Jan Jansen

[Jan Jansen @WagenerDevon]

@edwin_koning @RicoVerhoeven Dus als we jouw logica gebruiken steun jij het doden van kinderen in Gaza?

[Jan Jansen @WagenerDevon]

@Royal_Fork @CamilleScholtz Nee je bent een ongelofelijke idioot.

[Jan Jansen @WagenerDevon]

@lientje1967 Hij parafraseert wat rechts en extreemrechts in Israël zegt. Laaggeletterdheid en anderen woorden in de mond leggen zou verboden moeten worden voor parlementariërs.

[Blake Neff @BlakeSNeff]

When George Floyd died in 2020, Shabana Mahmood called for the UK to cut off all exports of security equipment to the U.S., to prevent police from using it to stop Floyd rioters torching cities.

Today, as UK Home Secretary, she is threatening a maximally harsh crackdown on those protesting Henry Nowak's death in Southampton.

But her probem isn't violence: She's the force behind news laws in the U.K. restricting "repeat protests," even if they're non-violent.

The left doesn't prefer peaceful protest to violent protest. They just think their protesters can be as violent as they want, and their opponents shouldn't get to protest at all.

[Catenaccio Mestreech @Treech29]

Heerlijke sketch dit, maar zo denken mensen dus ook gewoon echt tegenwoordig

[Peter Girnus 🦅 @gothburz]

I have two stacks on my desk. The left stack is financial disclosure forms from members of Congress. The right stack is waivers for members who filed their financial disclosures late.

The right stack is always taller.

On Wednesday morning, I watched a soldier get arrested on CNN.

I am a Disclosure Analyst for the House Ethics Committee. I have held this position for eleven years. My job is to receive the forms, verify their completeness, and file them. I do not investigate. I do not flag. I do not refer. I file. I have a lanyard. The lanyard says ETHICS.

The soldier's name is Gannon Ken Van Dyke. He is thirty-eight years old. He was stationed at Fort Bragg. He was Special Forces. In December, he created an account on a prediction market called Polymarket. On January 2nd, he bet $32,500 that the president of Venezuela would be removed from power. On January 3rd, he helped remove the president of Venezuela from power. He collected $409,881.

He has been charged with five federal crimes. Commodities fraud. Wire fraud. Unlawful use of confidential government information. Theft of nonpublic government information. Unlawful monetary transaction. The Department of Justice called it "the first-ever insider trading prosecution on event contracts."

I watched this on the television in our break room. Then I walked back to my desk and processed a late financial disclosure from a member of the House Financial Services Committee who purchased $250,000 in bank stocks eleven days before his subcommittee held a closed-door hearing on proposed capital reserve changes.

The filing was forty-seven days late. The STOCK Act requires disclosure within forty-five days. The penalty for late filing is $200.

I waived it.

I waive most of them. In 2021, fifty-four members of Congress and senior staff violated the reporting rules. The fines were minimal. Most were waived. I have a form for the waiver. The form has a box that says "Reason." I write "administrative delay." In ethics, "administrative delay" means the member's office forgot and then remembered when a reporter called. My approval rate is one hundred percent. In any other field, that number would trigger an audit. In mine, it is called thoroughness.

Let me show you what I processed this year.

January. A senator on the Armed Services Committee sold defense contractor shares worth $1.2 million. Three days later, his committee received a classified briefing that the Iran campaign had exceeded its projected cost by 340%. The stock dropped 8%. He filed the disclosure sixty-one days late. I calculated the fine. $200. His chief of staff asked if it could be waived. He did not ask what the senator traded on. Nobody asks that. The form does not have a field for it. I waived the fine. The senator's portfolio returned 23.4% in 2025. The S&P 500 returned 16.8%.

February. A representative on the Energy and Commerce Committee bought pharmaceutical stocks worth $400,000. Two weeks later, her committee advanced a bill that would extend patent exclusivity for the exact drug class she purchased. The stocks rose 14%. She filed on time. There was no fine. There was no investigation. There was nothing to investigate because buying stocks in companies regulated by your own committee is not illegal. It is legal. The STOCK Act made it legal by making it disclosed. In Congress, disclosed means legal. In my office, legal means filed.

March. A member whose spouse manages a portfolio worth $9.2 million reported forty-three separate transactions in a single quarter. Twelve of them were in sectors directly affected by legislation the member co-sponsored. The timing on eight of those twelve was within a two-week window of committee action. I logged all forty-three. None were flagged. We do not flag. We file.

I asked my supervisor once what would happen if I flagged a filing. She said we do not have a form for that. I never asked again.

In 2020, I processed 847 disclosures. In 2023, 1,211. In 2025, 1,614. The number of enforcement actions in each of those years was zero. The numerator changes. The denominator does not.

I want to tell you about the soldier again.

He made $409,881. He tried to delete his Polymarket account by calling customer service and saying he lost access to his email. He moved his profits into a foreign cryptocurrency vault and then into a new brokerage account. He used his real identity. He placed thirteen bets. Every single one was connected to an operation he personally participated in.

In my eleven years, I have processed disclosures from members of Congress who traded on:

Pending FDA approvals they learned about in committee.
Defense appropriations they voted on.
Trade policy they negotiated.
Pandemic response measures they drafted.
Interest rate decisions they were briefed on before the public.

None of them have been charged. None of them have been investigated by the Department of Justice. None of them have been referred to the SEC. The STOCK Act has produced zero prosecutions since it was signed on April 4th, 2012.

Fourteen years. Five hundred and thirty-five members. $635 million in trades last year alone. Zero cases.

My daughter asked me once what happens when someone breaks the rules. I told her we write it down. She asked what happens after that. I said it depends. She was nine. She is twenty now. It does not depend. Nothing happens after that.

The soldier made $409,881 and faces decades in prison. Nancy Pelosi entered Congress in 1987 with a portfolio worth approximately $785,000. It is now worth $133.7 million. That is a return of 16,930%. The Dow Jones returned 2,300% over the same period. Professional fund managers who beat the market for three consecutive years are considered exceptional. She has beaten it for thirty-seven. If a hedge fund produced those returns, the SEC would subpoena the records on a Thursday. She produced them from a building with a chapel and a gift shop.

She announced her retirement last year. No investigation was opened. No disclosure was flagged. Her filings were on time. In my office, on time means compliant. Compliant means closed.

I want to tell you about the fine.

$200. That is the maximum penalty for violating the STOCK Act's disclosure requirements. $200 for a member of Congress whose portfolio gained $4.7 million in a single quarter. I calculated what $200 represents as a percentage of $4.7 million. It is 0.004%. I could not find a comparison that made it meaningful. It is less than the price of the parking pass in the Rayburn garage. It is less than lunch at the members' dining room if you order the crab cakes, which I am told are excellent though I eat at my desk.

Since 2012, thirty-one bills have been introduced to restrict congressional trading. I keep a list. The list is longer than the STOCK Act itself.

On March 5th, 2026, a representative from Michigan introduced the thirty-second. He called it the "No Getting Rich in Congress Act." The bill would prohibit the President, Vice President, members of Congress, and their spouses from trading individual stocks, cryptocurrency, futures, and commodities while in office.

The bill was referred to committee. The committee has not scheduled a hearing. The committee is chaired by a member whose spouse executed $2.1 million in trades last year.

The bill will be reviewed. In my office, reviewed means read. Read means acknowledged. Acknowledged means a status has been assigned. A status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one.

The soldier used classified information to make $409,881 on a prediction market. He has been charged with five federal crimes. The Department of Justice announced the case on the same day I processed three disclosures from members who traded on committee knowledge worth a combined $3.8 million.

The difference between the soldier and the members is not what they did. It is the building they did it in. He did it from Fort Bragg. They did it from the Capitol. He used a prediction market. They used the New York Stock Exchange. He bet on a military operation. They bet on the legislation they write.

He did not write the law. They did. They wrote the STOCK Act. Then they funded its enforcement at zero dollars. Then they set its maximum penalty at $200. Then they gave my office the authority to waive it. Then they traded $635 million.

The soldier flew to Caracas. He breached a compound. He put his body between a mission and a bullet. The people who ordered the operation were in a building with a credenza and sparkling water. They did not go to Caracas. They went to their brokerage accounts. The soldier made $409,881 and is now in federal custody. The people who knew what he was going to do before he did it made more and filed less. His prosecution is not a failure of the system. It is the system. One conviction per decade, at the lowest level, so the briefing slides can say enforcement exists. The $409,881 is not the crime. It is the cost of making $635 million look supervised.

In my field, we call this self-regulation.

The soldier's Polymarket account has been frozen. His military career is over. He will spend years in federal prison. My office will process every congressional disclosure filed this year. Every trade logged. Every $200 fine calculated and waived. The system is immaculate.

Fourteen years. Zero prosecutions. $635 million a year. A 16,930% return.

I have not leaked a document. I have not filed a complaint. I have not deviated from the process one single time. The process was written by the people whose forms I process.

As long as the disclosures go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations.

My lanyard still says ETHICS. In eleven years, nobody has asked me to define the word.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Well said

[Jan Jansen @WagenerDevon]

@H_Bouwmeester She ain’t gonna see this dude!

[Jan Jansen @WagenerDevon]

@WallStreetMav You are spreading misinformation. Although I do not agree with the new laws, the government is not ‘Radical left wing’.

A government that has different views than the idiotic carrot in the White House does not automatically classify as ‘Radical left wing’.

[Donald Pump @DonaldPumpSol47]

6 MORE DAYS TILL I AM IN OFFICE!!! ARE YOU READY FOR THE PUMP OF A LIFETIME?!?!?!?!?!?! CA: 888sHDaZXD6UahdaQjzTUt5GtuiwEbJsZuWYqTsgpump SEE YOU ON THE MOON FOLKS!!!!

[Donald Pump @DonaldPumpSol47]

Welcome to DONALD PUMP.

Join the cult now.

My whole life is about winning. I don't lose often. I almost never lose.

[naiive @naiivememe]

Never forget what we used to celebrate for

[Michaël van de Poppe @CryptoMichNL]

This is such a great example of market dynamics and psychology.

The retail interest in #Bitcoin is massive at this point. They are looking to enter the markets when it breaks ATHs, which means it already did a 4-5x.

The timespan is completely non-existent for retail investors, while DCA and patience are the way to move forward.

On the other hand, this principle also applies for most of the altcoins.

People are lined up to buy into $XRP or $SUI, while many altcoins have basically seen no move or hype yet, therefore implying more risk when stepping into the markets.

Those are actually the moments to do so.

If you want to succeed in the markets, you need to replace this picture with Ethereum or any respectable #Altcoin that has seen a 60-70% drop in the past year, which is usually where you can get yourself started in the markets.

Yes, XRP and SUI are great projects, but most of the upside has already been made.

It might sound boring, but I'm feeling quite great being positioned into mostly the $ETH ecosystem as I rather want to be positioned into things that nobody discusses at this point as that's where you can get the edge.

If people are discussing a certain project solely on social media, most definitely you'll be the last part of the bell curve to be buying into that particular asset, ready to get dumped on: the lowest reward, the highest risk implied from a price perspective.

Investing in things which haven't moved yet, those are the riskiest on fundamental aspect as the price didn't prove their fundamental chances, however, on price, the downside is relatively limited and the rewards are magnificent.

That's why you need to put in the effort: in terms of having balls of steel, but also in terms of conviction and fundamental research.

When it comes to Bitcoin and the current valuation, people have split opinions on where we're going to. Me too.

I don't know where we're heading. Probably completely different than the majority expects it to do.

But for once, if you're new or in this cycle for the first/second time. Stick around.

DCA yourself into Bitcoin even when you don't feel comfortable.

Buy those altcoins when literally everybody around you laughs at you for being in crypto.

Those are the periods that you need to push through. Not the moments where everybody is already cheering on their profits.

Enjoy the ride.

[Altcoin Sherpa @AltcoinSherpa]

This is the last dip you'll ever get

[Koroush AK @KoroushAK]

If you need to spend $120,000 a year to live your dream life

Your financial freedom number is $120k/0.04 = $3,000,000.

Because when you make $3,000,000, you can live off of +4% of that year.

What's your freedom number?

[Michaël van de Poppe @CryptoMichNL]

A massive accomplishment for $STX.

sBTC went live, which is the first step towards #Bitcoin DeFi.

From a price action perspective, it's still holding up to critical levels, and I expect we'll see a continuation towards the previous high.

It's still buy the dip season.

[Mayne @Tradermayne]

When things start ripping, man it can be hard to get onboard.

30% move on $ETH and this is the 15 minute chart!

[Greg Price @greg_price11]

🚨 Kamala was just asked how she voted on California's Proposition 36, which would increase criminal penalties for shoplifters and drug traffickers:

"I am not gonna talk about the vote on that because, honestly, it's the Sunday before the election."