Stef @[email protected] Christensen

Ph.D. in AI. Sr. Foresight Analyst, Horizons. Coder, numbers whiz, foresight expert. Sworn to use Evil powers only for Good. He/they.
@[email protected]

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

Multinational science Delphi:
- #COVID is airborne (100%);
- indoor areas drive transmission (100%);
- N95 masks help (96%);
- public health pushes false info by denying airborne (90%);
- vax alone can't end COVID (97%);
- false info undermines social cohesion for response (99%)

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

@lonelysloth_sec This is a good take

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

@jengerson Good luck out there, Jen.

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

Jobs for every month of 2025 have been revised lower

[Albert Edwards @albertedwards99]

No-one is predicting a US recession in 2026 despite this simple indicator having a 100% track record of success. This time may well be different, but you've got to have a bloody good reason to ignore this. Are you feeling confident?

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

@daisyldixon @FaberBooks @VikingBooks This is super, super interesting.

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

@daisyldixon You are 1000% on to something here, Daisy.

The toxicity is just not so obvious that Kier Starmer threatened to unplug X now. None of this has gone away, just went a little underground for a minute.

[Spencer Fernando @SpencerFernando]

The Briefing: By a 2-to-1 margin, Albertans support remaining in Canada over separation.
https://t.co/e74f6HzO6C

[Kevin Gordon @KevRGordon]

U.S. imports are now down by -21.1% from their peak ... only other times we've seen worse declines were during the pandemic and global financial crisis

[Valerie Faudon @ValerieFaudon]

Un de mes graphes préférés est arrivé pour 2025! Chaque point est une heure de production d’un pays: en abscisse la production, en ordonnée son intensité carbone. Chaque pays a une couleur différente. Bravo la France (en bleu)! Merci Thomas’s projects. https://t.co/Stsno3qhrG

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

@mahaniok You have done well

[Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 @JosephPolitano]

The US continues to lose manufacturing jobs—payrolls are down 75k over the last year, & another 8k jobs were lost in December

Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), wood, and electronics/electrical manufacturing are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well

[Mike Konczal @mtkonczal]

Released this morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ labor share of income for Q3 2025 is the lowest on record.

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

@BellaWallerstei I'd rather they turn off X and all the cool people go to Bluesky, but this is a huge victory nonetheless.

Congratulations on your enormous victory.

[Casey Handmer @CJHandmer]

It turns out that my 2 TB thumb drive is composed of 1.9m 1 MB blocks and exfat formatting will allocate one file per block, meaning I had about a 70x storage overhead. I have literally never encountered this problem before, but then again, I've never built a recursive filesystem with over 200 million files which essentially is a decompression bomb.

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

@OAlexanderDK Subprime crisis rebooted

[Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart]

It's not just that total manufacturing employment is shrinking. The number of manufacturing sub-sectors that are adding jobs is rapidly shrinking. Of the 72 different types of manufacturing tracked by the BLS, just 38.2% are still adding jobs. A year ago it was 47.2%

[Sebastián @SebastinPatron3]

@IamnotDescartes @StealthQE4 $PLTR Alex Karp Total Estimated Sales Since January 2025: Over 10 million shares, valued at approximately $2 billion+.
😂

[Stef @[email protected] Christensen @Wikisteff]

@aparachick Hey, hey! I'd say that these are broadly correct.
I did some more analysis since then and added some empirical data from the human trial, where they measured Omicron growth in human nose and mouth samples for 18 infected volunteers in 12-hour strides.

[Dr. Karen Stenner @karen_stenner]

Sigh, hate to always be sounding like a broken record, but it bears repeating at this point:

If it feels like your government is trying to kill you, it's probably because your government is trying to kill you.

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

Why is America losing its allure to foreign researchers and science students? The most straightforward reason is money, or the looming lack of it as a result of Trump administration funding cuts https://t.co/cERjB3w8OU