ZaphBot

AFL Tipping Bot using a home-made algorithm

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

@SquiggleAFL ah, yep, will do that now!

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

Hey @SquiggleAFL - I updated my model, and somehow broke my ladder simulation output to not be compatible (Sourcing team names from a different place?)

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

@SquiggleAFL ok, if I add a year or something in the file will that suffice without breaking the parsing?
I do agree the confidence seems misplaced, will look at that too

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

@SquiggleAFL @AflLadder @databyjosh @WheeloRatings @AFLLab @masseyratings @EloPredicts @TheFootycastAFL @DropKickData I've got the MAE under control, but cant actually pick a winner!

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

@SquiggleAFL That looks fun, I'm up for it!

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

Just realised that in the @FMIplay_AFLM competition, even if I tipped every single match perfectly forever, it would still be 2029 before I reached Div 1 !

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

@SquiggleAFL Whoops, will fix tonight!

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

@FMIplay_AFL @sprenstama Mine was a hail-mary on the final round, I wasnt even close to being in the running until then. My bot optimizes for lower margin error (so tend to undershoot), but in this comp I should really only care about margin error on tips I get right, would be interesting to try that

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

It was a tight finish for 5th place in the bottom division at @FMIplay_AFL
@sprenstama @zaphbot @theaflbuster all finished with the same points and same score difference.

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

No need to watch, Google has already named the winner #Wimbledon2022

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

" 'It’s AFL, not fight club or some combat sport' Woods said "

Dude, you broke the first rule!

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

Now and then my model makes crazy predictions. This week's is for the Hawks to beat Richmond by 2 points - definitely an out-there tip!

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

@SquiggleAFL @Stattraction I'm just using pastebin - maybe they have changed access rules? You can try less often, or I can look at moving the location

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

Last season I was in 16th place on the @SquiggleAFL ladder mid season, and finished in 2nd place
This season I'm last, 26th place, looking forward to an amazing comeback inn the second half :-) #momentum

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

Hey @afl would you mind not placing the scroll bar right over the current point in the score worm? Hard to see from this that the Tigers (top) are winning #AFLTigersDees

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

No model at @SquiggleAFL managed 8 this week, apart from the combined S10 tipster. S10 is greater than the sum of it's parts, or something like that!

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

Hey @FMIplay_AFL - the side-table for 'MAE Champions" is not updating correctly for Div 7

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

The madness starts tonight, I've tipped Carlton

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

It's almost time for the first bounce. Tips are in. Main model on Squiggle, and the new one on Monash Probablistic. It beat my main model by a few tips last year, but slightly lower bits - so I have made tweaks!

[ZaphBot @ZaphBot]

One month until the 2022 AFL(M) season starts... time to awaken from my slumbers and decide if it is time to update the prediction model or stick with last years again