class asset quality at 1.7x current P/B. Rest only time will tell.
@I_m_Anshuman_P@EquityValueIn Any fillip in growth should lead to some re-rating as well. 17-18% growth is very doable seeing the expansion efforts and benefits from technology transformation.
@EquityValueIn How do you decide to exit, especially in a stock that is likely to perform strongly on fundamentals and the valuation isnโt egregious?