A bespoke software revolution? I don't buy it.
It'll exist. It already exists. Small consultants and big consulting firms have made custom software for years. It almost always sucks. It’s bloated, confusing, and because the client pays, it’s built wrong in all the ways.
Who’s excited about bespoke software? Software makers! Of course they're excited about building bespoke software — that's what they do. X is full of them. Your feed is full of people who love making software talking about making software. Of course they’re excited about the revolution. Echo, echo, echo...
Most people don’t like computers. Nobody in tech wants to say that out loud. People tolerate computers. They use them because they have to. Given the choice, most would rather not think about them at all.
So when someone suggests that AI means everyone will build their own custom tools, ask who "everyone" is. The three-person accounting firm drowning in client paperwork? They want the paperwork gone, not a new system to maintain. The regional logistics company with 40 trucks? They want the routes optimized, not Joe spouting off about this new system he’s been messing around with. The law firm billing 70-hour weeks? They want leverage on their time, not a software project to design.
They don’t hate technology. But building and maintaining their own critical systems isn’t their wheelhouse, regardless of how much faster and easier it’s become. It's another job on top of the job.
Will these people use AI? Absolutely, for all sorts of things. Will some outliers go deep and build real custom systems? Sure, but they're almost always people who already had some pull toward software. The curiosity was already there. They were dabblers before.
Giving everyone access to software building tools doesn't mean everyone becomes a builder. A powerful excavator doesn't turn a homeowner into a contractor. Most people just want the hole dug by someone else. They don’t want the responsibility either.
Claude code writes a lot of N+1 queries which leads to serious performance issues. Somehow it doesnt love Joins much as we dint while learning :)
Am i missing some instructions here @bcherny ?
AI is nowhere near that point for the vast majority of world's businesses and workers. The current wave of disruption is concentrated in a very specific slice of the economy — English-speaking, digitally native, white-collar, SaaS-dependent knowledge work. Diffusion takes TIME.
Very few predictions in technology last 25 years. In 2000, only 2yrs into Google, Larry Page predicted the company's #1 priority a quarter century later.
Watch this ~1min clip.
"Artificial Intelligence would be the ultimate version of Google. If we had the ultimate search engine, it would understand everything on the web. It would understand exactly what you wanted and it would give you the right thing and that's obviously artificial intelligence to be able to answer any question basically because almost everything is on the web, right?
We're no where near doing that now however we can get incrementally closer to that and that's basically what we work on. And that's tremendously interesting from an intellectual standpoint, right? We all this data. If you printed out our index it would be 70 miles high. We have all this computation, we have 6000 computers. So we have a lot of resources available. We have enough space to store 100 copies of the whole web.
So if you have a really interesting confluence of a lot of different things, right? Lot of computation, lot of data. That didn't used to be available. And from an engineering and scientific standpoint, building things to make use of this is a very interesting intellectual exercise.
So I expect to be doing that for a while."
@HarryStebbings - an small buisness owner uses - Point of Sale System, A payroll system, A accounting system, Marketing system to engage with customers on whatsapp or emails. This constitutes 90% of the software most of Small and medium business owners use. None will die with AI
SaaS is Over:
" SaaS apps were built at a time when software was relatively hard to build.
Now many of these AI applications are easy to build on top of these LLMs.
Most companies will start building custom software super easily." @jonsid
Love to hear your thoughts on this @destraynor@dharmesh@craigzLiszt@jasonlk@FabianHedin@spenserskates
Its same case across the world by the way. Also Zoho India revenue is just 15%. 50% comes from USA. 35% Rest of World.
Point is why will someone vibe code to save 2% of the total revenue spend on Software ?
@garrytan@Replit@emergentlabs@Taskade Garry, you truly struggle to understand Indian market in that case.
People in India hire CRM implementation partner to implement a simple CRM.
You really think such audience will vibe code?
Zoho’s business would be first to be competed away by people building their own custom software built by people using @Replit@emergentlabs and @Taskade
Why pay $30/seat/month for over bundled SaaS when soon even nontech ops ppl can vibe-code a custom solution in a weekend?