WeathermanJack

@UNCAvl 2027 | @UNCAweather | Contributor of @SATTAanalysis | VP of @Overcast_YT | @canes fan |🌪️ = 11

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

The @Canes are now 2-0 on winning the Stanley cup when the preceding Atlantic hurricane season has 3+ category 5 hurricanes.

[Carolina Hurricanes @Canes]

WHO WANTS A BEER SKATE?!

RT for your chance to win the hottest drinking device in sports.

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Honestly one of the heavier snow bands I’ve experienced, visibility easily down to abt 1/4 mile and we have roughly an inch or so in the elevated/grassy areas

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Fairly heavy snow band here on the UNCA campus and is accumulating on grassy/elevated surfaces! @NWSGSP #ncwx

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Fully transitioned to heavy snow here on the UNCA campus (vis is ~1/3 miles). No accumulations as of yet. @NWSGSP #ncwx

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Light snow has begun falling on the UNCA Campus! Fairly large flakes too. @NWSGSP #ncwx

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

@webberweather @Laurenthestorm ~6” on the UNCA campus

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Had a great time launching weather balloons with SEMPE this past weekend. We ended up with a little over 6” of snow with some areas having nearly 18” drifts. We finished of with some good very cold NWFS which led to some very good dendrite photo taking! @NWSGSP @UNCAweather #ncwx

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

@NWSGSP Understood! I assume this would be a decision to be made likely tomorrow or Saturday.

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

@NWSGSP just out of pure curiosity, how close is WNC to blizzard criteria? I know the winds will be a bit low, but duration and visibility might be there.

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Light snow here in far northern wake county, picked up maybe a 0.5” during the heavier rates. If only the cold air could’ve gotten here quicker… @NWSRaleigh #ncwx

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Light snow falling on the UNCA campus! Not really accumulating anywhere. @NWSGSP #snow #ncwx

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

@Canes Ehlers

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Intense snow band moved through UNCA a few mins ago. Was heavy enough to accumulate on roads and sidewalks #ncwx @NWSGSP

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Heavier snowband moving through. The rate is heavy enough attempt accumulation on elevated concrete surfaces.

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Light snow showers are ongoing at UNCA. Most models didn’t even have the mountains seeing much snow at this time. #ncwx @NWSGSP

[Tropical Cowboy of Danger @FlynonymousWX]

A thread of videos from today’s flight into Hurricane Melissa

In this first one we are entering from the southeast just after sunrise and the bright arc on the far northwest eye wall is the light just beginning to make it over the top from behind us.

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

@tymetwx @MattSenior19 Yes

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

The 12 GDM ensembles have just came out and continue to show a west trend, with the mean making landfall somewhere in western #Jamaica. Too add on, all but 2 of the members have #Melissa reaching Category 5 status. The ensemble mean is 149kt/915mb. #tropicswx

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

Additionally, the min pressure distribution shows the majority of the members (30/50) in the 900-919.9mb range. With all members falling below 940mb. The mean max intensity is 147kts/917mb. #tropicswx #Jamaica #wxtwitter 🌀🌀🌀

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

While #Melissa undergoes IR tonight/this morning, the 0z GDM ensembles came out. A fairly substantial west shift is present, likely due to the storms present WSW motion. All members still make a landfall on the island, but just west of where they were on the 18z run.

[WeathermanJack @WMJ_wx]

As Dr. @pppapin mentioned in his earlier discussions, now >80% of the 50 GDM ensembles (42/50 to be exact) show this becoming a Category 5 at one point or another, although given current obs, I'd say its next to a guarantee. All members still have it becoming at least a Cat 4.