TIPS are back in the news and that inevitably means confusion about how investors should view them.
Here's a fun thing to think about: A boat tied to a floating dock rises and falls with every tide. Measure it against the seabed and it never stops moving. Measure it against the dock from where you’ll step aboard, and it barely moves at all.
Long-term TIPS are like that boat: volatile in today’s dollars, but remarkably steady measured against the real spending they’ll support. Seen this way, most of the confusion about TIPS disappears. They do exactly what they were designed to do. And as the safest asset going, their real yield is the natural benchmark against which to judge the stock market’s expected real return when you decide how much to invest in stocks.
Seoul this week.
XRPFi Night on Oct 2. XRP Seoul on Oct 3.
The rooms that matter for XRP are the rooms we continue showing up in.
See you there → https://t.co/MujqR7MW6R
@DsrPrivate Any view for the timing? Sep looks like a done deal priced by the market. If they do hike, it will be a series of those I think? One and done feels inadequate.
@DsrPrivate@kmz78 Why do you think this level is the top? Just local highs or are there more fundamental factors that determine a ceiling here around 68
@DannyDayan5 It's just the timing that is making me (over?) think... 20yr auction? Fed minutes? Or did he see something that's gonna happen that he knew the long end would sell off further? Long end has been selling off so it's not the first day yields making new highs.
@DsrPrivate@spoiler_albert One explanation is that some of them were positioning - 2x1 Jul/Sep was popular after CPI and people were squaring the July leg, but yesterday's block sale seems to be more than that.
@DsrPrivate How do you spot this please? Do you have a vol surface of some interested single names on your screen all the time? Or you got curious about one company and started looking for ways to structure a trade? Why these two strike specifically as well please?