$100 bet on New York Knicks to beat San Antonio Spurs payouts across Prediction Markets vs Sportsbooks.
NBA Finals Moneyline:
1. @Novig - $278
2. @SX_Bet - $274
3. @PlayProphetX - $272
4. @trylimitless - $271
5. @Polymarket - $270
6. @bet365 - $260
7. @FanDuel - $260
8. @Kalshi - $258
9. @Stake - $255
10. @DraftKings - $254
The NBA Finals is better priced on prediction markets, which are currently offering some of the best odds compared to major sportsbooks.
Happy to ship the first version of Hedgebook, powered by @Kalshi : an app showing how every SPX companies can hedge their core business risks using Kalshi event contract markets.
Event contracts and perpetual contracts consolidated into a single, onshore, regulated exchange is how we get to perfect Arrow-Debreu markets.
Thanks to @j0hnwang and @0x_ultra for inviting me to build this, and to Nicole from @KalshiResearch for inviting me to present the early frameworks at the Kalshi Research Conference in March.
@MickBransfield yeah this was pulled out as well. What remains:
555 organic individual comments classified by text:
- Against / pro-regulation / pro-ban: ~468
- In favor of prediction markets / against new restrictions: ~34
- Genuinely unclear or attached-PDF-only: ~53
Thanks AI --> Quick summary up front: after stripping the sybil and junk, this is roughly a 14-to-1 split against prediction markets among real individual writers โ but the raw docket looks pro-leaning only because Kalshi ran an AI-generated astroturf campaign that's larger than every other voice combined.
In case you missed the Spurs vs Thunder game...
you are lucky.
this was one of the worst officiated games I've seen in a while
โข Refs miss a goaltending call
โข Ball goes off Chetโs foot
โข They ignore the coachโs challenge request
โข SGA gets free throws
โข Mitch Johnson is hit with a tech
โข Lu Dort and Tony Brothers laughing on the sideline
Tony Brothers is OKC 6MOTY