@EVerythingS3XYC@Lclimateguy@SNEWeather If you’re in nw ct you’re gonna get 15-20 inches most likely. Steady rates of 1 inch per hour wouldn’t rule out 2 to 3 inches an hour and mid levels with WAA associated with isentropic lift will support heavy rates I think though lower Hudson valley through central, nw CT
@BurnettA919@BostonWxConsult It is noteworthy how the GFS is handling this system. A critical factor will be the speed at which the low develops beneath the shortwave and its subsequent interaction with the coastal component. At present, the system appears to be quite progressive which will hindrance accums
Tropical Storm Erin GEFS ensemble: early track agreement near the Bahamas, but increasing spread near the U.S. coast. Average path suggests a possible brush of the Carolinas. #TropicalStormErin#GEFS"